End-of-Year Price Prediction Betting Analysis: Will Bitcoin be above $30,500?

In the realm of digital investments, the looming question echoes: Will Bitcoin ascend beyond $30,500 before the year’s close?

We embark on a thorough exploration of cryptocurrency’s year-end price predictions, dissecting recent market movements and historical trajectories.

At $28,325, Bitcoin’s October growth, a modest 4.6%, pales in comparison to its robust historical averages. With insights into the industry’s rollercoaster history and the emergence of stability, we scrutinize factors influencing investor confidence, including the impact of stablecoins and the recent Sam Bankman-Fried trial.

Recent History of Bitcoin Value

First, we need to check out how the coin performed recently. As of writing this article, the value is $28,325 after a September high of $27,009.

Historically, October had been an exceptional month for Bitcoin users over the previous fourteen years with an average growth in the tenth month of the year at 26%. This year’s figure show that October of 2023, saw a steady increase of 4.6% which was a long way down on those expectations.

Amazingly, the peak of Bitcoin’s value was two years ago in the October of 2021 when it reached a phenomenal high of $61,837 so since that time over 50% of value has disappeared.

Early Bitcoin

Of course, two years is a small sample given that Bitcoin was invented in 2008 by Satoshi Nakamoto and was implemented as an open-source software in 2009 with an opening price of nil.

After one year at the end of 2010, the price was $0.30 but by June 2011, Bitcoin had rocketed to $30. Those increases seem small by today’s standards but at the time they were very respectable and indeed the growth was steady and hit $1,000 early in 2017.

The First Boom!

From early in 2017, and with a starting value of more than $1,000 for the first time, remarkably by the end of that year, the value had skyrocketed and was worth over $14,000. The boom was short-lived and two years later in January 2019 the value had fallen back to below $4,000 but a year on, at the start of 2020, the price recovered to just over $10,000.

The Second Boom Was Spectacular

Following for those ten years would have been a hell of a rollercoaster for investors, but from May 2020 things got even wilder with a rise from just below $10,000 to $58,668 a year later. Amazing stuff, and despite a huge downswing back to $35,000 in June, by November of 2021, the record high of $61,837 was hit.

After the Rise Comes the Fall!

By November 2022, a year later the value of Bitcoin had fallen to just over $16,000 so that was a huge slump so in perspective a current value of $28,000 is respectable with an air of stability to the price.

Now we know all the history so, what is our end of year price prediction betting analysis? Will Bitcoin stay above $30,500 come January 1st, 2024?

For the first time since the early years, there is an air of stability to the Bitcoin value, indeed the fourteen-year graph has a rather straight line currently for the first prolonged period since the start of 2017. That indicates confidence is slowly returning for investors to step back into the market with larger sums.

Certainly, the advent of the “Stable Coin” that we featured in a previous cryptocurrency article may have been a factor. The ideal being that buyers and sellers could have a newfound confidence that their investments in those certain coins will not fall by over 50%. By pegging the value with natural assets like fiat money or commodities such as gold and silver, the intention is for cryptocurrency to build trust and be accepted by the traditional financial ecosystem. That is bound to take time but with $13 Billion currently in Stable Coins the signs are promising. Also, the current Sam Bankman-Fried trial (we have also covered) shouldn’t have tempered confidence.

Prediction

Here at Bookmakers Review, we have followed the cryptocurrency markets for several years now and would expect the value to keep slowly rising in the short term, whether it will be above or below 30,500 is too tight to say. The reason is that $30,500 would be my year-end prediction, should November and December play out like recent months.

This will allow time for the poor publicity that the Sam Bankman-Fried trial has brought the industry to disperse allowing confidence to grow further.

The new year will tell us more if confidence is returning and if it does, the market will gather pace a little better in 2024. But given those indicators, I’d take the Over $30,500 at [sportsbook id=”BetOnline”/] (visit our [review id=”BetOnline”/])