NBA Play-in/Playoff Thread

[piratealew]

Pacers choked bad in the 4th.


⭐️OKC-4.5-115
⭐️Boston-13-112
Dallas/OKC Over 217.5-115

Normally in NBA playoffs, you have a zig-zag back and forth going on between teams esp in later rounds. With these 2 series, the only team that has the capability to mount a challenge is Dallas, and i see them winning 1 maybe 2 at home, but it all depends on Luca, who is clearly not 100%, and probably not even 60% right now. Clev is outmanned and outgunned, this could be a 4-0 sweep or 5-1, with Boston winning comfortably in most.

If Boston is on tonight like they have been, it could be another blowout. OKC I have in a bit of a closer game tonight than Game 1 as I do expect Kyrie and Luca to have a better offensive game (hence why I played the over as well), but I still have OKC tonight by around 10 points. Celtics by 18-20. Boston's total could be affected early if Boston goes on a rout and shuts down clev, the total is really tight my expected outcome, slight lean to the over but as of this AM, no play just yet.

 

[jjgold]

Luca has been shooting real bad
Looks spent from season

 

[piratealew]

Rough thursday. We grind on Friday...

Several ways to play the Pacers game. Being down 0-2 and now back at home is all the motivation a team like Indy will need to come out fired up. Further, NBA trends back up the idea of teams that are down coming out guns blazing in the first half as playoff teams coming home down 0-2 are 70-38 ATS in the first half since 2005. Since the 2015-16 season, they are 25-11-1 in the first. I see the Pacers jumping out early and this time maintaing a lead and not letting is slip like last game. No OG for knicks? they are no longer a dominant team but more of an average team without him. Brunson will probably play but he's banged up.

The 2nd best bet as I see is the Pacers team total to the over, They were the most profitable team in the NBA this season in this category (49-32). At home they were 27-13-1. This high scoring trend has continued in the playoffs scoring 121 and 117. In the last regular season game between these 2 they hit 125. So 3 for the last 3, I'll take my chances they continue this high scoring that we are accustomed to.

⭐️Pacers-5 (First Half)
⭐️Pacers Team Total Over 114
Pacers-6.5-115

Back in a bit with thoughts/play on Denver game

 

[piratealew]

Pushed the first half, I think the Pacers come out to put them away in the 2nd. Another double down opp as I already have Pacers-6.5 for game

Pacers-5.5-120 (2nd half Live)

 

[piratealew]

Denver/Minnesota UNDER 205.5

 

[jjgold]

This should be a tight game pressure for Denver

 

[piratealew]

Looks like my NBA post didnt go through yesterday here but did across the street, happened with a MLB post. Need to pay more attention. Lost OKC, but won Boston yesterday 2-3 overall, split the top plays (OKC, Celtics).

Boston came through, while OKC missed at the end. Today Going back with Twolves, played Denver big in game 3 while hitting Wolves in the first 2 games. I believe this shifts back to Minny tonight after their embarrassing loss in G3. Tough to beat a team twice in a row on the road, Minny will step up tonight. Wolves are my biggest NBA play today.

⭐️Twolves-2-120
⭐️Pacers/Knicks Over 218-115
Pacers-5-120

 

[Wagerallsports]

GL today Pirate

 

[piratealew]

Denver made some big offensive adjustments last game, while Wolves didn't shoot the ball well and turned over the ball 16 times, yet the total went over. I expect the Wolves will shoot better and protect the ball better, while Denver will continue their offensive gameplan to push this over.

⭐️Denver/Minnesota Over 203.5-115