UFC Vegas 83 Punching Parlay
- Rountree/Smith – Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-400)
- Costa Moneyline (-240)
Two Team Parlay (-130) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to renowned UFC Apex in Vegas with an elite main event between Yadong Song and Chris Gutierrez. Today we’re hunting out the best betting picks to formulate the perfect parlay on our main offshore sportsbooks.
Below, you’ll find two of our best bets from the UFC Vegas 83 fight card, and we believe the highlighted betting lines below are worth the risk for a parlay on this weekend’s event; continue reading to find the betting value.
UFC Vegas 83 Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, December 09, 2023 – 07:00 PM ET
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
- Scheduled Fights: 12
- Main Event: Yadong Song vs. Chris Gutierrez (UFC Bantamweight Bout)
Khalil Rountree Jr vs. Anthony Smith
UFC Vegas 83 Light Heavyweight Bout
Smith: The Story So Far
Co-headliners of UFC Vegas 83, Anthony Smith and Khalil Rountree Jr., are at vastly different stages of their careers despite being of similar age.
Smith, who is 35 years old, will engage in his 56th bout as a professional fighter. In 2019, he was unsuccessful in winning the UFC Light Heavyweight championship. Smith, who has been a top-10 contender for nearly a decade, has already begun to be written off by many admirers as an aging veteran in his final years of competition.
Smith’s Stats
- Smith Pro MMA Record: 37-18-0
- Smith Knockout Wins: 18
- Smith Submission Wins: 15
Rountree Jr: The Story So Far
Rountree Jr., 33, has regained his composure following an unusual beginning to his UFC tenure. Rountree has won his previous four bouts, but prior to that, he held a 4-5 record in the octagon.
The LA-born fighter was originally slated to face fellow emerging contender Azamat Murzakanov on the UFC Austin card; however, Smith was compelled to substitute for Murzakanov due to an injury.
Rountree’s Stats
- Rountree Pro MMA Record: 12-5-0
- Rountree Knockout Wins: 8
- Rountree Submission Wins: 0
UFC Vegas 83 Smith vs. Rountree: Skillset Breakdown
Rountree might be confronted with some intriguing challenges by Anthony Smith. Over the course of his four-fight winning stretch, three of which were decided via vicious knockout, Rountree has fought exclusively against strikers of late. Moreover, despite Smith’s preference to duke it out, he will probably attempt to drag Rountree to the canvas, which would be the smartest game plan.
There is no indication that Smith will attempt to ragdoll Rountree or attempt a takedown early. But for the record, Smith has submitted his opponents in every match in which he held a substantial grappling advantage.
If the finest version of Anthony Smith comes up for this fight, he will likely find a submission. However, an excessive number of inquiries encompass a combatant who appears to have already positioned himself for life after the octagon, and Rountree’s power is nothing to play around with.
Although the score may be closer than what most predict, Smith must maintain an almost flawless performance throughout to secure the victory.
Fight Goes the Distance/No Reasoning
With Smith’s noteworthy jiu-jitsu skillset and respectable striking credentials, he’s always been game to finish a fight inside the distance. In fact, just 6 of his 20 UFC bouts were decided on the judge’s scorecards.
Likewise, Rountree rarely goes the distance. In 13 UFC bouts to date, he’s gone all three rounds in just four of those contests, with nine stoppages, win or lose.
The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review favor Rountree. While I understand the question marks surrounding Smith’s career, there isn’t a ton of supporting evidence that the former title challenger is done yet.
With that said, backing this fight to end before the allotted time limit presents the safest wager, in my opinion.
UFC Vegas 83 Punching Parlay Leg 1: Fight Goes the Distance/No (-400) at BetOnline
Melquizael Costa vs. Steve Garcia
UFC Vegas 83 Featherweight Bout
Costa: The Story So Far
Melquizael Costa, similar to his opponent, entered the UFC for the first time with little preparation. He was ultimately defeated in the second round by a rear-naked choke executed by Thiago Moises. Costa’s second fight, a one-sided domination of Austin Lingo, was far more triumphant, resulting in Costa’s eighth win out of ten fights.
Costa’s Stats:
- Costa Pro MMA Record: 20-6-0
- Costa Knockout Wins: 7
- Costa Submission Wins: 6
Garcia: The Story So Far
Steve Garcia achieved a streak of four straight victories following a decline in performance with a record of 1-3 in 2018. However, on short notice, he suffered a defeat against Luis Peña in his first appearance in the UFC. He emerged victorious in three out of his next four fights by way of knockout or technical knockout. Also, he received his initial post-match incentive while displaying unwavering determination.
He has demonstrated his ability to successfully finish the job inside the distance, as all of his eleven professional victories in the last five years have been determined by delivering a knockout blow.
Garcia’s Stats:
- Garcia Pro MMA Record: 14-5-0
- Garcia Knockout Wins: 11
- Garcia Submission Wins: 0
UFC Vegas 83 Costa vs. Garcia: Skillset Breakdown
Costa is not only an exceptionally durable technical kickboxer, but his resilience is also considerably superior to that of Garcia; Garcia’s sole technical knockout defeat occurred in 2017 during a corner stoppage between rounds. Due to the limited opportunities, Garcia must deliver precise strikes with TKO potential; such omissions will give the Brazilian a substantial advantage as a possible victor.
Melquizael Costa Moneyline Reasoning
Costa needs only to endure the initial five minutes of Garcia’s explosive character in order to increase his likelihood of winning. It would not be surprising if “Melk” managed to stop Garcia in the form of a KO/TKO courtesy of his considerably more refined technique and formidable durability, given Garcia’s reckless propensity to advance with all weapons ablaze.
The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review haven’t altered much since the bout was originally set to occur during the previous UFC event. However, with Garcia pulling out due to illness, it gives us even more reasons to back Costa’s moneyline of -240, a reasonable price for a parlay addition.
UFC Vegas Punching Parlay Leg 2: Costa ML (-240) at BetOnline
The UFC Vegas 83 Punching Parlay
- Smith/Rountree FDGTD (-400)
- Costa Moneyline (-240)
UFC Pick: -130 [1.30u stake returns 1u profit] at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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