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A Lot of sharps on Texas for the World Series?

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,197
I'm not sure they are dead even....

Series prices say different.
Texas -169
Ariz +149


Texas better at the plate and better starting pitching, except I'm not sure Scherzer pitching well so it probably isn't as large a Rangers edge. Relief pitching seems pretty even on paper but I think Ariz has an edge.
 

Franz555

Franz555

Joined
Apr 10, 2018
Messages
5,740
I think Texas wins this going away, maybe 5 games.
Tanko makes a valid point about Scherzer, tho I'm sure he will have a short leash.
Texas bats will put up some big #'s , starting with tonight.
 

Jrgum3

Jrgum3

Joined
Oct 18, 2021
Messages
4,960
Who has the better pitching staff?
Rangers have the better starting pitching with their big 3 I think but the relief pitching will tell the story in this series and Arizona's bullpen has been arguably the best this postseason. I still like Texas both tonight and in this series but it may be closer than people think because Arizona can hit and their bullpen can get key outs as they showed in games 6 and 7 against Philly.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,481
I say we take it game by game.

I do tend to agree with Gold, at least for this first game, that the line should be closer to a pickem.

I have a no vig line of -113/+113 and it does not surprise me that we've seen this line drop from the open, towards my line.

The question is just how much overlay Zona backers are looking for to stop that line...20 cents, 30 cents?
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,481
I say we take it game by game.

I do tend to agree with Gold, at least for this first game, that the line should be closer to a pickem.

I have a no vig line of -113/+113 and it does not surprise me that we've seen this line drop from the open, towards my line.

Here we go again.

For game two I have a no vig line of -104/+104 and once again am not surprised the line has moved towards my line.

Yesterday I had Texas as the small favorite, today I have Zona as the small, -104 no vig favorite. We're talking win probabilities of 51.15% for Zona vs 48.85% on Texas, just edging closer to a coin flip than yesterday.

Despite the line move, we still see value on Zona, like yesterday.
 
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