Friday Best Bets?

[BobbyFK]

Who are you guys on tonight? I need a winner

 

[lamp]

AUBURN -13.5

Im not even kidding, if this line was in the 30’s I would be feeling the same way about this game. As random as it sounds, I have watched a ton of USF the last 2 seasons. Im convinced I know this team better than the oddsmakers in Vegas. I am certain that going against them nearly every week ATS will profit.

Here's why:

USF, last year 6 players transferred elsewhere! That's a lot and tells me something is toxic in this program.

South Florida plays as young and dumb as any team I’ve ever watched and it's simply because they are. They start a freshman, 3 sophomores and a transfer senior(only senior on roster). Bench is all freshman and sophomores.

It all starts with their best player and leading scorer, COVID-freshman Caleb Murphy, who has insane athletic ability but just isn’t ready to lead a winning team. Way too many turnovers and can’t shoot a lick, hence the 0-2 from 3 point and 53% from the line 3 games into the season. He even knows he can't shoot.

In fact, nobody can shoot on this team. They shoot 27% from 3 and have zero double digit scorers. They do not have a guy who can get a bucket when it matters.

They have 2 big men who are just big and in the way.

I could go on forever but I’ll just give you stats that back me up:

(SINCE I STARTED WATCHING THEM LAST SEASON)

9-15 ATS

3-9 ATS AT HOME. Not covering by an avg of 6 points

0-2 vs RANKED teams. Not covering by an avg of 7.2 ATS (they’re not even close to covering)


AUBURN by 20+

 

[BobbyFK]

Good write up! good luck on the play

 

[GamblingmanC's]

I followed Roy on AF +2 and +1.5

I'm looking now for something else