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Penn State is trash

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Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,232
I like the points. Penn St. + 4.5

The last team Ohio St. played that could shutdown the pass was ND. Although they won it was a toss up. Now, I will say Penn St. schedule has been a little weak. This is clearly the best team they will have faced this year.
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,232
Ohio State’s defense is substantially better than Iowa’s
I've got to disagree with this statement.
Indepenent measures of defense that incorporate strength of schedule say different.
They are all pretty close on Defense.

SP+ Defensive ratings:
Iowa 1st
Penn St. 2nd
Ohio State 4th

On EPA (expected pts added) basis:
Penn St. 2nd
Iowa 4th
Ohio St. 7th

The real differentiation between these teams is on offense.
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
11,031
I've got to disagree with this statement.
Indepenent measures of defense that incorporate strength of schedule say different.
They are all pretty close on Defense.

SP+ Defensive ratings:
Iowa 1st
Penn St. 2nd
Ohio State 4th

On EPA (expected pts added) basis:
Penn St. 2nd
Iowa 4th
Ohio St. 7th

The real differentiation between these teams is on offense.
Very flawed metrics, lot of noise and simply not enough sample size.

This happens in NFL as well, though less noise

Iowa is a good defensive team and play well as a unit, but Buckeyes got Sunday players

If they played it would be something like 38-7 Buckeyes
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
11,031
Nobody takes Iowa or Wisconsin seriously the best they can do is make the Big Ten Championship game and get drilled by 40.
Yep all the meat in the Big Ten is in the East, and by meat I mean Michigan and Ohio State

Penn State is closest thing, and they are also in the East. But they've been the little bitch to Michigan/Ohio State (especially Ohio State)
 
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