Top NHL Pick: Maple Leafs-Sabres Over 5.5 (-125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
We are into the final weeks of the NHL regular season, and with six teams still vying for a chance to reach the playoffs, it’s all to play for in these final games.
Our NHL betting picks tonight take a look at one under and one over total. Firstly, we are looking to target goals in Buffalo in the Eastern Conference.
Our second pick of the night takes us to Florida, to a game between the Lightning and the Panthers, a state rivalry and a game in which we don’t expect many goals.
We’re breaking down all the key NHL odds you need to know straight from the top-rated sportsbooks in the game.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres
Tuesday, April 15, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at KeyBank Center
Target Low Total line
It’s coming towards the end of the regular season, and both these teams have their stalls already set out with the Toronto Maple Leafs guaranteed to make the post-season, the Buffalo Sabres are not making the post-season.
We love the total line set at 5.5 for -125 NHL betting odds in this matchup, despite both teams technically having nothing to play for, we still believe we will see goals in this game. Both teams combined have seen an average of 6.4 goals per game and combined allow 6.2 goals per game.
The Buffalo Sabres have seen the 2nd most amount of games go over the total this season with a total over record sitting at 45-26-7. Toronto have had a very modest over record at 37-39-4.
Toronto & Buffalo Trends & Facts
- The total has gone over in 7 of Toronto’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
- The total has gone over in 10 of Buffalo’s last 15 games against Toronto.
- Toronto is 7-1 in their last 8 games.
The Pick
We might be laying some juice here, but we like our chances at -125 that we will see six or more goals scored in this one. We would lay this line as low as -135 for this NHL matchup.
13 of the previous 15 head to heads between these teams have seen six or more goals scored.
NHL Pick: Maple Leafs-Sabres Over 5.5 (-125) at BetOnline
Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Tuesday, April 15, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Amalie Arena
Can Tampa Bay Hold Their Own
Both these teams are coming into this game having already made the playoffs but there is just one win separating both these teams, with the Tampa Bay Lightning sitting in 4th place in the Eastern Conference, the reigning Stanley Cup champions are in 6th place and a win in this game tonight would see them tie with their state rivals.
The Tampa Bay Lightning have been one of the best home teams in the NHL this season, having had the 2nd best record in the Eastern Conference. Whilst the Florida Panthers have had a strong road record this season, recent games haven’t been so kind to them, going 2-8 in their last 10.
Can Tampa Bay hold their own on home ice tonight and fend off their rivals? Or will Florida tie things up?
Florida & Tampa Bay Trends & Facts
- Combined both teams have allowed just 5.3 goals per game thus far this season.
- The Lightning are ranked fourth in NHL play for the fewest goals against this season, having given up 211 total goals (2.6 per game).
- The Panthers are one of the toughest defensive units in the league this season, conceding 213 goals (2.7 per game) to rank seventh.
The Pick
There is a lot on the line in this game, and we believe goals will be scarce to come by tonight. With both teams gearing up for the post-season, we believe both teams will treat this game like a playoff game.
It’s a big game for both teams, not only because they are rivals but also because there is a lot at stake for both teams as it will determine who their first round opponents are in the post-season.
We like the fact that we are getting plus money for the total to go under 5.5 in this NHL matchup. The +115 NHL betting odds for under 5.5 is a strong bet here, and we would happily bet this number down to +100.
NHL Pick: Panthers-Lightning Under 5.5 (+115) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
