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Colorado & Other Big Line Moves

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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Colorado, Deion Sanders hype causes major line move vs. rival​

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Bettors can’t get enough of Colorado and Deion Sanders, aka “Coach Prime,” who has guided the Buffaloes to two straight wins and easy covers to start the season.

Colorado opened as a 19-point favorite over Colorado State on Sunday morning at Circa Sports before sharp action on the Buffs quickly pushed the number to 23½ for Saturday’s rivalry game in Boulder.


The line settled at 22 on Monday at Circa and the Westgate SuperBook but was at 23 at Station Casinos, which, like most books, took a hit Saturday on Colorado’s 36-14 rout of Nebraska as a 2½-point favorite.


“It’s the hype train,” Red Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. “There’s a lot of money coming in on Colorado. It was, by far, the most heavily wagered college game. The decision on that game rivaled some of the lesser NFL games on the weekend.”

The Buffs, who went 1-11 last season, opened the year with a 45-42 road win over Texas Christian as 21-point underdogs and up to 8-1 on the money line.

“You’ve got to give Coach Prime his props. The team has looked great out of the gate,” Caesars Sportsbook assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “(This) week, they’ve got Colorado State. Even though it’s an instate rivalry, it doesn’t look too good for the Rams.

“The spread might put some people off just because it’s a huge number. But I don’t see the public jumping on Colorado State. The public is enamored with Colorado and I don’t see it stopping this week.”


SuperBook vice president Jay Kornegay, a Colorado State alum, doesn’t expect his alma mater to give Colorado much resistance.

“Unfortunately, Colorado has got a bye this week when they play CSU,” he said. “(The Buffs have) improved, especially offensively. They’ve got a lot of playmakers and a lot of speed there. But their defense remains very questionable. They give up a lot of yards and any team that can run the ball will give Colorado a lot of problems.

“We’ll see what they’ve got once they get to Oregon and USC.”

Colorado will play at Oregon on Sept. 23 and host the Trojans on Sept. 30.

“Those are going to be massive games with a lot of hype,” Pullen said.

Assuming Colorado and Oregon both win this weekend, Esposito projects the Ducks to be favored by 16 over the Buffs, while Westgate oddsmaker Ed Salmons projects Oregon to be a 16½-point favorite.

“A lot depends on how Colorado looks against Colorado State,” Salmons said. “Their quarterback (Shedeur Sanders) was sacked seven times and they gave up (222) rushing yards. But Nebraska is so incompetent, most people wouldn’t have known that.”

Other line moves

There were 15 other college football lines that moved by three points or more at Circa after the book posted the opening numbers.

Here are some of the biggest moves:

— Texas A&M from -31 to -36½ over UL Monroe

— Wisconsin from -14 to -19 over Georgia Southern

— Iowa from -24 to -28½ over Western Michigan

— Rutgers from -3 to -7 over Virginia Tech

— Kansas from -24 to -28 over UNR.

Vanderbilt also moved from -2 to -4 over UNLV and the game at Allegiant Stadium also saw the total climb from 52½ to 56½.

NFL futures on move

Books have adjusted futures odds on Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and the Dallas Cowboys after impressive Week 1 performances.

Tagovailoa has improved from 18-1 to 8-1 at BetMGM to win the NFL MVP after throwing for 466 yards and three touchdowns in Miami’s 36-34 win over the Chargers.

The Cowboys have improved from 14-1 at the Westgate to win the Super Bowl to 10-1 after whipping the Giants, 40-0.

“Dallas has a lot of talent and the NFC is definitely down,” Salmons said. “You look at the NFC and you’ve got three teams you can trust in Philly, Dallas and San Francisco, and Detroit is trying to get into that trust factor.”
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
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3,602
I'm tracking totals moves in my thread here:


It says "Week 2" but it should read "Week 3".
 

KVB

KVB

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Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,475
Build that hype baby and push those Colorado lines higher.
We can all cash on the other side when the hype reaches its max.

Just wait until colorado finally covers as a favorite, then we start looking closer.

Doesn't mean it's the only thing to look for, but if it happens, it will be all about the opponent.

We just might have a bet.

real talk
 

JDS

JDS

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Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,721
Just wait until colorado finally covers as a favorite, then we start looking closer.

Doesn't mean it's the only thing to look for, but if it happens, it will be all about the opponent.

We just might have a bet.

real talk
I’m staying away from that high spread this week, but I’m intrigued to see what the number will be on the road @ Oregon following week. Might jump on that if the numbers is off.
 

KVB

KVB

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Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,475
Didn’t they cover as favs last week against Nebraska?

Yeah, I actually meant next time. This isn't the opponent or the situation this week, at least not for the loss.

They did cover, and they likely will again. Let's see if they can do it this week as well. I don't think it will be an easy cover and only have them winning by about 17.
 

pete0

pete0

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Jan 24, 2023
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usually if a line moves by 3 pts or more. Post-opener stable.

Go the other side :an_light:
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,721
I’m staying away from that high spread this week, but I’m intrigued to see what the number will be on the road @ Oregon following week. Might jump on that if the numbers is off.
Screw it I’m taking Colorado for the 3rd straight week & laying the -23. Colorado St. last week allowed 50 points to Washington St. & their back up freshman QB is expected to start & I don’t like this spot for him & I think the Buffs will put up 40+ points.
 

pete0

pete0

Joined
Jan 24, 2023
Messages
2,100
Screw it I’m taking Colorado for the 3rd straight week & laying the -23. Colorado St. last week allowed 50 points to Washington St. & their back up freshman QB is expected to start & I don’t like this spot for him & I think the Buffs will put up 40+ points.

jd, true line is 17 :an_light:

it'll keep overcompensating very soon
 

BMR Genie

BMR Genie

Joined
Jun 16, 2016
Messages
29,956
I'm tracking totals moves in my thread here:


It says "Week 2" but it should read "Week 3".
I edited your title, QL. Feel free to PM me to request the change every week.
 
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