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By: Doug Upstone
Despite all the thrilling action we have witnessed in the Men's NCAA Tournament, the Final Four is lacking in appeal and some facets are going to take a financial bath. That might include wagering also for Saturday.
We know Steph Curry and Klay Thompson are heading to the Hall of Fame and they just gave us another reason why. NFL players are mad at owners as their greed is unending as you can read. Plus, MLB talks along with free MLB picks and top trends.
About Last Night…
NBA
In the year of the NBA where no lead is safe seemingly at any point, Golden State was down 20 to New Orleans and still came back to win and cover as 9-point home faves 120-109. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson were a combined 13 of 26 from three-point land to lead the comeback and they again accomplished something that has never been done by others.NHL
After four straight losses and staring at No. 5, Tampa Bay dug down deep and arguably gave their best performance of the season in shutting out Carolina on the road 4-0. The Lightning was a +120 underdog and dominated the neutral zone and outhit the Hurricanes 28-14.NIT
With UAB and North Texas winning, this sets up a Conference USA NIT Championship battle. This will be the 4th NIT Championship to feature conference opponents, and the 1st in 20 years (St. John's def. Georgetown in 2003, was later vacated).If you have been backing C-USA teams in the postseason you have made a killing!
Also, we would be remiss not to mention that despite Wisconsin leading North Texas 42-29 at the half. With the total at a low 115, the Badgers didn’t score in the last nine minutes and lost 56-54 for an easy, if unreal, Under winner.
Trendy Talk
NBA
- Houston is 3-18 ATS versus teams making 48% or more of their shots.
- Memphis is 20-5 ATS in home games after two or more consecutive Unders.
- Oklahoma City is 11-1 Over after failing to cover the spread in two or more games.
- Phoenix is 14-4 Over versus teams making 48% or more of their shots.
NCAAB
- No. Texas is 9-2 ATS in away games versus teams scoring 77+ points a game. (Thursday)
- Florida Atlantic is 11-2 ATS in non-conference games this season.
- San Diego St. is 6-0 ATS after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games this season.
- Miami is 7-1 ATS in away games versus teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games this season.
- Connecticut is 8-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season.
- San Diego St. is 7-0 Under in a neutral court game when the total is 130 to 139.5.
- Connecticut is 7-0 Over after allowing 55 points or less this season.
NHL
- Washington is 9-2 Over in March games this season.
- Minnesota is 9-0 off two consecutive home wins by goals or more.
- Florida is 1-9 revenging a home loss.
- Boston is 31-5 after playing a home game this season. (Thursday)
MLB
- L.A. Dodgers are 48-15 as a favorite of -125 to -175.
- Chicago Cubs are 15-7 (+15.1 Units) as a home underdog of +125 to +175.
- Seattle is 35-14 when the money line is -100 to -150.
- Detroit is 30-10 Under as an underdog of +200 or more the last two seasons.
- Chicago White Sox are 27-13 Under in road night games.
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
NBA
We continue to deliver our prop plays and quality free NBA picks in the NBA for midweek action.NHL
Tonight’s Wild vs. Avalanche should be a thriller on TNT. This and our Best Bets and Props for today and Thursday.Final Four and NIT
We have complete game breakdowns on Saturday’s Final Four matchups along with other key betting news. Plus, Thursday’s Conference USA NIT title game is an amazing story.MLB
Thursday the baseball season commences and we’ve covered the Giants vs. Yankees matchup along with the Phillies vs. Rangers. This plus parlay action and player props. Almost forget, for Wednesday we have a wide-ranging array of futures bet suggestions for you to ponder.The Buzz
NFL – Teams Can Now Play Multiple Thursday Night Games
As the NFL has tried to make Thursday night like Sunday night in terms of football viewers watching, they have struggled. After a horrible schedule of bad games to watch last season, the NFL is plowing ahead.After the rule of only one appearance per team per year, that was voted out. That means certain more prominent teams could have two appearances and several others will have the advantage of playing none.
Then it could get worse, as back-to-back Thursday night games, such as a Thanksgiving game followed by a Thursday night game the next week, would only count as one short-week game, so some teams could wind up playing three Thursday games.
The owners and the Commish Roger made it sound like they were doing the players a favor in not voting to flex Thursdays also. So much for player safety, because making more money is never enough.
Men's and Women's Final Four – Ticket Pricing Going In Opposite Directions
With no Houston and Texas in the Final Four and those that made it lacking in brand appeal, tickets for the men’s event are plummeting to below $100 in some cases. CBS has already acknowledged this will be the least-watched Final Four in years.
Conversely, the women’s Final Four is white hot!
MLB - Here We Go
The baseball season starts Thursday. An interesting line finds the Mets, one of the favorites to win the National League, with starting Max Scherzer, they are slight road underdogs at Miami. Granted, we know Sandy Alcantara is throwing for the Fish, but that is a surprising number from this seat. Your thoughts?Top Betting System
NBA - Lakers (-2.5) at Bulls
The Lakers lost to the Bulls at home by 10 points on Sunday. Now, they have a quick turnaround, which appears in their favor. Play On road favorites like the Purple and Gold, revenging a straight-up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a home fave. Teams like the Lakers are 25-6 ATS since 2018 in this spot, winning by 11.7 PPG.Out the Door
MLB – Not Sure How Important This Is for Betting, but It Is Worthing Looking At
Women's CBB – This Is Fascinating
From @JoePompliano on Twitter.The women’s college basketball Iowa-Louisville game last weekend averaged 2.5 million viewers on ESPN. That's more viewers than the most-watched NBA game on ESPN this year (2.15 million). Next is the great Caitlin Clark and Iowa is set to face undefeated South Carolina this weekend, we might set a new viewership record.
MLB – Interesting Quote From the White Sox Manager
As told to Buster Olney of ESPN – “The days of 26 players taking on the personality of the manager are gone,” says White Sox Manager Pedro Grifol. “It’s now about the manager taking on the personality of his players,”What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
NBA Top 4 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (29-26-1 record 9-3 run)
- Lakers
- Timberwolves/Suns Over
- Knicks
- Rockets/Nets Over
NHL Top 3 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (22-20 record)
- Oilers
- Avalanche
- Panthers
MLB - Top 5 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (We know it’s Wednesday, but let’s have fun!)
- Braves
- Yankees
- Angels
- Mariners
- White Sox/Astros Over
Let’s get some winners! See you back here Friday.
