NHL Best Bets for April 27: Capitals and Kings Hope to Make it 3-1 Heading Home For Game 5
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Eric Kelly
- April 27, 2025
NHL Pick: Kings/Oilers Under 6.5 (-135) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
We are halfway through the first round of the NHL playoffs, and we believe we have two exciting matchups on our card tonight. The Montreal Canadiens and Washington Capitals are fighting it out, and the Capitals hold a 2-1 series lead.
Elsewhere, we are targeting the total to go Under in the L.A. and Edmonton matchup.
Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens
Sunday, April 27, 2025 – 06:30 PM EDT at Bell Centre
Washington Capitals Slight Favorites
Although the Washington Capitals are the road team here, the sportsbooks have still marked them down as the favorites, but only slightly, as they are priced up at -110, compared to the Canadiens at -105.
The Capitals come into this game as the top-ranked team in the Eastern Conference. A win tonight would see them take a 3-1 lead back to Washington and have a chance to wrap up the series on home ice.
Washington vs. Montreal Trends & Facts
- Montreal is 5-15 in its last 20 games when playing at home against Washington.
- The total has gone Under in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing as the favourite.
- The total has gone Under in 4 of Washington’s last 6 games.
- Montreal is 6-1 in its last 7 games at home.
The Pick
Despite Washington struggling on the road recently with just a 3-7 record in their last ten, tonight’s game is probably their most important road game this season.
A loss tonight would tie things up at 2-2, then give the Canadiens a chance to go 3-2 up on the road. Even if they win, they still will be 3-2 up and have to take the sixth game back to Montreal.
Overall, we believe the Capitals are good value at -110 to win this game. Yes, the Canadiens have proved to be no pushovers, and the Capitals have struggled on the road, but in a one-off game, we like the Capitals and we would happily lay as low as -120 on their moneyline.
NHL Pick: Washington Capitals ML (-110) at BetOnline
Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers
Sunday, April 27, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at Rogers Place
High Scoring Series
We expected this series to be high-scoring, but we did predict under 6.0 goals for Game 1 — a pick that ended up losing, as the first three games have featured 11, 8, and 11 goals respectively, averaging 10 goals per game so far.
The Los Angeles Kings have enjoyed the better part of it, having taken a 2-1 series lead into Edmonton. A road win tonight would position them to return home with a chance to clinch the series and eliminate the Oilers.
The L.A. Kings have been 5-5 on the road in their previous 10 games, while the Oilers have gone 7-3 on home ice in their previous 10.
Regarding the series matchup tonight, we believe this game should be the one where both teams tighten things up. The Under should have a chance to hit. We can’t forget that four of the previous ten games between these teams have seen a shutout.
Los Angeles vs. Edmonton Trends & Facts
- Before the last three games, the over 6.5 goals had only hit in two of the previous seven matchups between these two teams.
- The total has gone Under in 9 of Edmonton’s last 13 games.
- Los Angeles is 4-1 in its last 5 games against Edmonton.
- Los Angeles is 10-3 in its last 13 games.
The Pick
Even though we’re laying some juice, we’re happy to take the -135 NHL odds for Under 6.5 goals tonight. Considering this line was as low as -160 in Game 1, we’re getting good value at -135, and the Kings should look to tighten up defensively and shut down the Oilers’ biggest threats.
Our computer is predicting a 4-2 Kings victory, and we tend to agree as we are predicting a 3-2 home victory. It really is hard to predict which team will win this game tonight, but the value does lie with the Kings at +130.
NHL Pick: Kings/Oilers Under 6.5 (-135) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
