Steelers vs. Browns Thursday Night Football Picks: Expect a Defensive Struggle

Pittsburgh Outlasted Baltimore

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Baltimore Ravens 18-16 on Sunday, powered by a historic performance from Chris Boswell.

Boswell tied a franchise record with six field goals, helping the Steelers claim their fifth straight win. The defense stifled Baltimore’s high-powered offense. The Ravens were held to a season-low in points and the Steelers limited them to a season-low 329 yards and forced three turnovers, each of which led to a Boswell field goal.

The Ravens were plagued by 12 penalties and failed to establish rhythm behind Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry. Meanwhile, Steelers quarterback Russell Wilson threw for 205 yards but tossed an ill-timed interception in the end zone midway through the fourth quarter.

Najee Harris rushed for 63 yards on 18 carries, including a crucial two-yard gain to seal the win. George Pickens added eight receptions for 89 yards.

Remarkably, this marked the second time this season Pittsburgh won a game without scoring a touchdown. Boswell also made six field goals in the season opener against the Falcons. With their defense leading the charge, the Steelers now have a more comfortable lead in the AFC North.

Cleveland Struggled in New Orleans

The Browns suffered a tough 35-14 road loss against the Saints on Sunday, despite a strong performance from Jameis Winston. In his return to New Orleans, where he played the last four seasons, Winston completed 30 of 46 passes for 395 yards and two touchdowns.

Winston’s highlights included an 89-yard touchdown strike to Jerry Jeudy, who turned a short pass during a scramble into a massive play. He also connected with Elijah Moore on a 30-yard touchdown pass in the back of the end zone and followed it up with a two-point conversion to David Njoku, tying the game at 14 in the third quarter.

Jeudy had a standout game, hauling in six catches for 142 yards and a touchdown. Nick Chubb contributed 50 rushing yards on 11 carries, but the Browns struggled to find consistency. Kicker Dustin Hopkins missed two key field goal attempts from 51 and 32 yards in the second quarter, allowing the Saints to hold a 14-8 halftime lead.

Key Matchups

Both teams come into this matchup with contrasting identities: Pittsburgh leans heavily on a stout defense and the reliable leg of Boswell, while Cleveland relies on big plays through the air from Winston and dynamic performances from Jeudy. This game could hinge on who minimizes mistakes and seizes critical opportunities.

Steelers Defense vs. Jameis Winston

Winston’s 395-yard performance against the Saints showcased his ability to stretch the field, particularly with explosive targets like Jeudy. However, the Steelers’ defense, which forced three turnovers against the Ravens, thrives on disrupting quarterbacks and capitalizing on mistakes.

Winston’s tendency to take risks will be tested against a unit that has already proven capable of smothering high-powered offenses. If Pittsburgh can generate consistent pressure and force Winston into hurried decisions, it could spell trouble for Cleveland’s aerial attack.

Jerry Jeudy vs. Steelers Secondary

Jeudy’s 142-yard outing against the Saints highlighted his game-breaking ability, particularly on yards after the catch. Pittsburgh’s secondary will need to be disciplined in coverage and tackle effectively to prevent Jeudy from turning short gains into explosive plays.

If Jeudy gets loose, it could tilt the game in Cleveland’s favor, but Pittsburgh’s defense has a knack for limiting top playmakers.

Najee Harris vs. Browns Run Defense

Harris delivered 63 tough yards on 18 carries against Baltimore, including a critical late-game first down. Cleveland’s run defense will need to contain Harris and force Pittsburgh into 3rd and long situations, limiting their ability to control the clock.
If Harris can establish a rhythm, it will open up opportunities for Pittsburgh to lean on their methodical, ball-control offense.

Special Teams and Turnovers

Boswell has been one of Pittsburgh’s offensive MVPs this season while Browns kicker Hopkins missed two key attempts against the Saints, highlighting Cleveland’s struggles in the kicking game.

In a matchup likely to be decided by slim margins, special teams execution could prove decisive. Additionally, both teams must avoid costly turnovers, as each defense has shown the ability to capitalize on mistakes.

The Pick

This game is likely to be a grind, with both teams relying on their strengths. Pittsburgh’s defense will aim to contain Cleveland’s passing game, while Cleveland will need Winston to avoid turnovers and maintain composure under pressure. Special teams could play a pivotal role, as Boswell’s consistency gives the Steelers a clear edge in the kicking game.

Expect the Steelers to control the tempo with their ground game and defense, forcing Cleveland to play from behind. Pittsburgh’s disciplined defense and superior special teams will carry the day in a low-scoring game.

NFL Pick: Under 40 (-110) at BetOnline

Under 40 (-110)

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