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ATP Quito Final Predictions – Estrella Burgos vs. Lorenzi

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We’ve reached the decisive day with Victor Estrella Burgos and Paolo Lorenzi fighting for the Ecuador Open title. Bookmakers Review breaks down the fixture below and lists the best available odds from green listed bookmakers.

 

Estrella Burgos vs. Lorenzi

For the third consecutive year, Victor Estrella Burgos is in the Ecuador Open Final. As we mentioned in our previous analysis, this is a very special place for Estrella Burgos with the Dominican holding an astonishing 14 – 0 record in Quito. Looking now to Victor’s campaign on this event, the defending champion reaches this stage of the competition after defeating Thomaz Bellucci in two tie-breaks.

Paolo Lorenzi is looking for his second career title on the ATP World Tour after lifting the trophy for the first time last year in Kitzbühel. It has been a great week for the Italian with Lorenzi reaching this decisive match without dropping a single set. The fast game conditions in altitude clearly suit Paolo’s powerful serve with the world no.46 winning 96.55% of his service games throughout the week.

This will be the 4th career meeting between these two players with Estrella Burgos still looking for his first victory over this opponent. Despite Paolo’s lead on the h2h, it’s impossible for us to go against Estrella Burgos on this event, especially when the Dominican is the underdog for this final. Therefore, the value is clearly on the defending champion side with Victor available at 73/50 at Pinnacle while Ladbrokes offers 31/50 for Lorenzi’s victory.