NHL Best Bets for March 25: Auston Matthews to End Scoreless Streak
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Eric Kelly
- March 25, 2025
Top NHL Pick: Auston Matthews Anytime Goalscorer (+120) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
We have ten NHL games across the board tonight, with games dropping the puck from as early as 6 PM right up until 9:30 PM
We have two picks for tonight’s matchups. Our player prop selection is coming in at plus money, while we are looking to lay the juice on the three-way line as the Tampa Bay Lightning plays host to the Pittsburgh Penguins.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
Tuesday, March 25, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Scotiabank Arena
Matthews Performing Better at Home
Although Auston Matthews isn’t exactly going through a cold streak, he has failed to score in his previous two games (both on the road), while his previous four games beforehand (which were all played on home ice) saw Matthews score in three of those four matchups.
Matthews has missed a good chunk of games through injuries this season, but he has still managed to score 27 goals in 55 games played. However, the majority of his goals have come on home ice, with 18 goals scored in 25 games at home; he has only produced 9 goals in 30 road matchups.
Auston Matthews Trends & Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored more than 65% of his goals on home ice this season.
- Matthews has scored 217 goals on home ice throughout his NHL career to date, compared to 178 on the road.
- Matthews has scored on home ice in 8 of his previous 11 NHL games at the Scotiabank Arena.
The Pick
Given tonight’s opposition, we are more than happy to believe Matthews will be able to light the lamp on home ice tonight. The Philadelphia Flyers have been very poor in recent games, going 1-9 in their previous 10 games. They have allowed 3.8 goals per game and failed to even get on the scoreboard during two of those games, and also failed to score more than once during a further three of those ten games.
Matthews has scored 11 goals in 20 NHL games against the Flyers to date, and at +120, we believe he has strong enough NHL odds to score for the 12th time in 21 games.
We would happily bet this number down to +105 and wouldn’t be one bit surprised to see Matthews’ name on the scoreboard more than once in this NHL matchup.
NHL Pick: Auston Matthews Anytime Goalscorer (+120) at BetOnlineÂ
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Tuesday, March 25, 2025 – 07:00 PM EDT at Amalie Arena
Pittsburgh Up Against It
It’s going to be a very tough night on the ice for the visiting Pittsburgh Penguins as they pay a visit to Tampa Bay tonight following their 4-3 penalty loss against the Florida Panthers last time out.
Overall, the Penguins have struggled this season, allowing 3.54 goals per game (the joint 2nd most overall this season), while their opponents, Tampa Bay, have had the 8th best goals against record with just 2.7 allowed per game.
Taking a look at their attacks, the Penguins have been decent but still only average 2.94 goals per game, with their captain Sidney Crosby contributing to most of them. While opponents Tampa Bay boast the 2nd best goals per game with a total of 3.47.
Pittsburgh & Tampa Bay Trends & Facts
- Pittsburgh are 1-5 in their last 6 games on the road.
- Tampa Bay are 8-1 in their last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone over in 9 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
The Pick
This is a simple pick for us. With the Pittsburgh Penguins sitting 3rd from the bottom in the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is currently 5th and could possibly end the season in 3rd place.
The Lightning are a better team all around, and we like their odds to end this game in regulation on the three-way line. Tampa Bay are 8-2 in their previous 10 home games, while the Penguins are 3-7 in their previous 10 road trips.
The Penguins had to put in a hard shift to bring the Panthers to penalties last time out, we see another loss in the state of Florida on the cards for them.
NHL Pick: Lightning in Regulation (-125) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
