Tanko - 2024 MLB Plays

[JDS]

Yesterday 2-0 +$200
Woohooo....


11 days left in MLB reg season.
GL all.

Good work here

 

[Tanko]

Good work here

On the cusp of being + money for the year again.
Need a couple good days to get there.

 

[JDS]

On the cusp of being + money for the year again.
Need a couple good days to get there.

Damn you have battled back, what was your lowest units total prior ?

 

[Tanko]

Damn you have battled back, what was your lowest units total prior ?

-19 units on August 21st.

 

[keithrichard]

Lets start with these on the afternoon games today....

BAL -1 +103
CLE -105
NYY F5 +105

I'm tailing you T on Guardians but -1 +137. I like the -1 runs to use on FP for value. I will get this back if it ties.

 

[JDS]

-19 units on August 21st.

Wow you are on a heater last 30 days for sure.

 

[Tanko]

Wow you are on a heater last 30 days for sure.

Yeah. I was doing horrible and changed my approach to picking games. Its been working out pretty good so far. Just need another 2 weeks of positive trending to stay above water.

 

[Tanko]

I'm tailing you T on Guardians but -1 +137. I like the -1 runs to use on FP for value. I will get this back if it ties.

Unbelieveable.... That's twice you got burnedon the 1 run games.
Its like you're snake bit on them KR.

 

[JDS]

Yeah. I was doing horrible and changed my approach to picking games. Its been working out pretty good so far. Just need another 2 weeks of positive trending to stay above water.

What did you change specifically teach me something ?

 

[Tanko]

What did you change specifically teach me something ?

What did I change????
I stopped losing......

 

[JDS]

What did I change????
I stopped losing......

Cocksucker ok ok ok keep the winning secrets to yourself

 

[Tanko]

What did you change specifically teach me something ?

Just kidding.... about the "Stopped losing".

I make picks based on a lot of stats. You've seen the data I use in some of my posts where I detail why I made a pick (ERA, WRC, Run-diff , etc....). I realized that process was why I was winning early in the year (through about June) and was historically the case the last two years as well.

Then in late June or July each year, I'd start to fade. This year I faded hard. Went from +20 units to -20 units in about 6 weeks. Like I said it happened in 2022, and 2023 as well, just not as bad. I think most of my picks were favs during these periods.

I was too focused on finding sides that checked all the boxes and playing them. I started saying, wait, what if I focused a little more on games with closer odds (toss-ups) and tried to find more dogs to play.

I still occassionally pick a decent Fav (-140ish) but now I have a ton more dogs in my selections and its really turned things around.

 

[keithrichard]

Unbelieveable.... That's twice you got burnedon the 1 run games.
Its like you're snake bit on them KR.

Ya... I much prefer to do -1 instead of -1.5 especially when using on home team. I like that these no vig or plus money almost always but really haven't had much luck on them lately. Glad you won I got my bet refunded (bettorsden I asked beforehand to make sure). I am glad you won though. Tried to add Baltimore also but was minute late. Damn.