BMR Social
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- Apr 4, 2022
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By: Doug Upstone
As you can read, the Miami Marlins are having a thoroughly unexpected season. This year matches something they have done in the past, read what it is, and would you place a bet? Though it is still June, the Pittsburgh Steelers are drawing attention. See if you agree.
This, plus all sorts of MLB news and betting trends, along with the latest on the 76ers and J.J. Watt.
About Last Night…
MLB
The Dodgers' offense is heating up again as they pulverized the Rockies 14-3 Thursday in a game that was delayed several hours because of an immense amount of hail on the field and rain. L.A. was a -180 road favorite, so this was not unexpected, but Freddy Freeman entered unique territory.Miami swept Boston at Fenway Park to move to 48-34. The two previous times the Marlins reached this level of play, they went on to win the World Series. (2003 & 1997). Miami is currently +5500 to take the Fall Classic. Any takers?
After Tampa Bay won Thursday and Texas lost, they still can go down in the modern history books with a win tonight. Check this out.
One last shoutout to Domingo German for tossing a perfect game Wednesday against Oakland. Since it is baseball, this always comes with a wild backstory.
Trendy Talk
MLB
- Baltimore is 29-12 after two or more consecutive losses.
- Boston is 4-26 playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season.
- NY Mets are 10-31 against the run line vs. a team with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.35 or better this season.
- Kansas City is 14-1 Over off an upset win vs. a division rival as an underdog of +130 or higher.
- Philadelphia is 15-2 Under after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs.
- Toronto is 10-0 Under when playing on Friday this season. (Typically, series opener.)
- Pablo Lopez of the Twins 13-2 Over in June games since 2021.
- Oakland is 4-32 in day games this season. (Saturday)
WNBA
- Washington is 20-6 ATS versus 3-point shooting teams making 33% or more of their attempts the last two seasons.
- Los Angeles is 18-8 Under after playing three consecutive games as an underdog since 2021.
CFL
- Edmonton is at Ottawa, and the teams have started 0-5 SU & ATS. What gives?
- Winnipeg is 15-4 Under off an upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite. (Saturday)
- British Columbia is 8-0 ATS in road games off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog. (Monday)
What to Watch for and Win (Hopefully)
MLB
On a weekend not loaded with wildly interesting matchups, Miami at Atlanta is an eye-catcher and so is Houston at Texas in a key divisional series. Look for all our free picks in a variety of ways this weekend!UFC
This weekend is UFC Vegas 76 and we have best bets, parlays, and picks from the preliminary card and main event between Strickland vs. Magomedov.Football
As we all know. football never really stops, and we have quality futures picks and articles for you in the NFL and college football ready for you to digest for the upcoming season.We will add new articles for you to enjoy leading up to the season each week.
The Buzz
NBA – Sixers Moving On
The Philadelphia 76ers signed James Harden with the intent to trade him. Thus, another Super Team idea goes by the boards (i.e., New Jersey and Phoenix, you are on the clock). Where do the 76ers go here with Joel Embiid? Great question.TV News – ESPN Cuts Are Drastic
We are familiar with Black Monday in the NFL, where often many head coaches are fired the day after the regular season concludes. The same is happening today at ESPN, as corporate owner Disney ruthlessly fired Suzy Kolber, Steve Young, Jeff Van Gundy and many other familiar names.ESPN is not what it used to be for more reasons than we can count, some of their own doing and others not, but when places like Barstool Sports are gaining in popularity with ESPN losing out, that says a lot about the new sports frontier.
NFL – Pittsburgh Steelers a Good Bet
Because we are primarily in the dead zone of sports betting with mostly baseball, there has been an increase in NFL talk to fill some of the gaps.We noticed a lot of conversation from a variety of sources talking about the Steelers as NFC North champs and an Over 8.5 wager for season wins. Do you agree or disagree?
Top Betting System
MLB – D-Backs vs. Angels (-150 ML)
Play Against underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 like Arizona, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest, after a game where the bullpen threw seven or more innings.In the past five seasons, teams like the D-Backs are a mere 5-33 in this situation.
Out The Door
MLB – Miami Marlins Oddity
Despite a 48-34 record as mentioned above, today is the first time this season Miami does not have a negative run differential (0). Based on the number of runs the Marlins have scored with a .585 win percentage, in a perfectly balanced baseball world, they should have a run differential over +100. Interesting.NFL – J.J. Watt Still Wants His Football Fix
Watt retired, but not from football, and he will be on CBS Sports to serve as an NFL studio analyst across all platforms, the network announced Thursday.Food – Snoop Dogg-Inspired Jack in the Box Restaurant Opens in California for Limited Time
We know this has nothing to do with sports or betting, but how can Snoop Dogg and Taco Bell not get together for a late-night menu, if you catch my drift.USFL – Title Game Saturday
Birmingham opened at -7 over Pittsburgh, and the sharps and public are backing the favorite to win and cover Saturday. The line presently is -7.5 and -8s are popping up.What Bettors Like – Play or Fade?
MLB - Top 5 Bets by Percentage - Highest First (104-72 record, 7-1 of run)
- Rays
- Dodgers
- Marlins/Braves Over
- Twins/Orioles Over
- Blue Jays
WNBA - Top Bet by Percentage - Highest First (5-3 record)
- Washington/Atlanta Under
Let’s get some winners! Have a great weekend, see you back here Monday.
