2024 Republican Vice Presidential Candidate Odds: J.D. Vance Named Trump’s Running Mate
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Scott Kacsmar
- July 15, 2024
Editor’s Note 7/15: Former President Donald Trump has named Ohio Senator J.D. Vance as his running mate in the 2024 U.S. Election.
Vance was the favorite at +120. Bettors who wagered on Vance won $120 on a $100 bet.
With the 2024 Republican National Convention (RNC) this week in Milwaukee, expectations are for Donald Trump to finally announce his choice for his vice president in November’s 2024 US presidential election.
All we know for sure is that it won’t be Mike Pence again. But political betting sites have been offering betting odds for months, and several favorites have seemingly blown their shot, including Tim Scott, Ben Carson and Kristi Noem.
The spotlight has been on Trump’s legal battles, but the RNC figures to be a celebration of Trump’s VP pick that will complete the ballot on the Republican side for November.
Let’s look at the current odds and some of the likely favorites as Trump gets ready to announce his pick for the next Republican vice president.
Republican Vice President Odds
| Candidate | Bovada | Visit Site |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | +120 | |
| Doug Burgum | +200 | |
| Glenn Youngkin | +600 | |
| Marco Rubio | +1200 | |
| Ben Carson | +1600 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard | +2500 | |
| Tim Scott | +6000 |
When South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem’s social media pages were deactivated this week, some thought that was a sign that she would take over as Trump’s choice for vice president. However, that appears to be completely unrelated, and her odds at Bovada are in the tank at +20000 after that story broke that she wrote in her memoir about killing her dog 20 years ago.
Instead, the oddsmakers are viewing this as a 3-man race with only Doug Burgum, J.D. Vance, and Marco Rubio having better than +1000 odds to be Trump’s pick. Let’s break down their odds and potential.
Doug Burgum the No.1 Favorite?
It is always interesting to note when sportsbooks have some significantly different odds for a betting market as is the case here:
- BetOnline has a very tight 3-way race with Doug Burgum (+225), Marco Rubio (+240), and J.D. Vance (+250) in a virtual dead heat right now.
- Bovada has Burgum with more wiggle room at +165, Vance at +325, and Rubio farther back at +450.
The gaps in the Bovada numbers seem to be in line with other sources. At Election Betting Odds, Burgum currently leads with a 31.3% chance to be the vice president pick, followed by Vance at 22.2% and Rubio at 12.8%. That 31.3% chance implies odds of about +220 for Burgum, but the 22.2% for Vance is more akin to +350 than something like +250 at BetOnline.
Either way, if you are betting for Burgum, you want the better price at +225.
Burgum makes sense as a pick too, as vice presidents have tended to be much older than 40, which is all Vance will be in August. In fact, Burgum’s birthday is the day before Vance’s and he will be 68, which would make him the 4th-oldest vice president in US history.
Burgum is a successful businessman and one of the richest governors in the country. He can be the drama-free No. 2 to Trump and has experience in looking at infrastructure, technology, and energy.
2024 US Election Winner
J.D. Vance: Backing Youth?
Everyone complains about Trump and Joe Biden being the 2 oldest candidates to run for president, but what if a next in line was only turning 40? That’s what Ohio Senator J.D. Vance brings to the table.
Vance would be the 3rd-youngest vice president in US history behind only John C. Breckinridge (36 years, 47 days in 1857) and Richard Nixon (40 years, 11 days in 1953). There is a more recent precedent, as Dan Quayle was only 41 in 1989 under George H.W. Bush.
Vance is a Trump-backed Senator from Ohio, who could help build up voting support in that section of the country with Pennsylvania and Michigan nearby. Those states turned to Biden in 2020 and were a critical part of Trump’s upset win in 2016.
Marco Rubio Still in the Mix
Florida Senator Marco Rubio just did a campaign event with Trump last week in the home state they share, which would be a no-no for the election. Rubio would likely have to pick a different state as his residency as you cannot have 2 people from the same state on the ballot together.
This happened in the 2000 election when VP Dick Cheney switched from Texas to Wyoming to run with President George W. Bush.
Rubio has clashed with Trump in the past, but they see eye to eye on most topics, and he could help drum up support among minority voters for Trump.
