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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Mon=10-13 Umpire Overs=95-65 last 32 days
MLB =2070-1840 YTD/ (1029-922 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=231-165 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
⭐️Phillies-123
⭐️Orioles+106
⭐️Padres-109
⭐️Dodgers/Marlins Over 9-120
⭐️Royals-145
⭐️Cards-130
⭐️Mets-1-105
⭐️Boston-115
⭐️Guardians-119
⭐️Reds+111
⭐️Tejas Lone Rangers-126
⭐️Seattle+107
⭐️Dodgers-1-149
⭐️Arizona-144
⭐️Royals/Tigers Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-Tomlinson-40-20 Over Last 2 years/10 Runs last 2 yrs/2.3 SO/BB)
⭐️Angels/White Sux Over 7.5-128
Mets/Nats Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-C. Ramos-18-12 Over/9.6 Runs/2.5 SO/BB ratio)
Angels-143
Oakland+145
Mets-0.5-115 (F5)
Guardians-120 (F5)
Reds+0.5-130 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 3.5-125
Mets team Total Over 4
Dodgers Team Total Over 5
Oakland Team Total Over 3.5-110
Cards-130 (F5)
Texas/Toronto Ober 7.5-110
Phillies-140 (F5)
Oakland+0.5-105 (F5)
Mariners/Yanks Over 7-105
Dbags/Rockies Over 11-108
Boston/Tampa Over 7.5-112
Cards/Pirates UNDER 8.5-125

Umpire Overs hit 3-1 yesterday, slight down day yesterday, to be expected after 2 great days this weekend. Grinding on today...
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
***1st Umpire UNDER is Houston/San Dog UNDER 7.5-115 with Brennan Miller who avg 7.07 Runs and has a 20-9 UNDER Record, due to a very high 3.16 SO/BB and 64.5% K. Both pitchers have been effective at limiting damage as Brown has a 3.5 ERA whie King a 3.06, Astros are an under team this year with 57.6% of their games going under. The under has hit 4 of Houston's last 5 road games as their offense stalls on the road. Last night it was a 3-1 game and i could see someting similar with tonights matchup and the marine layer knocking fly balls down.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Mon=17-4 Umpire Overs=95-65 last 32 days

MLB =2070-1840 YTD/ (1029-922 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=231-165 Umpire Under=21-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Phillies-123
⭐️Orioles+106-L
⭐️Padres-109
⭐️Dodgers/Marlins Over 9-120-W
⭐️Royals-145
⭐️Cards-130-W
⭐️Mets-1-105-W
⭐️Boston-115-L
⭐️Guardians-119-L
⭐️Reds+111-W
⭐️Tejas Lone Rangers-126
⭐️Seattle+107
⭐️Dodgers-1-149-L
⭐️Arizona-144
⭐️Royals/Tigers Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-Tomlinson-40-20 Over Last 2 years/10 Runs last 2 yrs/2.3 SO/BB)
⭐️Angels/White Sux Over 7.5-128
Mets/Nats Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-C. Ramos-18-12 Over/9.6 Runs/2.5 SO/BB ratio)-W
Angels-143
Oakland+145
Mets-0.5-115 (F5)-W
Guardians-120 (F5)-W
Reds+0.5-130 (F5)-L
Phillies Team Total Over 3.5-125-W
Mets team Total Over 4-W
Dodgers Team Total Over 5-W
Oakland Team Total Over 3.5-110-W
Cards-130 (F5)-W
Texas/Toronto Over 7.5-110-W
Phillies-140 (F5)-W-W
Oakland+0.5-105 (F5)-W
Mariners/Yanks Over 7-105
Dbags/Rockies Over 11-108
Boston/Tampa Over 7.5-112-W
Cards/Pirates UNDER 8.5-125-W

Houston/San Dog UNDER 7.5-115 (UMP UNDER)

Monster night shaping up, 17-4 so far.....hope phils hang on for the POD for a really massive night
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Tues=22-13 Umpire Overs=96-66 last 33 days

MLB =2092-1853 YTD/ (1035-932 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=232-166 Umpire Under=22-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Baltimore-149
⭐️Detroit-125
⭐️Cardinals-1-136
⭐️LA/Miami Over 8-130
⭐️Brewers-112
⭐️Yankees-110
⭐️Toronto+106
⭐️Padres-101
⭐️Mets-1-102
⭐️Cubs-142
⭐️Boston+105
⭐️Angels/White Sox Over 8.5-120
⭐️Guardians-111
⭐️Dodgers-1-125
⭐️Angels-139
⭐️Yankees Team Total Over 3.5-125
⭐️Brewers/Phils Over 7.5-110
Arizona-145
Reds+1.5-123
Nats/Mets Over 7-115 (Ump Over-Muchlinski-+10Runs L2YRS/31-25 Over last 2 yrs/2.6ish SO/BB)
Bal/SF Over 7.5-130 (2nd most Humid in MLB today/Birdsong not good on road-5.7 ERA/HR fest?)
Baltimore-0.5-115 (F5)
Detroit/KC Over 7.5-120
Angels Team Total Over 4.5-110
Cardinals Team Total Over 4
Yankees-120 (F5)
Toronto Team Total Over 3.5-115
Dbacks-0.5-110 (F5)
Cardinals-0.5-125 (F5)
Cubs/A's Over 7.5-110
Boston Team Total Over 3.5-115
Minnesota/Clev Over 7-115
Brewers-115 (F5)
Toronto+105 (F5)
Reds/Braves UNDER 9-130
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Mon=21-13 (12-6 Top plays) Umpire Overs=97-67 last 34 days

MLB =2113-1866 YTD/ (1047-938 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=233-167 Umpire Under=22-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
⭐️Brewers+105
⭐️Mets-130
⭐️Cards-134
⭐️Yanks+102
⭐️Guardians-109
⭐️Milwaukee/Arizona Over 7.5-125
⭐️Toronto+101
⭐️Dodgers/Miami Over 8-105
⭐️Tampa-104
⭐️Braves-0.5-125 (F5)
⭐️Baltimore-134
⭐️Astros-1.5-130
⭐️Braves/Reds Over 8-125 (Ump Over-D. Thomas-9.5 Runs L2YRS/15-11 Over/2.3 SO/BB/+Metrics)
⭐️Mets/Phils Over 8-115
Marlins+2.5-140
Cards/Pirates Over 7.5-120
Washington+1.5-130
Brewers Team Total Over 3.5-115
Yanks Team Total Over 3.5-115
Mets Team Total Over 4
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-125
Yanks/Mariners Over 7-115 (Ump Over-Vondrak-10.2 Runs/19-10 OVER/2.4 SO/BB)
Astros/Angels Over 8-115
Braves-1.5-114
Astros-1-130 (F5)
Mets-140 (F5)
Baltimore-130 (F5)
Guardians/Twinks Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Willis-Over 9 runs L2 YRS/2.2 SO/BB/+Metrics)
Astros Team Total over 4.5-120
Baltimore Team Total Over 3.5-120
Cubs/Nats Over 8.5-112
Toronto/Texas UNDER 8-125 (Ump UNDER-Estabrook-7.2 Runs/18-8 UNDER/High 3.63 SO/BB/65%K)

Great day yesterday, hit 5 out of the top 6, only Baltimore stunk it up. Hit 12-6 top plays, another good day, 2 in a row. Let's keep it rolling...
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
***4th Umpire Over is ⭐️Milwaukee/Arizona Over 7.5 with Andy Fletcher, who really needs no intro as he avg 12.3 runs, is 23-6 OVER due to a miniscule 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K. Tijuana Walker starting for Phils who has a 9.14 ERA, so runs should be plenty early for the Mets and I do think the Phils will manage a few late. this over shouldn't be too difficult in this situation with this ump.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
***4th Umpire Over is ⭐️Milwaukee/Arizona Over 7.5 with Andy Fletcher, who really needs no intro as he avg 12.3 runs, is 23-6 OVER due to a miniscule 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K. Tijuana Walker starting for Phils who has a 9.14 ERA, so runs should be plenty early for the Mets and I do think the Phils will manage a few late. this over shouldn't be too difficult in this situation with this ump.

Correction. Pfaft pitching for AZ (was looking at phils from yesterday). Same thing but worse, 10.23 ERA last 5 and gets shelled by Milwaukee. He gave up 8 runs to them earlier this week. Lots of runs should be scored particularly from Milwaukee
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Thurs=19-12 (10-5 Top plays) Umpire Overs=98-70 last 35 days
NFL=2-0
NCAA=0-1-1

MLB =2132-1878 YTD/ (1057-943 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=234-170 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Brewers+105-L
⭐️Mets-130-W
⭐️Cards-134-L
⭐️Yanks+102-L
⭐️Guardians-109-W
⭐️Milw/Arizona Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Fletcher-avg 12.3 runs/23-6 OVER/miniscule 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K)-L
⭐️Toronto+101-W
⭐️Dodgers/Miami Over 8-105-W
⭐️Tampa-104-W
⭐️Braves-0.5-125 (F5)-W
⭐️Baltimore-134-W
⭐️Astros-1.5-130-W
⭐️Braves/Reds Over 8-125 (Ump Over-D. Thomas-9.5 Runs L2YRS/15-11 Over/2.3 SO/BB/+Metrics)-W
⭐️Yanks/Mariners Over 7-115 (Ump Over-Vondrak-10.2 Runs/19-10 OVER/2.4 SO/BB)-L
⭐️Mets/Phils Over 8-115-W
Marlins+2.5-140-L
Cards/Pirates Over 7.5-120-L
Washington+1.5-130-W
Brewers Team Total Over 3.5-115-L
Yanks Team Total Over 3.5-115-L
Mets Team Total Over 4-W
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-125-W
Astros/Angels Over 8-115-L
Braves-1.5-114-W
Mets-140 (F5)-W
Baltimore-130 (F5)-W
Guardians/Twinks Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Willis-Over 9 runs L2 YRS/2.2 SO/BB/+Metrics)-L
Astros Team Total over 4.5-120-L
Baltimore Team Total Over 3.5-120-W
Cubs/Nats Over 8.5-112-W
Toronto/Texas UNDER 8-125 (Ump UNDER-Estabrook-7.2 Runs/18-8 UNDER/High 3.63 SO/BB/65%K)-W

3 great MLB days in a row. 19-12/10-5 top plays. 62-39 last 3 days MLB....Back later
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Thurs=19-12 (10-5 Top plays) Umpire Overs=98-70 last 35 days

MLB =2132-1878 YTD/ (1057-943 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=234-170 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Reds-117
⭐️Arizona-117
⭐️Boston+105
⭐️Mets+102
⭐️Cubs/Nats Over 8.5-125 (Ump Over-A. Johnson-19-8 Over/11 Runs)
⭐️Mariners+108
⭐️Yankees-1-149
⭐️Cleveland+102
⭐️Braves-1.5-115
⭐️Cubs-1-112
⭐️Toronto+101
⭐️Baltimore-1-115
⭐️Padres-1.5+100
⭐️Arizona/Milwaukee Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Visconti-17-11 Ov/9.2 Runs)
⭐️Dodgers/Rockies Over 8.5-130
⭐️Royals-1-108
⭐️Astros-1.5-113
Dodgers-1.5-112
Baltimore/Detroit Over 7.5-115
Boston/Minny Over 8.5-115
Baltimore-0.5-115 (F5)
Reds-118 (F5)
Braves-0.5-118 (F5)
Mets/Phils Over 7-130 (15-12 Over/9.1 Runs)
Tampa/Toronto Over 7.5-110
Arizona Team Total Over 4
Baltimore Team Total Over 4
Arizona-125 (F5)
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Astros Team Total Over 4.5-115
Toronto-108 (F5)
Mariners/Rangers Over 7-112
Boston Team Total Over 4
Royals/Giants UNDER 9-115

Great day yesterday and a great 3 day run (62-39). Hope to keep it rolling...
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
If the Padres do get in, and it looks like they will grab the 1st wild card, they could make a run to the series for the NL but I'll go with Dodgers for now, mets have played great ball for last month or so but tough to keep it up through post season as theyve had to make up ground all year, chasing Phils and the wild card, could wear down in post season and cool off. Dodgers offense starting to heat back up again, their vulnerability will be in their pitching.

Yanks Vs Dodgers with Yanks winning in 6.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
***4th Umpire Over is ⭐️Dodgers/Rockies Over 8.5 with Bruce Drekman, who has now overtaken Andy fletcher as the best Overs ump this year at a WHOPPING 21-4 over, on 11.5 Runs. Tonight we have a favorable pitching matchup for an over with Dodgers going with Bullpen/Wrobleski who is just another gas can of a few in their stable (LA's pen carries a 4.23 ERA). Wrob carries a 6.4 ERA and the start prior to last was blown up for 10 runs after giving up 4 prior in just 5 innings. Freeland gave up 10 runs in his prior 2 starts against LA and the over is 6 for 6 this week for the Dodgers. Ride the over wave with a great ump.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
3,086
MLB Fri=20-13 (cash #1/10-7 Top plays) Umpire Overs=101-71 last 35 days

MLB =2152-1891 YTD/ (1067-950 Top plays)/ Umpire Overs=237-171 Umpire Under=23-19

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Twins-124
⭐️Arizona+102
⭐️Mets-106
⭐️Doyers/Rocks Over 8.5-115
⭐️Cleveland-124
⭐️Reds-115
⭐️Yankees-1-126
⭐️Cubs-132
⭐️Baltimore-115
⭐️Marlins Team Total Over 2.5-120
⭐️Astros Team Total Over 4.5-110 (Hou scored 17 runs last 3 against Detmers)
⭐️Mariners+123
⭐️AZ/Milwaukee Over 8-120
⭐️Baltimore/Detroit Over 8-115
⭐️Houston-1.5-105
⭐️Padres-1.5-120
⭐️San Fran+0.5-110 (F5)
Toronto+123
Dodgers-1.5-120
Braves/Marlins Over 7.5-125
Mets/Phils Over 7-125
Marlins+2.5-105
Cubs/Nats Over 8-115
Mets-110 (F5)
Cubs Team Total Over 4
Twins-125 (F5)
Reds-115 (F5)
Giants+135
Reds/Pirates Ovder 8-125 (Ump Over-C. Ramos/9.6 Runs, 19-13 Over, 63%K, 2.5 SO/BB)
Twins/Red Sox Over 7.5-112
Padres/White Sux Over 8-115
Braves Team Total Over 5
Mariners/Rangers UNDER 8.5-125

Ump assignments suck today, unless some last minute changes....Lets try for a 5th straight winning day....
 
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