UFC Paris Fight Night Punching Parlay: Baguettes and Bankers From the City of Love
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David Manyun
- September 25, 2024
UFC Paris Punching Parlay
- Taylor Lapilus ML (-360)
- Ludovit Klein Inside the Distance (-190)
UFC Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+100) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the City of Love for an action-packed 14-fight schedule headlined by Benoit Saint-Denis and Renato Moicano.
As always, I’m here to supplement your UFC parlay betting needs. Continue reading to find my favorite picks from the UFC Paris Fight Night card, as I believe the following UFC odds from top sportsbooks are worth coupling to create the perfect MMA parlay value for Saturday night.
UFC Paris Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, September 28, 2024 – 12:00 PM ET
- Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
- Scheduled Fights: 14
- Main Event: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Renato Moicano (UFC Lightweight Bout)
Taylor Lapilus vs. Vince Morales
UFC Paris Bantamweight Bout
Lapilus: The Story So Far
Taylor Lapilus is an obvious choice for UFC matchmakers whenever the promotion returns to Paris. He’s a local fan favorite, was born in the City of Love, and has won five of his seven UFC outings to date. More importantly, he’s an intelligent workhorse in the striking realm, and those willing to stand and bang will endure a long night with ‘Double Impact.’
- Lapilus Pro MMA Record: 20-4-0
- Lapilus Knockout Wins: 4
- Lapilus Submission Wins: 6
Morales: The Story So Far
Oregon native Vince Morales made his UFC debut in 2018. He went on to lose five of eight fights, and the promotion had seen enough by 2022, which relieved him of his services. Two years later, following a five-fight win streak on the regional scene, he returns to the big stage older, slower, and without any victories that make us say ‘wow.’
- Morales Pro MMA Record: 10-0-0
- Morales Knockout Wins: 7
- Morales Submission Wins: 5
UFC Paris Lapilus vs. Morales: Skillset Breakdown
Morales has fought predominantly behind a wrestling base, but as a UFC competitor, it’s almost been non-existent or, at least, ineffective. After losing his contract with the promotion in 2022, he returned to the regional scene and dominated the opposition. But has anything changed since his previous stint? I’m going out on a limb to say no, it hasn’t.
Morales’s return fight this weekend genuinely feels like a layup for his opponent. At 33, with five losses already recorded in the UFC, don’t expect any new additions to his skill set. Without the takedowns, he’ll be limited on the feet, and as the slower, more plodding fighter, he’ll likely be a punching bag for the French national.
Lapilus has displayed excellent takedown defense, and throughout his UFC tenure, yes, he’s been dragged to the mat. However, his get-up game has been noteworthy, and Morales isn’t exactly the Khabib Nurmagomedov of top control.
Lapilus Moneyline Reasoning
The available UFC odds favor Lapilus at -360, and these odds speak volumes about his potential.
I expect Morales’s low output and limited striking offense to be on full display this weekend as the faster, more precise, and potent striker in Lapilus gives the home crowd a reason to smile, lives up to his probability, and walks out of the Accor Arena victorious.
UFC Paris Leg 1: Taylor Lapilus ML (-360) at BetOnline
Ludovit Klein vs. Roosevelt Roberts
UFC Paris Lightweight Bout
Klein: The Story So Far
Aged 25, L’udovit Klein entered the deep waters of the UFC and suffered a 1-2 record in his first three outings. We doubted his potential then, but boy, did he prove us wrong. Since shifting from featherweight to the lightweight division in 2022, the Slovakian has been almost unstoppable.
Klein returns to the octagon this weekend at 29 and is arguably entering his career’s prime. Behind a six-fight unbeaten streak, including noteworthy wins over Thiago Moises and Ignacio Bahamondes, he’ll be fighting down the rankings on Saturday, and he’s seemingly primed to roll in this spot.
- Klein Pro MMA Record: 22-4-1
- Klein Knockout Wins: 9
- Klein Submission Wins: 8
Roberts: The Story So Far
Roosevelt Roberts just might not be capable of competing at a UFC level. He hasn’t won a fight in the promotion since 2020, that’s a huge red flag alone. When you inspect his regional scene stint after getting cut, there’s nothing to run home about, and a losing effort in the most recent season of The Ultimate Fighter should’ve been his last fight.
However, he we are… and the UFC is gifting him another opportunity. He’s not the worst fighter by any means, and to be honest, win or lose, his fights aren’t boring. That said, there’s no reason to believe that he’s cut out to compete with the elite, and this sentiment becomes evident when you see his UFC Paris betting odds.
- Roberts Pro MMA Record: 12-4-0
- Roberts Knockout Wins: 4
- Roberts Submission Wins: 5
UFC Paris Klein vs. Roberts: Skillset Breakdown
Roberts, well, what can we say? He doesn’t have a mixed bag of skills, and a striking battle would certainly be his greatest path to victory this weekend. Unfortunately for him, Klein is a vicious striker whose inside striking and power have much greater potential for success. Roberts also has takedown and grappling deficiencies. He’s flat-footed on the feet, with questionable durability, and although he’ll have a size advantage, he’s never utilized his long frame well.
More to the point… Klein is no stranger to shattering the hopes of lengthy fighters, e.g., Bahamondes. Interestingly, both men have fought this opponent, where one gets wheel kicked ko’d, and the other delivers a clear-cut decision win. Can you guess who?
Klein will have a wrestling advantage, striking advantage, more power, and a takedown threat versus Roberts, who presents minimal resistance should he feel unsafe in striking exchanges.
Klein Wins Inside the Distance Reasoning
The available UFC odds favor Klein at -900, making him the biggest betting favorite at UFC Paris. It’s strange how he’s fighting so far down the rankings compared to his recent opponents, but as the matchmaking doesn’t compute, his chance of success does!
It should be an absolute cakewalk for the more well-rounded fighter with advantages in both grappling and striking. With 15 minutes on the clock and an opponent whose UFC losses include three of four by knockout or submission, Klein is live to finish this one inside the distance.
UFC Paris Leg 2: Ludovit Klein ITD (-190) at BetOnline
The Parlay
- Taylor Lapilus ML (-360)
- Ludovit Klein Inside the Distance (-190)
UFC Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+100) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
