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Iowa -6’ over UCLA

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quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,662
Seems too easy to me tonight.

Iowa should roll in this one.

Of course I’m on a horrible streak lately - what am I missing here ?
Seems like an overreaction to their 2 most recent games. While UCLA may have a rejuvenated offense like Franz555 says, Rutgers isn't all that good and Nebraska was coming off a crippling loss to Ohio State where they had a chance to win the game.

Iowa has a top-20 defense and that should make a difference here.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,449
I liked Iowa at 1st glance as well. Looking at UCLA and a rejuvenated offense , the Over 44.5 screamed at me.

BOL on the play
THIS!

I will say I'm on Iowa as well but, have some concern.

UCLA has changed their approach the last couple weeks. I'm not sure if its a fluke or an actual improvement. They've beaten two mid-level teams on the road (Neb, Rutgers) by 7 & 3 points respectively.

I still went with Iowa because:
  • UCLA will have to pass the ball to win. Why? They suck at rushing (last in NCAA) and Iowa Rush-D is awesome (18th). Iowa Pass-D is decent and should hold up tonight.
  • Iowa depends on the run to win (10th). Although UCLA rush-D is very good (11th), Iowa has faced similar teams with good rush-D and done well.
 

quantumleap

quantumleap

Joined
Apr 10, 2022
Messages
3,662
UCLA looking a lot better than Iowa here. The Bruins had an INT in the end zone by Iowa and a fumble into the end zone that was gathered up by Iowa. Iowa also had an INT early that lead to a TD. Without the turnovers UCLA would have 2 more scores and Iowa would have 1 less score.

UCLA moved the ball a lot better in the 1st half. Passing yardage is about even but UCLA leads in rushing 146 yds to 34 yds for Iowa.

I originally took Iowa -6.5 for the game. I'm taking UCLA +3.5 for the 2nd half.
 
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