A surprising final takes place this Saturday in Sydney with Daniel Evans and Gilles Muller fighting for the Apia International title. Bookmakers Review breaks down the fixture below and lists the best available odds from green listed bookmakers.
Evans vs. Muller
After two consecutive defeats in the Apia International semi-finals, Gilles Muller finally made it into the decisive match. The player from Luxembourg clearly raised his level in the last two matches, defeating the two highest ranked players in the bottom half of the draw – Pablo Cuevas and Viktor Troicki. Known for his powerful serve, Gilles fired a total of 33 aces in those two matches, saving also 80.0% of the break points he faced.
It has been a remarkable week for Daniel Evans with the British reaching his first ATP World Tour Final. Regardless of this Saturday’s result, Evans already assured his career high ranking next week. After defeating the top seed – Dominic Thiem – in the quarter-finals, Daniel featured another terrific result in the semi-finals against Andrey Kuznetsov. Looking now to Evans’ numbers throughout the week, the British played extremely well the pressure points on his opponents’ serve, winning 68.20% of the break points he had. However, Daniel was far from successful on his own serve, saving only 44.40% of the break points he faced.
Both players are looking for their first trophy but while this is only Daniel’s first final, Muller already played five. Gilles’ history in finals started more than a decade ago in 2004 with his last one in 2016, losing to Ivo Karlovic in the third set tie break. Despite Muller’s poor record on finals, this is the first time that he’s the main favorite. With Evans winning only 74.40% of his service games throughout the week, this seems to be the time for Muller to grab his first title. Therefore, Gilles is the right play here at 61/100 at 5Dimes while Evans is available at 39/25 at Pinnacle
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