To no one's surprise, MLB scoring is up for the first 3 weeks of 2023 vs the first 3 weeks of 2022.
> 2023 4.6 rpg per team 1st 3 weeks
> 2022 4.0 rpg per team 1st 3 weeks
The distribution of team scoring (not game tot scoring) has shifted for the 1st 3 weeks of the year. The most common number of runs being scored was 2 in 2022 and is 3 so far in 2023. You can see how the scoring has shifted in the chart below.
What's the so what of this... This means we're seeing ~1.5-2 runs more TOTAL (both teams combined) per game. The books over/unders have shifted to account for this but maybe not completely. 52% of the games have ended up OVER the total in 2023. In 2022 the OVER occurred 48% of the time (total for the entire season). Its not quite an apples to apples comparison since I'm using season total data for 2022 but it shows a difference so far.
Something to keep in mind as you play your MLB totals.
> 2023 4.6 rpg per team 1st 3 weeks
> 2022 4.0 rpg per team 1st 3 weeks
The distribution of team scoring (not game tot scoring) has shifted for the 1st 3 weeks of the year. The most common number of runs being scored was 2 in 2022 and is 3 so far in 2023. You can see how the scoring has shifted in the chart below.
What's the so what of this... This means we're seeing ~1.5-2 runs more TOTAL (both teams combined) per game. The books over/unders have shifted to account for this but maybe not completely. 52% of the games have ended up OVER the total in 2023. In 2022 the OVER occurred 48% of the time (total for the entire season). Its not quite an apples to apples comparison since I'm using season total data for 2022 but it shows a difference so far.
Something to keep in mind as you play your MLB totals.
