BMR Social
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- Apr 4, 2022
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By: Doug Upstone
Last evening was something in baseball, primarily highlighted by the New York Mets collapse (again). We cover three compelling stories. Congrats to the women’s Oklahoma Sooners softball team who completed an epic season.
We have more news on Lionel Messi, the Golf agreement, and Big Ten football for 2024 with two new teams. This and some fun stuff and the weekend's top trends and free picks.
About Last Night…
NHL
Once again, Florida was being outplayed by Vegas and was down 2-1 when they pulled goalie Sergei Bobrovsky, who had played a game more reminiscent of how he had performed in the postseason. The extra attacker did the trick as the Panthers swarmed the Golden Knights goal and Matthew Tkachuk tied the game with 2:13 left in regulation.In OT, Florida did what they do best and won for a seventh straight time in these playoffs, extending the streak to 10 overall. For Florida to stay in this series, they will have to win Saturday. They are currently at -115 to do so.
MLB
The New York Mets were swept at Atlanta, dropping their record to 30-33. Besides that disappointment, the Mets had a lead of at least three runs in each game and failed to secure any victories. The strength of New York’s team was supposed to be its highly-paid starting pitching, and at this moment they are 25th in ERA at close to 5.00.Tampa Bay beating Minnesota 4-2 was not a surprise, but holy crap, that makes the Rays 29-6 at home. They are up +21 units in St. Pete’s, and Texas has the 2nd-best betting number at home at a mere +9.7 units.
If you wonder why the Yankees are inconsistent, here is your answer. At the start of last week, New York scored 10 runs in three straight games vs. the Padres and Mariners. In the three previous contests, they tallied five runs (1-2 record) and since, in seven tries they have averaged 3.4 RPG (3-4).
Women's College World Series
Oklahoma won their third consecutive College World Series by beating Florida State for their 53rd straight victory this season. This is the greatest team of all-time given how much better athletes there are now in the sport. A privilege to watch greatness.
Trendy Talk
MLB
- San Diego is 6-15 (-22.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.90 or worse since 2021.
- St. Louis is 1-9 (-12 Units) after a 5-game span with an OBP of .285 or worse this season.
- Houston is 61-19 after two or more consecutive Unders.
- Philadelphia is 6-17 when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
- Kansas City is 16-6 Under in road games against right-handed starters this season.
- Cleveland is 9-0 Over after two or more wins this season.
NBA
- Miami is 28-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
- Miami is 19-7 Under at home after a game being outrebounded by 20 or more.
NHL
- Vegas is 23-8 ATS revenging a road loss.
- Vegas is 10-1 Under in road games in the Conference Finals.
CFL
- Winnipeg is 13-4 ATS in the first half of the year the last two seasons.
- Ottawa is 16-5 ATS in the first two weeks of the season. (Saturday)
- Edmonton was 1-9 ATS in home games last season. (Sunday)
What to Watch For and Win (Hopefully)
NBA
Will Miami be able to even the series with Denver tonight? See what our NBA experts think.MLB
There are two super fun series this weekend to follow with the Rangers vs. Rays and Red Sox vs. Yankees. Visit our picks page and find out what our MLB bettors like this weekend.NHL
Florida has given themselves a chance with their victory in Game 3; can that duplicate that in Game 4? See our previews and predictions.UFC
It is UFC 289 and we have free selections on the preliminary card, and main card, along with props and parlays for you to consider.Horse Racing
Saturday concludes the Triple Crown races with the Belmont Stakes. Learn what are the best bets to make.
The Buzz
Soccer – Lionel Messi Signing with Miami Is Amazing
Messi turned down Saudi money to sign with Miami. Their loss will be the MLS’s gain, as everything about his signing has made Inter Miami the hottest ticket in sports. (Reports had his wife not willing to live in Saudi Arabia).NCAAF – Big Ten Has New Football Schedule for 2024 that includes USC and UCLA
Adding the two West Coast teams means the Big Ten will dump the divisions (hurray) and follow the Big 12’s lead with the two best clubs playing for the championship.The conference also protected some long-time rivalries.
- Michigan-Ohio State
- UCLA-USC
- Minnesota-Wisconsin
- Indiana-Purdue
- Michigan State-Michigan
- Iowa-Minnesota
- Illinois-Northwestern
- Iowa-Nebraska
- Maryland-Rutgers
- Iowa-Wisconsin
- Illinois-Purdue
Most make sense, and though Iowa/Nebraska is not a long-time rivalry, proximity counts for the long term.
Maryland vs. Rutgers makes one chuckle, since the Big Ten would be better off letting them join the ACC and pick up Washington and Oregon. However, we can’t figure out Illinois and Purdue. Most students would not know these two are “rivals” and you could win a lot of bar bets knowing the Boilers and Illini play for the Purdue Cannon.
Golf – Details on PGA Tour- LIV Agreement
This is a fascinating read, and while it makes sense today, not sure the application will be that easy, just like every other merger that happens in business.For those with a sense of humor, you might like this.
Top Betting System
MLB – Athletics at Brewers (-223 ML and -125 RL)
Play on NL favorites with a money line of -200 or more, like Milwaukee with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better, with a team on-base percentage of .310 or worse on the season.Teams like the Brew Crew are 78-12 the past five seasons, and if that money line is too expensive for you, teams like the Brewers have won these games by 3.0 RPG, bringing the RL into play.
Out The Door
Horse Racing – 50 Years Ago Today the Best Horse Ever Won the Belmont to Complete the Triple Crown
Secretariat won the Belmont in utter dominance in what could be considered the best race a horse has ever won. It was mind-boggling.Watch the entire video while listening and if you can find the ESPN 30 for 30 about Secretariat, it is worth your time even if you are not a horse racing fan.
NBAAF – Reports Have Reggie Bush Out at FOX Sports
There go the Wendy’s commercials.MLB – Throwing Out The First Pitch is Not Easy
NFL – How Can Delvin Cook Be Released?
Wish I could explain this, but I cannot.
What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
MLB - Top 5 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (85-51 record, 39-18 run)
- Orioles
- Yankees
- Royals/Orioles Over
- Rangers/Rays Over
- Astros
WNBA - Top 2 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (4-2 record)
- Phoenix/Dallas Over
- Los Angeles
CFL - Top Bet by Percentage - Highest First
- Hamilton
Let’s get some winners! Have a great weekend and see you back here Monday.
