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Alabama vs. Oklahoma College Football Week 13 Picks: Little Offense Anticipated on Saturday

Mercer v Alabama
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College Football Pick: Under 47.5 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Under 47.5 (-110)
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The Oklahoma Sooners look to get back on track when they host the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday. Let’s analyze the current college football odds available at the top-rated sportsbooks and go over all you need to know about this game.

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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Saturday, November 23, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at Memorial Stadium

Alabama Crushed Mercer

Jalen Milroe delivered a dominant performance in just over two quarters, throwing two touchdown passes and adding a rushing score as Alabama cruised to a 52-7 victory over FCS opponent Mercer on Saturday.

Ryan Williams showcased his versatility with a 29-yard rushing touchdown and a 14-yard touchdown reception for the Crimson Tide, who remain focused on strengthening their playoff credentials and contending for the SEC title.

By halftime, Alabama built a commanding 31-7 lead. Milroe exited early in the third quarter after a three-yard touchdown run, his 17th of the season, capped off the first drive of the half. Milroe finished the day completing 11 of 16 passes for 186 yards, highlighted by a 44-yard touchdown pass to tight end Robbie Ouzts, while also rushing for 43 yards on six carries.

The blowout allowed Alabama to give backups, including Ty Simpson, valuable game reps. Simpson connected on 5 of 10 passes for 71 yards, continuing the Tide’s dominance in a lopsided contest.

Missouri Upset Oklahoma

Missouri shocked Oklahoma 30-23 on November 9, sealing the victory with a dramatic 17-yard fumble return for a touchdown by Zion Young in the game’s final seconds.

Oklahoma took a 9-3 halftime lead on three field goals by Zach Schmit, including a career-best 56-yarder that tied for the third-longest in program history. However, turnovers proved costly for the Sooners, who fumbled six times and lost four.

Jackson Arnold struggled to find a rhythm, completing 15 of 24 passes for just 74 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. He added 45 rushing yards on 17 carries and caught an 18-yard touchdown pass from running back Taylor Tatum.

Xavier Robinson contributed 56 rushing yards on nine carries, while Deion Burks hauled in five catches for 44 yards in a game defined by Oklahoma’s mistakes and Missouri’s timely heroics.

Key Matchups

Alabama’s explosive offense, led by Milroe, looks to continue its dominant form, while Oklahoma’s defense will aim to capitalize on turnover opportunities to keep the game within reach. The Sooners, however, face significant questions on offense after a sloppy performance in their last game.

Jalen Milroe vs. Oklahoma’s Defense

Milroe has been efficient as both a passer and runner, throwing for two touchdowns and rushing for another on Saturday. His ability to stretch the field with deep passes and create opportunities with his legs makes him a dual-threat nightmare.

Oklahoma’s defense, which forced four fumbles in the game against Missouri, will need to replicate that kind of disruption to contain Milroe. The Sooners’ secondary must stay disciplined against Alabama’s vertical passing game, especially with targets like Ouzts emerging as deep threats.

Alabama’s Rushing Attack vs. Oklahoma’s Front Seven

The Crimson Tide’s run game, powered by Milroe and playmakers like Williams, adds another dimension to their high-powered offense. Williams’ versatility as both a runner and receiver will test the Sooners’ ability to tackle in space.

Oklahoma’s defensive front showed resilience at times but has struggled with ball security and physical rushing attacks, making this matchup a potential mismatch.

Oklahoma’s Turnover-Prone Offense vs. Alabama’s Opportunistic Defense

Arnold and the Sooners’ offense faltered under pressure against Missouri, losing four fumbles and failing to establish a consistent rhythm.

Oklahoma’s lack of a vertical threat could allow Alabama’s defense to load the box and focus on stopping the run. However, creative play-calling, like the touchdown pass from Tatum to Arnold, could keep Alabama’s defense on its toes.

Special Teams and Mistakes

Turnovers have been a recurring issue for Oklahoma, and against an opportunistic Alabama squad, those miscues could quickly snowball. The Sooners must clean up their ball-handling to stay competitive.

Meanwhile, Alabama’s depth gives them an edge in late-game situations, as they have proven capable of managing games effectively with their second and third-string players.

The Pick

Alabama’s balanced attack and ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes give them a clear advantage. While Oklahoma’s defense has shown flashes of potential, their offense’s inconsistency and turnover woes make it hard to see them keeping pace with the Crimson Tide’s scoring machine.

Expect Alabama to control the game with a combination of explosive plays and steady drives, while their defense frustrates Arnold and the Sooners’ offense into costly errors.

Oklahoma’s turnovers and offensive struggles keep them from mounting a serious challenge in this game or contributing to the high total.

College Football Pick: Under 47.5 (-110) at Bovada

Under 47.5 (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.

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