***G-Man's College Week 5 ***

[G-Man!]

Season 40-28. 59% +3,585.00

Army -12 over temple. 3 units
Worst team in the NCAA against the run is Temple. #127. Army runs away with it.
More Friday /Sat.

 

[G-Man!]

Friday
Virginia Tech +17.5 over Miami. 3 units.
ML +615. 1 unit
Line movement on this game is 10 points from original open @ -8.5 months ago in May and then (Aug 13th) to Miami -7.5.
The public perception has moved this number because Miami has gone 4-0 and has the best offense at #5 in the nation.
Both teams have returned many starters but Miami had 2 significant transfers that upped the offense greatly.
Problem is 10 points is drastic and the two teams are close in talent.
VT has a solid QB and has returned with 11 starters on offense from Last year.

Considering who they've played so far this year, this will be Miami's first tough opponent. There is no 10 point defense in college football (unless youre Michigan last year) which is what Miami has allowed per game this year.
Also, I dont believe two players added to this team cant truly turn a team into a 52 point scoring machine from a year ago that scored 31. This isnt Georgia or Alabama with a full roster of NFL grade players.
They cruised against 4 weak teams to run up the numbers.
The early line this week reached -19.5 and dropped to 17.5. At least there are a few bettors out there that see this for what it is. Pure Public Perception.

VT has NOT lit up the scoreboard, but this is a conference game for them and they played 4 straight teams that have decent numbers.
Rutgers 3-0 and plus + team of 22
Vanderbilt 2-2 plus+ 15
Marshall a minus team of only -3. which is good when considering that includes the Ohio State beating.
Old Dominion was -10 but played a solid 3-1 S. Carolina team, and lost by only 4 pts.
The Caines are good but VT has a chance to win this regardless.
If turnovers don't kill one team - it should be a close game.

Washington +1.5 over Rutgers. 3 units.
Welcome Huskies - to the Big 10! They get to start off against some of the softest Big 10 teams. They arrive with a +12 scoring team vs Rutgers who is +22.
But considering the opponents, the line ai correct. Its not the huge edge in scoring like it seems with Rutgers being a plus 22 team,.
If it was legit - the line here would be closer to Rutgers -7 not -1.5.
Rutgers compiled points with Howard and Akron. Nuff said.
They struggled with VT in a 26-23 game where VT was way behind and almost pulled it out in the 4th. Rutgers won it with a late FG w/under 2 minutes to play.


More Saturday