Top NCAAF Pick: Kansas -3.5 (-110) at BetAnySports (visit our BetAnySports Review)
We’ve got plenty of amazing games on the college football Week 7 slate. For your Saturday’s betting action here are three NCAAF computer predictions endorsed by the AI Model.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. James Madison Dukes
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT at Bridgeforth Stadium
Our AI Model believes the James Madison Dukes will earn a 37-24 win, at home, against the Georgia Southern Eagles. At -3.5, James Madison’s plenty of value against the spread.
Dukes’ Unbeaten Streak Continues
The James Madison Dukes are now 5-0 and are getting another home game. They’ll be bowl-eligible with a win through six games.
The defense has been terrific against the run and isn’t terrible in coverage either. Sure, James Madison has allowed 350 yards total per game defensively. But that’s just due to poor tackling in the secondary. That likely won’t continue throughout the rest of the season. The Dukes have held teams to 38.6 yards per game on the ground. That’s how good that run defense is.
Therefore, Georgia Southern will be forced to throw the football a lot. They’ve earned 337 yards per game with Davis Brin. But Brin has thrown seven interceptions this season and has a QBR of 57.8.
The Pick
The James Madison offense has also earned 402 yards and should have more success throwing the football, knowing that Georgia Southern’s pass rush isn’t very efficient.
Take James Madison at the top sportsbooks to escape Georgia Southern on Saturday.
NCAAF Pick: James Madison -3.5 (-110) at BetAnySports
Florida Gators vs. South Carolina Gamecocks
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Williams-Brice Stadium
Our AI Model believes South Carolina will win 34-28 against Florida, at home, on Saturday. South Carolina is only a two-point favorite at the NCAAF odds. We’ve got value in South Carolina here!
Gamecocks’ Defensive Struggles Continue
The South Carolina defense has been miserable this year. But I’d like to think that the offense can do enough damage to help the Gamecocks earn a win in this game.
South Carolina has added nearly 400 yards per game behind Spencer Rattler at quarterback. Rattler has added 1411 yards passing in five games and has seven touchdowns with three interceptions. The run game needs to improve. That’s due to the offensive line struggling to create holes. However, Rattler should be able to move offensively on his home field in the air.
The Gamecocks have been trading wins for losses throughout the entire season. They lost against Tennessee last time out and had a bye week to prepare for this game.
Florida’s Recent Performance
Florida didn’t have a bye week. They took on Vanderbilt and earned an easy 38-14 win to go 4-2 on the season. The Gators have also averaged about 400 yards per game this season, including 153 yards on the ground.
They’re led by Graham Mertz, who has thrown for 1474 yards and nine touchdowns, with only two interceptions. The run game is solid, with Montrell Johnson Jr. leading the way with 5.2 yards per carry.
The Pick
However, despite South Carolina giving up so many yards defensively, the team hasn’t been that bad. They’ve done great tackling and are still solid against the run and in coverage.
They’ll have the home-field advantage and should be able to sneak by with a win.
NCAAF Pick: South Carolina -2 (-110) at BetAnySports
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, October 14, 2023 – 03:30 PM EDT at Boone Pickens Stadium
The AI Model suggests Kansas will earn a 32-27 win over Oklahoma State, on the road, on Saturday. The Jayhawks are only sitting at -3.5 against Oklahoma State, giving them some value against the spread.
Jayhawks Favored Against Cowboys
The Oklahoma State Cowboys earned an impressive win against Kansas State last Friday, 29-21. However, Oklahoma State lost two straight games to Iowa State and South Alabama before that game, allowing at least 33 points in each.
We don’t even know if Jalon Daniels will play for Kansas. But that doesn’t even matter. Jason Bean or Jalon Daniels can carve up this Oklahoma State defense.
Kansas has averaged 433.7 yards per game, with their backup quarterback for most of the year. They’ve rushed for 232.3 yards per game and 201.3 yards in the air. The offense scored 51 points at home against UCF as a near pick-em. The Jayhawks won that game, 51-22.
A Field Day
They’ll have a field day against Oklahoma State. Oklahoma State has allowed 371.4 yards per game on defense. However, there hasn’t been one area that has stood out defensively for the Cowboys. The secondary is slightly above average, and the run defense is average.
The Cowboys have allowed over 150 yards per game on the ground. That number will probably increase with Devin Neal rushing the football. Neal has rushed for 7.7 yards a carry on 77 carries this season. He’s also scored six touchdowns for the Jayhawks.
The Pick
On the other hand, Kansas is sensational as a secondary. They’ve held teams to just 218.2 yards per game in the air. The pass rush could be better, but the run defense has done well. They’ve given up 151.7 yards per game on the ground, but the run defense is totally better than that.
I’ll back Kansas in this one. If Daniels can play quarterback for Kansas, that’ll only be an added benefit to grabbing that 3.5 now.
NCAAF Pick: Kansas -3.5 (-110) at BetAnySports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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