NHL Best Bets for April 29: Toronto To Advance & Under to Hit in Sin City
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Eric Kelly
- April 29, 2025
Top NHL Pick: Maple Leafs ML (-140) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Toronto Maple Leafs have a chance to see off their Canadian rivals in the first round with a win tonight on home ice, as they currently hold a 3-1 series lead.
Elsewhere, we are targeting the total to go under in the Western Conference matchup between the Minnesota Wild and Vegas Golden Knights.
Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Tuesday, April 29, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Scotiabank Arena
Toronto to Make Light Work of Opponents
It hasn’t been tough going thus far for Toronto in this series against the Ottawa Senators. Having a 3-1 series lead, the Maple Leafs have scored 15 goals across the opening 4 games and allowed a total of 10.
The Senators knew it would be a difficult task to overcome the Maple Leafs in round one with their +330 odds pre-game. The Senators have been struggling for a while now on the road, having gone 2-6 in their previous eight outings.
Toronto was hoping for the series sweep last time out but failed to do so, losing the game 4-3 in overtime. They won’t want to give the Senators any hope by letting them win back-to-back games to make it 3-2 heading back to Ottawa.
Ottawa & Toronto Trends & Facts
- Ottawa is 1-5 in its last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone over in 7 of Ottawa’s last 9 games.
- Toronto is 9-0 in its last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone under in 8 of Toronto’s last 12 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
The Pick
The Toronto Maple Leafs finally seem like a team that can put teams away in the playoffs. Recent seasons have seen them as heavy favorites to lift the Stanley Cup heading into the playoffs, but for whatever reason, they can’t seem to get near the finals, let alone win the cup.
However, this season feels different. We believe Toronto should easily dispose of the Ottawa Senators tonight as we would happily lay as low as -145 NHL betting odds on the moneyline for them to do so on home ice for the 10th game in a row.
NHL Pick: Maple Leafs ML (-140) at BetOnline
Minnesota Wild vs. Vegas Golden Knights
Tuesday, April 29, 2025 – 09:30 PM EDT at T-Mobile Arena
Series Tied Heading Into Game 5
Admittedly, most pundits expected the Vegas Golden Knights to win this series; nobody said it was going to be easy, but tonight will be the Minnesota Wild’s biggest task thus far this season. A win for the Wild on the road would see them take a 3-2 series lead heading back to Minnesota for game six.
The Golden Knights are not as strong as they have been in recent seasons, but they are still a formidable team and among the favorites to lift the Stanley Cup. Currently, the Golden Knights are +900 to win the cup, whilst the Minnesota Wild are +2500.
Our biggest concern for the Minnesota team is their road record, having gone 11-4 in their previous 15 games. On the flip side, Vegas has gone 11-4 in their previous 15 games on home ice.
Minnesota & Vegas Trends & Facts
- The total has gone over in 5 of Vegas’ last 5 games against Minnesota.
- Vegas is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
- Minnesota is 2-7 in its last 9 games on the road.
- The total has gone over in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division.
The Pick
We are very much looking to oppose some over trends in this Game Five, but we feel there is a generous set of odds available on the under 6.5 line despite laying some juice. We are currently getting -140 for 7 or fewer goals to be scored.
Thus far, this series has had 6/7/7/7 goals scored. With the Wild knowing how important a win is tonight, they should look to keep things tight, and we think this could turn into a scrappy game of hockey. Look out for a 3-2 Vegas victory and take the under 6.5 goals to be scored for -140.
NHL Pick: Under 6.5 (-140) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
