NFL Week 2 Swinger’s Best Bets: How Many Dogs Will Bark?
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Swinging Johnson
- September 15, 2024
Top NFL Pick: Texans -6 (-108) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Swinger went 1-2 against the number and got his first bad beat of the season when the Titans stopped playing in the fourth quarter and failed to cover against the Bears. However, Swinger vows to get back in black in Week 2 with three lock-line winners! So, let’s break down the NFL odds from the top sportsbooks.
Swinger’s 2024 NFL Record: 1-2 ATS (-3.46 units using a 1-to-5-unit system) @SwingeratBMR
Week 1 Recap (1-2 ATS, -3.46 units)
I had three plays last week and, of course, my top choice was the worst of the bunch as I had this pipe dream that Bryce Young and the Panthers would have markedly improved from last season because they sure as hell couldn’t have gotten worse. Or could they?
Anyway, the Cats got waxed, 47-10, by the Saints, and the +4 they were getting made this dreadful selection even more of a joke, and I dropped 3 units because of it. Just a bad pick but I’ll take solace in the fact that it was Week 1.
However, the Cardinals +6.5 cashed in a 34-28 loss to the Bills, but it should never have been that close. Nevertheless, I’ll take the 2 units and simply be content not to have endured another bad beat.
Speaking of which, my third and final pick involved the Tennessee Titans +4 for 2 units who watched a 17-point lead melt away like butter in a blast furnace. Will Levis, what the hell were you doing at the end of the game? This was the bad beat I feared as the Titans fell to the Bears, 24-17, leaving us 3.46 units down after Week 1.
Okay kids, let’s shake it off and move on to Week 2 where we’re looking for a sweet sweep to chase these early-season blues away. Who’s with me?! Damn straight you are – let’s go!
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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, September 15, 2024 – 01:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium
I know the Ravens nearly upset the Chiefs until their late-game touchdown was nullified but two painfully obvious things were apparent; Baltimore’s offensive line has regressed and their defensive backfield isn’t that great. Baltimore is an overrated team and they will have tons of issues against one of the best pass rushes in the game led by Mad Maxx Crosby of the Sin City Sackers.
I’m not sure that the Raiders will have much luck running the ball but if Gardner Minshew II can keep his head screwed on straight, he’ll be able to consistently find Brock Bowers for the short stuff while Davante Adams will stretch the field and Jakobi Meyers will be open in the slot.
Will the Raiders win? I doubt it but is +9 too many? Hell yeah! Let’s grab the points with the live road underdog.
NFL Pick: Raiders +9 (-110) for 3 units at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, September 15, 2024 – 1:00 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium
The public loves to bet on good teams and they don’t care whether they’re home, away, or on Pluto because chalk is king. This is setting up as just such a matchup and I am shocked that the Vikings are getting a full six points that I doubt will be available on game day.
Let’s not forget that the Niners are working on a short week after beating the Jets on Monday night. We should also note that the Vikings had an easy time of it against what appears to be a woeful Giants squad. But here’s the thing. It was the perfect opponent for Minnesota quarterback, Sam Darnold, to gain confidence as he enters this matchup against the powerhouse 49ers.
It was nearly a year ago that these teams met at the same venue with the same line and the Vikings claimed a 22-17 victory as 6-point home dogs over the 49ers. Yes, last year Minny had Kirk Cousins under center and this year we’ve got Darnold but the Vikings were also without Justin Jefferson in that game but this year he’ll be suiting up and showing off.
Lastly, not only is San Francisco working on a short week but they could be looking ahead to a divisional tussle with the Rams next week. Grab the home hounds here.
NFL Pick: Vikings +6 (-108) for 3 units at Heritage Sports
Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans
Sunday, September 15, 2024 – 08:20 PM ET at NRG Stadium
The Bears should never have won that game last week against Tennessee and my bankroll is still stinging because of it. Will Levis imploded and the Bears took advantage. Now consider the following box score from that game: Caleb Williams was 14-of-29 for 93 passing yards and zero touchdowns while their stable of running backs amassed a combined 84 yards. Chicago’s leading pass catcher, DJ Moore, had 36 receiving yards.
Impressed? But yet they still won, much to my chagrin, and everyone else who bet the Titans +4. So, do they magically turn it all around and outclass the classy Texans who have more weapons than Seal Team 6?
There’s just no way this is happening and although this number has spiked a full point from the opener, I’m going to lay the six before it climbs any higher. Let’s watch C.J. Stroud and the Texans teach Caleb Williams what a real offense looks like. Lay it and like it!
NFL Pick: Texans -6 (-108) for 3 units at Heritage Sports
The Woodman’s Corner (1-0 ATS)
The Woodman clicked with the Dallas Cowboys as a road underdog in the opening week of the season and he didn’t even have to sweat the bet. The Boyz cruised to a 33-17 win over the Browns and the score doesn’t indicate just how one-sided that lopsided victory was.
This week the Woodman returns with another narrow road hound in the L.A. Rams as they travel to the desert to take on the Cardinals. I’m not touching this one but here’s hoping my boy brings home the cash yet again. As they say in Boston, nothin’ sweetah’ than a repeatah’!
Woodman’s Pick: Rams +1.5 (-108) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
