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KVB Do You Move Lines

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KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,482
Fuk man. Feels like it.

But not if I do it correctly.

Usually any movement gets some pressure back, if I do it right.

But some lines come and go and they will never be back at the original buy again.

Does seem like I am forced, at times, like with Purdue at even +100 to compromise on some of my opening buy margins.

I root for some of these lines to move against me, so I can pick up the value. It's certainly not steam chasing, lol.

I have a pretty good idea of why the line opens where it opens and moves to where it moves so I know when to buy into pressure and slow it down.

All of these things increase my chances of beating the closing line, for good and bad. If I am moving them, then it's not as genuine of a clv comparison, in my opinion. One can end up with a self fulfilling prophecy with these opening moneylines (UPSET Basket) and clv margin success. That's not always good and the inlfated appearance of success against the close can be misleading.

Iowa gonna kill me again this week, you just watch. Illinois, E Carol, and MIch St are all in both Funds this week.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,482
If you're asking if I take a fee to move lines, no.

Have I paid a fee to move lines?

I can neither confirm nor deny the fact that I've compensated an individual or group the cost of the lost margin to get them to pull the trigger with less available EV (in their eyes) when they might not normally with the purpose of moving the line into my buy range, or morew EV in my eyes, in order to pull the trigger on the other side.

:escape:
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,482
Yeah, he's looking at the early NCAAF buys from last week.

By the time all the lines simmered, wavering back and forth, both Funds beat the closing line with a combined record of 21-4-2 vs the close and had decent clv margins.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,482
KVB the high end guys invest in a fake side

they will bet thousands on the wrong side

You need to understand that there are mulitple ways to handicap and one man's EV might not be for another.

I know sharp bettors that would take Team ABC -2.5 while I would take a +3.

We can both get what we want.

Get it?

I fukked up Akron and UNLV lines already. Or someone did. UNLV +5.5 hung in Jersey this morning, got it, it stayed at 5.5 for 30 minutes, then tanked to +4. It opened +4 across the market.
 

KVB

KVB

Joined
Apr 11, 2023
Messages
12,482
People I control Tahoe market

Go get the Visiting Dog Fund openers at every house, Gold, as presented in the NCAAF thread...

https://www.bookmakersreview.com/fo...ons-yet-ncaa-tonight.46693/page-5#post-439556

Buy in increments and hit every house with multiple tickets. Report back with what you got down. I will consider reimbursing parts of your positions, if you'll sell any, and taking some of those tickets.

Hit each William Hill and don't forget to hit the small kiosk at Harrah's, as well as Harveys. Hit each one mulitple times at different times. Produce a ton of tickets of different denominations. Until you reach your budget per play, which should be equal amounts per play.

If I I do take any tickets, I promise to take some from each game.

Do this with the UPSET Basket, if you dare.

Good Luck and Godspeed.

frank-sinatra-cheers-57sv1ebl9pwji81r.gif
 
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