Our Top Betting Pick for UFC Vegas 75
UFC Pick: Jared Cannonier -105 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Returning to the Apex in Las Vegas, the UFC will host an elite-level MMA event this weekend as top contending middleweights compete in the evening’s main event, and we’re covering all your betting needs.
No.3-ranked Jared Cannonier prepares the heavy leather in his gloves to tackle the No.4-ranked Marvin Vettori in a clash of rankings supremacy.
Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Vegas 75 main event clash between Vettori and Cannonier, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC first look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.
Vettori vs. Cannonier Key Facts
- Vettori is winless versus top-5-ranked opponents.
- Cannonier has defeated two former title challengers in 2 of his last 5 bouts.
- Cannonier has won 5 of his last 7 bouts in the UFC top-10 middleweight rankings.
UFC Vegas 75 Information
- When: Saturday, June 17, 2023 – 09:30 PM EDT
- Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
- Scheduled Bouts: 14
- Main Event: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier
- Moneyline Probability: Vettori – 53.5% (-115) Cannonier – 51.2% (-105)
UFC Vegas 75 Vettori vs. Cannonier: Tale of the Tape
Marvin Vettori
If you’re taking a nap in Italy, don’t be surprised if Marvin “The Italian Dream” Vettori makes an appearance. As the fighting pride of Italy, despite failing to win the middleweight championship versus Israel Adesanya, he’s still the most successful professional mixed martial artist to stem from the beautiful country when evaluating the top-tier rankings of Italian fighters past and present.
Aged just 29, the championship gold is still obtainable for Vettori in his young career. More impressively, he’s now collected eight years of experience competing for the UFC, and it could be argued that his prime fighting years are still to come.
The upper echelon of middleweight competition has undeniably slowed Vettori’s dominance at 185 lbs, but a 7-2 record held since 2019 isn’t a concern, particularly when we know the standards have been raised.
Vettori Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (Two times)
- UFC Fight of the Night (One time)
- Venator Fighting Championship welterweight champion (One time)
Vettori Best Moneyline Odds: -115 at BetOnline
Jared Cannonier
He isn’t getting any younger, but that hasn’t prevented Jared Cannonier from retaining his position within the top-five middleweight rankings. At age 39, doubt in the mind of sports bettors will naturally creep in, but with recent wins over Sean Strickland, Derek Brunson, and Kelvin Gastelum, the “Kila Gorilla” hasn’t provided us with reasons for concern.
Much like his weekend opponent, Cannonier faltered in his championship opportunity versus Adesanya. However, he’s 6-2 in his last 8 bouts, with his only losses coming against the champ and the former champion Robert Whittaker.
Cannonier Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (Four times)
- UFC Fight of the Night (One time)
- Alaska Fighting Championship heavyweight champion (One time)
Cannonier Best Moneyline Odds: -105 at BetOnline
UFC Vegas 75 Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights
Vettori’s relentless 25-minute cardio has been a deciding factor in many of the five-round bouts he’s been involved with. He’ll look to throw the jab alongside some looping hooks in an attempt to get on the inside where he can utilize the clinch and potentially find a takedown.
Unfortunately for Vettori, finding his way inside Cannonier is much easier said than done. The American is defensively sound with a consistent high guard, and more importantly, he’s patient. Every time his Italian opposition gets close, he’ll make him pay with counterstrikes.
Another factor that assists Cannonier is the leg kicks, where it isn’t difficult to envision him mixing up the offensive attacks to cause damage in multiple areas.
The UFC Vegas 75 Best Bet Formula
The available odds at the top US sportsbooks have almost split this bout down the middle, but Cannonier is the slight underdog at -105. It’s challenging to separate the two, but if the judges score damage as the number one criterion, as they should, “The Killa Gorilla” is a great play.
Vettori is the A-side, but his style of walking down opponents isn’t going to fare well when colliding with the power of Cannonier. The kicks are a huge factor, the power will keep Vettori from consistent pressure, and it’s the value side of an evenly-lined contest.
UFC Pick: Cannonier ML -105 at BetOnline [1.05u to win 1u]
UFC Vegas 75 Main Card & Odds
- Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier [UFC middleweight main event bout]
- Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva [UFC co-main lightweight bout]
- Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Armen Petrosyan [UFC middleweight bout]
- Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida [UFC featherweight bout]
- Nikolas Motta vs. Manuel Torres [UFC lightweight bout]
- Muslim Salikhov vs. Nicolas Dalby [UFC welterweight bout]
UFC Vegas 75 Preliminary Card & Odds
- Raoni Barcelos vs. Miles Johns [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Jimmy Flick vs. Alessandro Costa [UFC flyweight bout]
- Kyung Ho Kang vs. Cristian Quinonez [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Carlos Hernandez vs. Denys Bondar [UFC flyweight bout]
- Felipe Bunes vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov [UFC flyweight bout]
- Tereza Bleda vs. Gabriella Fernandes [UFC women’s flyweight bout]
- Ronnie Lawrence vs. Daniel Argueta [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Modestas Bukauskas vs. Zac Pauga [UFC light heavyweight bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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