NCAAF Pick: Rutgers +2 (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
We’re heading to Week 11 of the College Football season! Here are three bets that the AI proprietary model has us considering for this week’s slate. Take a look at the changes in the betting lines and the odds offered by the top-rated offshore sportsbooks.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Boston College Eagles
Saturday, November 11, 2023 – 12:00 PM EST at Alumni Stadium
Our AI Model believes the Virginia Tech Hokies will earn a 29-25 victory over Boston College on the road Saturday. With the Hokies sitting at +2.5, there’s value in the underdog.
A Potential Upset
The Virginia Tech Hokies had won three of their last four games before a beatdown from Louisville last weekend. But in reality, most teams have gotten a beatdown from Louisville. The Cardinals have won all games but one this season.
On the other hand, Boston College is on a five-game winning streak after a win against Syracuse. They’ve earned some tight wins in the last month, winning four of their five games by one score.
Meanwhile, Virginia Tech defeated that same Syracuse team, 38-10, and added a 30-13 win over Wake Forest. When Virginia Tech is playing well, they’re earning massive victories.
The Pick
The Hokies have a dangerous offensive line that can really make Boston College’s pass protection break down. Take the Hokies at +2.5.
NCAAF Pick: Virginia Tech +2.5 (-110) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Saturday, November 11, 2023 – 02:00 PM EST at Folsom Field
Our AI Model believes Arizona will win Saturday’s Pac-12 matchup, 40-22 on the road. Arizona is just a 10-point favorite. Betting on the Wildcats against the spread is a wise decision.
Pac-12 Showdown
The Arizona Wildcats are on a three-game winning streak and are now bowl-eligible. We can’t say the same about the Colorado Buffaloes.
Colorado has lost four of their last five games and had to switch offensive coordinators because the offense wasn’t moving at a crisp level.
The Buffaloes managed to score just 19 points against Oregon State and only 16 points against UCLA in their last two games.
The Colorado defense has allowed nearly 34 points per game. They’ve also allowed 6.23 yards per game. The Buffaloes are a work in progress right now and are nowhere near good enough to compete with the top of the Pac-12.
Arizona wasn’t picked to be near the top of the conference. However, they’ve earned wins against Washington State, Oregon State, and UCLA and are now ranked in the AP Top 25. This team lost to USC in overtime and fell to Washington by one touchdown earlier in the year.
The Pick
Neither defense really pops out. But only one offense does. That’s Arizona. Grab the Wildcats at -10.
NCAAF Pick: Arizona -10 (-110) at Bovada
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Saturday, November 11, 2023 – 03:30 PM EST at Kinnick Stadium
The AI Model suggests Rutgers will escape Iowa with a 19-17 victory on the road. With Rutgers sitting at +2, taking Rutgers would be the play.
Rutgers as the Underdog to Outlast Iowa
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 7-2 on the season. But they’ve already fired their offensive coordinator for next season and have scored just 18.4 points per game.
It’s incredible to be 7-2 while scoring only 18.4 points per game. But it’s because of the defense. The Hawkeyes have surrendered 13.7 points per game, which is less than two touchdowns a game.
Iowa’s earning 3.39 yards per game on the ground. They’ve also averaged four yards per play this season. The offense isn’t good. They’re led by backup quarterback Deacon Hill, who has a QBR of 9.9 in five starts for the Hawkeyes.
Rutgers has been dominant in coverage. They’re also incredible at tackling. On top of that, the Scarlet Knights have been above-average on the defensive line, holding teams to 3.69 yards per game on the ground and 4.50 yards per play.
Iowa’s Dominant Defense
But Iowa’s defense is even better. They’re stopping the run at an even better pace and have converted on more tackles than Rutgers has, which is hard to do. The Hawkeyes are one of the best teams in coverage and have a reliable pass rush.
It’s just that Rutgers actually has an offense when Iowa doesn’t.
The Scarlet Knights, led by Gavin Wimsatt, have scored 26.8 points per game. Two of those seven games have been against Ohio State and Michigan, and yet, Rutgers has still earned nearly 27 points per game.
Kyle Monangai has been a big reason why. He’s rushed for 903 yards with seven touchdowns, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. He’s one of the Big Ten’s best running backs and added 159 yards against Ohio State last weekend.
The Pick
Monangai will have his work cut out for him against Iowa. But if he can run through Michigan State, Indiana, and Ohio State and earn 100+ yards in all three of those games, there’s no reason why he can’t do that against Iowa too. Take Rutgers at +2.
NCAAF Pick: Rutgers +2 (-110) at Bovada
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
Calculators
