Top Euro 2024 Quarterfinals Bet
Soccer Pick: France to Qualify (-154) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
The European Championships has reached the quarterfinals, and we’ve studied the Euro 2024 betting markets available on top sportsbooks to formulate the best betting picks for games involving Spain vs. Germany, Portugal vs. France, and more.
Continue reading for the top soccer betting picks and betting odds from across the Euro 2024 quarterfinals set to take place on July 5 and 6.
Spain vs. Germany
Match Information
- When: Friday, July 5, 2024 – 12:00 PM ET
- Where: Stuttgart Arena
- Win/Loss Record (Euros): Spain W/W/W/W – Germany W/W/D/W
Spain vs. Germany Stats, Odds & Prediction
- Spain has won all of their Euro 2024 games thus far.
- Germany are unbeaten in the Euro 2024 competition (3 wins, 1 draw).
- 4 of the 5 previous meetings between Spain and Germany ended with two or less goals.
- Germany has conceded just 2 goals from their 4 Euro 2024 games.
- Spain has conceded just 1 goal from their 4 Euro 2024 games.
La Roja’s Perfect Euros Record
Luis de la Fuente has done a fine job with his Spanish unit at the Euro competition thus far. After cleanly sweeping the group stage with three consecutive wins, his team continued this trend in the final sixteen with an effortless 4-1 victory over Georgia this past Sunday.
The record books state that La Roja has conceded one goal in its four Euro 2024 appearances thus far, but technically, the own goal scored by Robin Le Normand during the Georgia fixture means this side has yet to allow a goal by an opponent’s team member.
La Roja will face a fierce foe in Germany this Friday, but they’ll certainly take confidence, having avoided defeat against this nation in their previous six competitive meetings (Won 3, Drawn 3). That said, one notable statistic shows that Spain has failed to win in the knockout rounds versus a host nation at the Euros and the World Cup since the nineteen-thirties.
Euro 2024 Hosts Put to the Test
If one squad holds the most noteworthy off-pitch and on-pitch advantage, it would be Germany, the Euro competition’s hosts of 2024. Yes, Die Mannschaft did struggle at times versus Denmark, but with pinpoint striking accuracy involving nine of 14 shots hitting the target, even their lackluster performance in the competition still provided some commendable stats.
Spain is the most in-form top-10-FIFA-ranked squad at the Euros so far. Still, despite their successes against Georgia, Albania, Italy, and Croatia, this side hasn’t faced an attacking force compared to those sitting on the German’s starting XI.
Euro 2024 Quarterfinal Betting Odds & Predictions
The Euro 2024 betting odds have placed Spain as a slight favorite, but each side is holding plus-money odds of +172 and +183, respectively. That said, the quarterfinal meetings across the board will be nervy encounters, and given Germany and Spain's elite defensive form, we shouldn’t expect a plethora of goals in 90 minutes.
Spain has been almost perfect, but Germany isn’t far off. Die Mannschaft's home advantage could be the difference in frustrating the Spanish and keeping this game close, resulting in extra time and potentially a penalty shootout.
It’s difficult to split these sides, especially when three of their last four meetings resulted in two goals or less. Considering the importance of this fixture, going back to the well with under 2.5 goals feels like a wise and valuable betting position.
Score Prediction: Spain 0 – Germany 0 (Spain Win on Penalties)
Soccer Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-115) [1.15u wager returns 1u of profit] at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
Portugal vs. France
Match Information
- When: Friday, July 5, 2024 – 03:00 PM ET
- Where: Volksparkstadion
- Win/Loss Record (Last 5): Portugal W/W/L/W – France W/D/D/W
Portugal vs. France Stats, Odds & Prediction
- 4 of the previous 5 meetings between France and Portugal ended with 2 goals or less.
- France is undefeated against Portugal in all competitions dating back to 2000.
- Portugal are winless in 90 minutes in two consecutive Euro 2024 games.
- France hasn’t lost a game in all competitions since the World Cup Final 2022.
- France hasn’t lost a game in 90 minutes since November 30, 2022.
Selecao’s Struggles to Continue
Cristiano Ronaldo meets Kylian Mbappe at the main event of Friday’s Euro action. Still, there’s no denying that the former is seemingly beyond the prime years that created one of the greatest players in the history of soccer.
Ronaldo’s problems are evident, especially after the tears trickled down his cheeks following a penalty miss against Slovenia last time out. Fortunately, Portugal survived a penalty shootout and managed to secure the win. Still, their most cherished player was out of sorts, and these dyer situations won’t suffice versus the World Cup finalists.
Portugal has gone one further than their Euro 2020 final sixteen exits, but the next two meetings present a world of problems. Should they edge past France this Friday, they’ll be faced with Germany or Spain in the semis, with the potential of England or Holland in the final.
Roberto Martinez’s men have their work cut out for them, and following two back-to-back Euro games without scoring in 90 minutes, something needs to change.
Les Bleus: More than Meets the Stats
The joint pre-tournament favorites, France, haven’t exactly lit up their opponents as many expected. Two of this team's three Euro goals were own goals, with just one French national being responsible for hitting the net, and it was a penalty.
However, how long will these statistics remain because Didier Deschamps and co. are sitting inside the top three for shots taken and the least shots on target by the opposition? They’ve also collected a 6.8 expected goals stat, proving they’re one of the best attacking sides without actually scoring.
Euro 2024 Quarterfinal Betting Odds & Predictions
The Euro betting odds have France positioned as the favorite to win by a considerable margin, and rightfully so. That said, you can never underestimate the squad talent of the Selecao, so we shouldn’t expect a complete whitewash come Friday.
Per usual, Mbappe has the chance to be the key component for France, as he was at the World Cup two years ago. It might go into extra time, but a fade on an out-of-sorts Portugal squad seems fair, and the odds of France qualifying at -155 is a safer proposition as opposed to backing the moneyline.
Score Prediction: Portugal 0 – France 1
Soccer Pick: France to Qualify (-154) [1.54u wager returns 1u of profit] at Everygame
Extra Euro 2024 Bets to Beat the Bookie
England vs. Switzerland
Saturday, July 6, 2024 – 12:00 PM ET
- Switzerland Win or Draw (-150) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Netherlands vs. Turkey
Saturday, July 6, 2024 – 03:00 PM ET
- Netherlands ML (-152) at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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