Do You Consider Referee Data on NFL Plays?

[Tanko]

Some referees seem to have tendencies that can add to your capping strategies. I wouldn't make decisions based on just this data but do you consider the refs when making a play?

Here's a few..... and the last one is a ref in a game tonight.

Shawn Hochuli:
74% Unders in divisional games

Bill Vinovich:
Fewest penalties - Let em play....
65% Unders in division games
63% Unders overall.

John Hussey:
Best home team ref.
73% home team ML winners in divisional games.
66% home team ML winners overall
74% home team ATS winners in divisional games.
59% home team ATS winners overall

Ron Torbert:
Mr. Road Team Referee...
61% Road team ATS winners
71% Road team ATS winners if a road FAV in last 5 years.
He's Ref tonight in CLE/PIT game. CLE is ROAD FAV at -2.

 

[stormtrooper8]

Nah, all that shit is noise. No significance

Only trend is fade the Bengals when Torbert is reffing. He can cover a spread by himself

Example: this past AFC Championship game

 

[carolinakid]

carolina game...........

09/15/23 06:55:56 PM Pacific

NFL: Game 289-290

Referee - Scott Novak

 

[Tanko]

Nah, all that shit is noise. No significance

Only trend is fade the Bengals when Torbert is reffing. He can cover a spread by himself

Example: this past AFC Championship game

He will forever be renowned for that game, unless he does something worse going forward.

 

[Tanko]

carolina game...........

​

09/15/23 06:55:56 PM Pacific

NFL: Game 289-290

Referee - Scott Novak

• Browns at Steelers ABC ESPN+ — Ron Torbert

 

[BMR Genie]

If Brady is still playing, then yes, for he always gets favorable treatments from the referees.

 

[BobbyFK]

It's usually pretty insignificant for me. Same with umpire data in the MLB. It's just something I don't really focus on when making my bets