Here we go again, again.
Some history...
Dead arm
www.bookmakersreview.com
Sometimes it can be deceiving. Does this tight 50-50, or so, trading really warrant some signal that the best book in the world is taking a position in Texas? Trying to take some Zona dollars? So what really happened here? With the late blink. Was it that the market was taking Texas money and...
www.bookmakersreview.com
Today, for game 4, I have Arizona slightly favored to win the game 52.83% of the time to Texas' 47.17% win probablitly.
That's a vig free line of about -112/+112 with Zona, the home team, on the -112.
Zona opened early last night at even to plus money, from +100 at BOL and +102 at
Pinny and even a generous +105 at BM/betCris.
I am not surprised the Zona dog money was bought up early moving the market, once again, towards my line with Zona now pushing -109 and -110 in those houses. Early, lower limit trading at BOL pushed Zona up to -112 before Texas found support bringing Zona back to -109 and -108 areas.
Pinny is currently dealing the same -104.83 no vig line as the close of yesterday's game only this time Zona is favored there, instead of Texas yesterday.
We saw value at plus money on Arizona eary when facing my no vig line but that value is now gone. I own some early trades with Zona at those levels, but none past +100.
Let's see what type of movement can be left in what's sure to be, like yesterday, a very tight market.