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Is Maryland +17.5 a gift? Or a Trap?

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JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,738
Maryland plus the points seems like the right play. OSU is not an offensive juggernaut this year. Maryland should hang with them. 1st half plus +10.5 -120 might be a better play.
 

fiftycint

fiftycint

Joined
Feb 11, 2023
Messages
1,706
This is not a great version of Ohio St.IMHO......Maryland is better but they must avoid a slow start which often happens with them.I think the points are solid-especially with a rock solid QB
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,738
Stormy you’re the best capper here currently and I respect your opinion on these games right now because you are seeing something in this market a lot of us are not.
 

JDS

JDS

Joined
Dec 11, 2021
Messages
44,738
Makes no sense Maryland can put up points and Ohio St is not the same Ohio St.
I agree I’m leaning Maryland, last year both teams played a relatively close game and I think the Maryland program is better this year & the Ohio State program took a step backwards this year.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,478
My stacking percentages forecast has Ohio St. just edging out Maryland on the moneyline prediction with 34 poitns to Mayland's 34 or 31 points.

In all cases it's a slight Ohio State predicted win.

The non predictive public gauge has ohio st winning 37-14.

Quite a discrepency in the forecasts there.

I have another game in a similar situation numbers wise.

Stacking percentages forecast has Western Michigan and Miss St in a tie with each team scoring 24 or 23 points, with no moneyline edge either way, while the non predictive public gauge has Miss St. winning 40-14.

Miss St, like Ohio St, is also a 20 or so point favorite.

Curious indeed.

:cheers:
 
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