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Ravens vs. Steelers NFL Week 11 Picks: AFC North Showdown Promises High-Scoring Action

Cincinnati Bengals v Baltimore Ravens
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NFL Pick: Over 47.5 (-105) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

Over 47.5 (-105)
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First place in the AFC North will be on the line when the Ravens (7-3) visit the Steelers (7-2) on Sunday. Let’s analyze the current NFL odds available at the top-rated sportsbooks and go over all you need to know about this game.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Sunday, November 17, 2024 – 01:00 PM ET at Acrisure Stadium

Baltimore Came From Behind to Beat Cincinnati

In a thrilling Thursday night showdown, Lamar Jackson spearheaded a furious charge with three touchdown passes in the fourth quarter, helping the Ravens edge out the Bengals 35-34. Baltimore mounted an impressive comeback from a 21-7 third-quarter deficit, overcoming a standout performance by Cincinnati’s star receiver Ja’Marr Chase.

The Ravens piled up 231 of their 389 total yards in the final quarter alone. Jackson was electric, completing 25 of 33 passes for 290 yards and four touchdowns. On the ground, Derrick Henry contributed with 68 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries, while Tylan Wallace showcased his deep-threat capability with three catches for 115 yards and a score.

Jackson sealed the game with a kneel-down, ending the Ravens’ night just shy of 100 rushing yards, halting their streak at 42 consecutive games with at least 100 rushing yards—just one game short of tying the NFL record.

Pittsburgh Gets Massive Win in Washington

Russell Wilson shook off his first interception in nearly a year and connected with trade deadline acquisition Mike Williams on a 32-yard touchdown pass with under three minutes to play. This decisive score marked Wilson’s third touchdown throw of the day and secured the Steelers a dramatic 28-27 comeback victory over the Washington Commanders.

The Steelers, leaders of the AFC North, extended their winning streak to four games, including three straight since Wilson replaced Justin Fields as the starter. Wilson’s performance, though not flawless, was effective: he completed 14 of 28 passes for 195 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception.

George Pickens was a reliable target, hauling in five passes for 91 yards and a touchdown. Jaylen Warren provided steady production with 66 yards on 14 carries, while Najee Harris added 53 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries, contributing to Pittsburgh’s balanced offensive attack.

Key Matchups

Jackson’s recent heroics and Wilson’s steady hand will set the stage for a game defined by big plays and strategic execution.

Lamar Jackson vs. Steelers Defense

Jackson’s performance against Cincinnati where he completed 25 of 33 passes for 290 yards and four touchdowns, highlights his dual-threat capabilities. Pittsburgh’s defense, which has been instrumental in their recent four-game winning streak, will need to disrupt Jackson’s rhythm early.

The Steelers’ ability to pressure the pocket and force Jackson into quick decisions will be crucial. However, Jackson’s knack for making plays under pressure and finding targets like Zay Flowers and Wallace, who had a standout game with 115 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Bengals, could tip the scales in Baltimore’s favor.

Steelers’ Rushing Attack vs. Ravens’ Defensive Line

Pittsburgh’s ground game has been balanced, with Warren contributing 66 yards on 14 carries and Harris adding 53 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries against Washington.

Baltimore’s defensive line will have to contain this duo to prevent sustained drives that eat up the clock.

Henry’s 68-yard, one-touchdown performance against the Bengals suggests that the running game could be an X-factor, especially if the Ravens aim to control possession and limit Pittsburgh’s offensive opportunities.

Russell Wilson vs. Ravens’ Secondary

Wilson’s poise was evident in Pittsburgh’s narrow 28-27 win over the Commanders, where he threw three touchdowns despite completing only 14 of 28 passes for 195 yards. His ability to connect with targets like Williams for key plays will test Baltimore’s secondary.

If Wilson can build on this momentum, the Steelers could exploit Baltimore’s defensive vulnerabilities. However, Wilson’s susceptibility to turnovers might be a window of opportunity for the Ravens to capitalize on mistakes in this game.

Special Teams and Turnovers

With both teams boasting quarterbacks capable of explosive plays and defenses known for forcing errors, turnovers could play a pivotal role. Baltimore’s defense will look to force Wilson into hurried throws, while Pittsburgh’s defense will aim to disrupt Jackson’s pocket presence.

Any miscue could shift momentum dramatically, making special teams execution vital for field position.

The Pick

Expect a hard-fought battle where both teams trade scoring drives and test each other’s resilience. The Ravens’ ability to rack up yardage in clutch moments, combined with Jackson’s recent form, may give them a slight edge in a high-scoring game. 

NFL Pick: Over 47.5 (-105) at Bookmaker

Over 47.5 (-105)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.

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