Top NBA Pick: Rockets-Kings Over 233.5 (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
We’ve added three best bets with today’s nine-game slate in the NBA. Let’s add some profit to our bankroll to close out the weekend!
Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings
Sunday, March 10, 2024 – 06:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The Houston Rockets are starting to come around offensively lately. Houston has scored at least 126 points per 100 possessions over the last two games. Prior, the Rockets hadn’t scored at this rate since February 6. The Rockets are doing this by limiting turnovers at a very high rate and shooting a higher effective field goal percentage of better than 57% over the last two games.
If this offensive output continues, the Rockets should be in great shape. The team has done tremendously on the defensive end, forcing a high rate of turnovers and limiting teams to a very low effective field goal percentage.
The Kings haven’t defended well at all this season, which is one of the reasons the Rockets could continue their hot stretch from the floor. Sacramento has allowed at least 116.5 points per 100 possessions in six straight games. However, they’ve still gone 3-3 in those games because of the offense. The Kings have one of the better offenses in the NBA. They typically shoot a high effective field goal percentage and have solid games with little turnovers.
More importantly, the Kings are dominant on the offensive glass. On March 7, they added 40.8% of offensive rebounds in a win over the Spurs and 50% of offensive rebounds in a loss against the Bulls.
Despite the second chances and offensive rebounds, the Kings aren’t seeing the foul line often. But at home, I’d expect Sacramento to shoot at a higher percentage and still add many offensive rebounds when needed.
Therefore, I’ll trust both teams to push this game Over the total of 233.5 at -110 NBA odds.
NBA Pick: Over 233.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Sunday, March 10, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Rocket Mortage FieldHouse
The Cleveland Cavaliers won’t have Max Strus, Donovan Mitchell or Evan Mobley for tonight’s game against the Brooklyn Nets. Meanwhile, the Nets got Cam Thomas back at point guard but won’t have Cameron Johnson, Lonnie Walker IV or Ben Simmons, who is now done for the year with a back injury.
Brooklyn’s offense struggled against the Charlotte Hornets last night. The Nets couldn’t even score 100 points against the Hornets in, a 110-99 loss. Don’t expect much out of the Nets, who are facing a typically good Cleveland defense.
The Cavaliers don’t have three starters, but the defense has still played well. They just held the Timberwolves to 104 points per 100 possessions and earned a win thanks to the defense performance by guys like Jarrett Allen, who used to be a Nets player.
Anyway, without Mitchell, the Cavaliers aren’t scoring at a high rate. The offense has been consistently scoring around 110 points per 100 possessions. While that’ll likely be enough to beat the Nets, the better play here is the Under 207.5.
If neither team scores 100 points, I wouldn’t be surprised.
NBA Pick: Under 207.5 (-110) at BetOnline
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Sunday, March 10, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Paycom Center
The Oklahoma City Thunder have already knocked off the Memphis Grizzlies once this season, 116-97. But that was back in December. Now we’re in March. Still, the Grizzlies have taken a step back since that point, and the Thunder have grown even more.
Oklahoma City has played consistent defense over the last ten games. They’ve only had two matchups where they allowed teams to score more than 117.6 points per 100 possessions in the last ten games. Meanwhile, the Thunder have also held teams to under 17% of offensive rebounds over the last two games they’ve played.
On the other hand, the offense hasn’t been spectacular. The offense has struggled on the offensive glass and hasn’t scored points consistently. Oklahoma City got to the foul line at a high rate against Portland on March 6. But other than that game, it’s been hard for them to see the line consistently.
Recently, the Grizzlies have done well keeping teams away from the foul line. The defense has been above average throughout March. It’s just the offense hasn’t been up to par. Memphis has scored no more than 105.7 points per 100 possessions in six of their last eight games. That’s a truly horrible rate. The lack of points is due to a low effective field goal percentage and a very high turnover percentage.
Memphis is playing with many two-way players and misfits. Many of their players got season-ending injuries. Let’s back the Thunder at -15.5.
NBA Pick: Thunder -15.5 (-110) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
Calculators
