1700 Poland v Montenegro
Poland are top of Group E but with only being three points clear of Denmark in 2nd who face Romania at home, they\’ll be looking to get the job done and book their place in Russia next summer. After a much-improved campaign, Montenegro lost their grip on 2nd place with defeat to Denmark on Friday and now need a win to keep their slim hopes alive. Their task was difficult enough, to begin with before their talisman Steven Jovetic went off injured after just 20 minutes against the Danes and he\’s huge doubt here. He\’s scored nearly 40% of their goals and without him, it\’s difficult to see how they win. Poland, on the other hand, have a man in excellent form in Robert Lewandowski who after his hat-trick against Armenia, now has 16 goals in his last 10 internationals. They\’re not a one-man team though, and he\’s well supported in attack by Arkadisuz Milik, Kamil Grosicki, Jakub Błaszczykowski and Piotr Zieliński who all carry a significant goal threat. Poland themselves are not comfortable at the back though and have the 3rd worst defence in this group and have even conceded to San Marino and Gibralter in the last couple of years! With Poland\’s matches averaging 3.33 goals per game since 2015 and Montenegro\’s 2.81, Poland to win and over 2.5 goals looks a good bet at 1.95. Poland won the reverse fixture 2-1 in March.
Poland & over 2.5 goals 1.95 at Bet365
1700 Lithuania v England
England qualified for the 2018 World Cup on Thursday night but it was lackluster performance and took a 90th-minute goal from Harry Kane to get the job done. They struggled in the reverse fixture against Lithuania and only managed a 2-0 victory. Indeed Gareth Southgate\’s victories haven\’t been too emphatic with scorelines of 1-0, 2-1, 4-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 2-0. However, Slovenia, Slovakia, and Scotland have all managed to score twice in Lithuania and last time England were here in 2015 they won 3-0. It should be another case of when not if England wins, as they take their time to wear down the opposition. England to win and under 3.5 goals looks another good bet at odds against.
England & under 3.5 goals 2.05 at Befair
1700 Slovenia v Scotland
Scotland head into this match probably needing a victory to secure a playoff spot knowing that Slovakia are playing Malta at home. However, the public have got carried away, and the need to win has pushed Scotland as favourites for this match despite Slovenia possessing home advantage. Slovenia are yet to concede a goal at home in this qualifying campaign and they\’ve only suffered one home defeat in the last four years (3-2 v England). They have a world-class goalkeeper in Atletico Madrid\’s Jan Oblak and decent strikers in attack in Tim Matavz and Josip Ilicic. Scotland are nearly the same price as this fixture at home yet have already lost 3-0 away to both Slovakia and England. Slovenia are overpriced and are value draw-no-bet.
Slovenia DNB 2.00 at Unibet
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