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Purdue-Michigan player prop 1/26

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KingKolzig

KingKolzig

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
7,008
Zack Edey u20.5 pts +100


In his 2 matchups with Michigan last year he averaged 11.5 points. Hunter Dickinson is big enough and well coached enough to contain edey. And will even wear him down on the other end at times. Not a big game for edey tonight.

wing0.jpg
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,222
I really like this play but I'm concerned about comparing to last year. The big difference between last year's Purdue/Mich matchups with Edey/Dickenson is that Edey only played ~17 minutes in each game. He averaged 11.5 ppg in those two games.

He's playing 32-33 min/gm now. This comes out to ~21.5 ppg on pure ratio evaluation.


BUT, I will say, this year when Edey plays against a true big man 6'-10" or taller, he doesn't typically get to 20 points. When he play's against someone shorter he does break that number.


Alright Kingkolzig. With the great prop you had last night, we're playing with house money so I'm tailing again. Lets get this.
 

goblue05

goblue05

Joined
Nov 14, 2022
Messages
526
I really like this play but I'm concerned about comparing to last year. The big difference between last year's Purdue/Mich matchups with Edey/Dickenson is that Edey only played ~17 minutes in each game. He averaged 11.5 ppg in those two games.

He's playing 32-33 min/gm now. This comes out to ~21.5 ppg on pure ratio evaluation.
Good insight Tanko.
 

goblue05

goblue05

Joined
Nov 14, 2022
Messages
526
I've been away for a couple of months so I missed a bunch of the early season and have only recently caught up into the college basketball action the last few weeks or so. Does Edey look like he's in better shape than last season and that's why he's playing more minutes or is it because Purdue doesn't have Trevion Wiliams this season or of good of a backup big and that's why he's playing more minutes?
 

KingKolzig

KingKolzig

Joined
Nov 8, 2021
Messages
7,008
Tanko!

i didnt want to make a new thread about it but that build-a-prop thing on most sites has isiah pachecho o5.5 rec yds -115

hes gone over this 7/8 games and should be on the field for 35+ snaps

i think that line should be 9.5 or higher
 
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