Top Soccer Pick: Newcastle Draw No Bet (-143) [1.43u for 1u] at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
As the prestigious FA Cup competition resumes, domestic action across England takes a backseat this week. I’ve studied the betting markets offered at the top-rated online sportsbooks to formulate the best betting picks for the games involving Tottenham vs. Man City, Fulham vs. Newcastle, and more.
Continue reading for this week’s top soccer betting odds from across the FA Cup schedule set to take place on January 26, 27 & 28.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Manchester City
Match Info
- When: Friday, January 26, 03:00 PM ET
- Where: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Spurs D/W/W/L/W – Man City W/W/W/W/D
Tottenham vs. Man City Stats, Odds & Prediction
- Six goals were scored (3-3) when these sides met in December 2023.
- Man City has seen over 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 8 games in all competitions.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Spurs’ previous 7 home games.
Silverware Hopea Dwindling
With no European competition and Ange Postecoglous's disappointment of being knocked out in the EFL Cup, Tottenham's only chance to finally end their 16-year trophy drought is by winning the FA Cup, unless they have an unexpected resurgence in the Premier League title race in the upcoming months.
The Lilywhite's failure to overcome a Red Devils team going through a period of stagnation under Erik ten Hag might be seen as a missed opportunity. They will have had 12 days to reflect on the 2-2 draw before they resume their pursuit of success in the FA Cup. It's worth noting that they haven't been eliminated in the round of this tournament since 2018-2019.
Both teams have seen BTTS land in three of their last four games. That includes eleven out of Spurs’ last thirteen matches, and City experiencing it in their previous four away games, as well as three out of their last four encounters with this Friday’s home side.
This suggests that two of England’s most prolific teams should have no problem finding the back of the net on Friday's matchup.
First Ever Fourth Round Exit?
The EPL champions are currently one point behind Liverpool at the top of the EPL table, although they have a game in hand over them.
Guardiola is determined to avoid being knocked out in the fourth round of the FA Cup for the first time since his tenure as head coach. It's worth mentioning that City hasn't suffered such an outcome since Manuel Pellegrini was at the helm during 2014-2015.
Guardiola's team has scored two goals in their last nine matches across all competitions since their disappointing 1-0 loss to Aston Villa in December.
Interestingly, since the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium was built, it’s been a dreaded location for Manchester City who’ve gone through five matches without scoring a goal.
FA Cup Fourth Round Betting Odds & Predictions
After a thrilling and heated game ending in a six-goal draw between Tottenham and Man City at the Etihad in December, we anticipate another high-scoring match on Friday. This is mainly because both teams had a weekend break following matches in the top flight.
Considering Tottenham's shortage of midfield assistance, it seems probable that Man City will ultimately overcome their struggles to score at Tottenham's home ground. However, there might be a possibility of a second leg required to determine which team progresses to the 5th round.
Score Prediction: Spurs 1 – Man City 1
Soccer Pick: Both Teams to Score (-189) [1.89u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United
Match Info
- When: Saturday, January 27, 02:00 PM ET
- Where: Craven Cottage
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Fulham D/L/L/W/W – Newcastle L/W/L/L/L
Fulham vs. Newcastle Stats, Odds & Prediction
- Fulham hasn’t defeated Newcastle in all competitions since 2017.
- Newcastle defeated Fulham 3-0 in December, 2023.
- Fulham has lost 2 of their last 3 domestic meetings.
Bucking Trends
The most significant trend ahead of Fulham’s clash with Newcastle isn’t pretty.
This weekend’s home team hasn’t won a game against their opponents since 2017. In addition, they haven’t advanced to the fifth round of this competition in four of their last five attempts.
A regular starting XI made light work of Rotherham last time out, but now, it’s an all-EPL-battle in a 90-minute fixture that will present far more difficulties for the London-based squad.
Fulham has lost four consecutive games against Newcastle in all competitions, including back-to-back defeats at Craven Cottage in 2021 and 2022. Those four meetings ended with a 10-3 aggregate tally in favor of the Magpies, as Marco Silva will likely need something special up his sleeve to avoid elimination from the FA Cup this Saturday.
Emulating Recent Results
Newcastle earned bragging rights and a spot in round four with relative ease against Sunderland through a brace from Alexander Isak and an opening own goal from Daniel Ballard.
Prior to that third-round match, Magpies head coach Howe had overseen four consecutive losses in all tournaments.
Newcastle ended a wretched streak of three consecutive third-round eliminations by dispatching Sunderland. However, in the last eighteen years, they have only made it past round four once, ironically succumbing to Manchester City 2-0 in the 2019-20 quarterfinals.
Additionally, this weekend, the Magpies could become the first Premier League team to lose eight consecutive games against fellow top-flight opponents in the FA Cup. However, their most recent Premier League triumph, a routine 3-0 rout of hosts Fulham on December 16, was also their simplest path to victory in recent memory.
FA Cup Fourth Round Betting Odds & Predictions
Unsurprisingly, the EPL betting odds have placed Newcastle as the betting favorite for this matchup, albeit with a price tag that presents plus-money value.
Despite a recent downtrend in form, Fulham is one of the only teams that The Magpies and Eddie Howe were able to run through with ease, and I don’t envision much changing this weekend.
While the plus-money is tempting, we’ll take some insurance with the draw-no bet at a reasonable price of -143 because, although Newcastle should win, they aren’t the most trustworthy of EPL sides right now.
Score Prediction: Fulham 1 – Newcastle 2
Soccer Pick: Newcastle Draw No Bet (-143) [1.43u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame
Extra Premier League Bets to Beat the Bookie
West Bromwich Albion vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sunday, January 28, 06:45 AM ET
- Wanderers ML (+102) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Liverpool vs. Norwich City
Sunday, January 28, 09:30 AM ET
- Liverpool Wins Both Halves (+100 odds) at Everygame
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
Calculators
