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Betting on Donald Trump Trials: Sentencing and All Conviction Odds
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Bookmakers Review
- June 21, 2024
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With Donald Trump being found guilty of all 34 counts against him in his N.Y. Hush Money Trial, a sentencing date of July 11 has been set for Judge Juan Merchan to decide what punishment Trump will face.
Political betting sites have released betting odds on the outcome of other upcoming Trump trials, as well as what the sentencing will result in for the former commander-in-Chief.
Top Political Betting Sites
The top six sportsbooks recommended by Bookmakers Review have each released various prop bets on Trump ranging from trial odds to Presidential debate prop bets.
| SPORTSBOOK | TRUST SCORE | ONLINE SINCE | Expert Review | BONUS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bookmaker
|
1996 | Read Review | ||
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Heritage Sports
|
2001 | Read Review | ||
|
BetAnySports
|
2002 | Read Review | ||
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Everygame
|
1996 | Read Review | ||
|
BetOnline
|
2001 | Read Review | ||
|
Bovada
|
2011 | Read Review |
Odds on Trump’s Sentence in N.Y. Case
Bettors have multiple choices to wager on Trump’s sentence with Bovada Sportsbook. Sentencing must occur in 2024 for the bets to have action; and more than one bet may be a winner based on the scope of the sentence. For example, Trump could be sentenced to probation as well as some form of home confinement.
All eyes will be on Judge Juan Merchan on July 11 to see what sentence awaits the former Commander-in-Chief. Trump took particular issue with Merchan’s jury instructions and his overall stewardship of the trial. The options on the table as offered by Bovada Sportsbook are listed below:
| Sentence | Odds | Bovada |
|---|---|---|
| Fine | -10000 | |
| Probation | -2500 | |
| Community Service | +200 | |
| Home Confinement | +225 | |
| Incarceration | +400 | |
| Electronic Tag | +300 |
These Donald Trump prop bets are straight bets offered by Bovada and cannot be combined into a parlay. Bovada updates these betting odds daily in response to the news cycle, offering bettors the opportunity to potentially hedge their bets as the market moves.
Trump to Serve Community Service
Should Donald Trump be ordered to complete community service, Bovada has spread numerous bets on what that will entail; though there are some obvious novelty prop bets spread such as the idea of the former President being mandated to work for the Clinton foundation at +8000 odds. Another novelty prop bet is that Trump will be tasked with removing graffiti at +300 and delivering food to the elderly at the odds of +2000.
Will Trump be Imprisoned Before the Election?
Bovada is offering a market on whether or not Donald Trump will be imprisoned before the 2024 U.S. Election. This is a two-way market with the odds of +260 for yes and –370 for no. Trump must serve time in a jail or prison for a minimum of 25 hours before November 6 for this bet to have action.
Apart from the New York hush money trial, Trump’s legal team has a bevy of upcoming cases against the former President that could also result in felony convictions and possible jail time.
Classified Documents Trial Odds
Donald Trump pleaded not guilty last June to a 40-count indictment alleging that he improperly handled classified documents. Federal authorities invaded Mar-a-Lago in search of the documents. US District Judge Aileen Cannon issued a court order indefinitely delaying the start of this trial, which was originally set to begin May 20. It is no longer expected to begin prior to the 2024 Election.
Bovada has priced the odds at even money (+100) for a conviction. This case has ruffled many political feathers given the idea that there was a double standard in that Joe Biden was not charged for similarly retaining classified material, which ended up being recovered from the garage of his Delaware residence.
In explaining the decision not to recommend charges, Special counsel Robert Hur reported that Biden would present to a jury as an “elderly man with a poor memory” and that it would be difficult to obtain a conviction for criminal wrongdoing.
Federal Election Fraud Trial Odds
Pundits believe the election interference case brought by Special counsel Jack Smith is also one of the weaker cases brought against the former Commander-in-Chief. Jack Smith was appointed in November 2022 to investigate Trump as well as his political allies.
On March 19, Trump’s legal team filed a brief with the Supreme Court arguing that he should be protected from prosecution on grounds of immunity. The New York Times published an op-ed posing the question of whether or not the Supreme Court was attempting to “run out the clock” on the case until after the November election.
Trump is trading at the same even money (+100) odds for a conviction, essentially making this market a coin-flip.
It is possible that Trump could become President-elect and that the Supreme Court sides with prosecutors in ruling that Trump is not immune from prosecution — which would further inflame tensions in an already divided political landscape. As this trial is not expected to take place before the election, it is unlikely to have any material impact on Trump’s election odds or national polling performance.
Georgia Election Interference Trial Odds
The case in Georgia, led by Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis, is perhaps the most shaky as recent betting movement indicates, much like the classified documents and federal election interference case. It has already been marred by allegations of inappropriate conduct between Willis and the since-recused prosecutor Nathan Wade, with whom Willis had a romantic relationship.
This case has been delayed by the Georgia Court of Appeals. Oral arguments will be heard after Trump’s legal team appealed Fulton Judge Scott McAfee’s decision to allow DA Fani Willis to stay on the case, making it unlikely that the case will go to trial this year.
Trump is likely to be acquitted at the odds of -165, while a guilty verdict is trading at +125.
Bookmakers Review will continue to monitor the status of the legal cases faced by Donald Trump and update this article as more betting odds are released by sportsbooks.
Where to Bet on the 2024 U.S. Election
Election betting markets are in high-demand from U.S. bettors more than ever in increasingly polarizing times.
As licensed brick & mortar sportsbook companies cannot take bets on the election, the trusted political betting sites recommended by Bookmakers Review remain the best choice for bettors looking to wager on the 2024 Election.
- BetOnline – Renowned for its early election odds and extensive range of betting options, BetOnline is a preferred choice for those eager to place bets on elections well in advance. It provides valuable insights into future political races.
- Bovada –As a prominent name in the online betting arena, Bovada stands out with its competitive presidential election odds and a broad selection of political events to wager on. Its user-friendly website and prompt payout options make it a top choice.
- BookMaker – Ideal for early lines and an extensive array of wagering markets for the 2024 Presidential Election, BookMaker is a leading platform for political betting enthusiasts.
- Heritage Sports – Acclaimed for its excellent customer service and appealing election betting odds, Heritage Sports ensures a smooth betting experience with a strong focus on user satisfaction.
- BetAnySports – Known for its diverse betting options, BetAnySports extends beyond sports to offer a robust section for political betting. Its attractive election odds make it a favorite among bettors.
- Everygame – Previously known as Intertops, Everygame has earned a long-standing reputation in the betting community. It provides comprehensive betting options for various political events, including U.S. presidential elections, with up-to-date odds and detailed analysis.
Election Odds – US Presidency
Donald Trump has held steady as the betting favorite to win the U.S. Presidency despite the variety of legal challenges faced, 34 convictions, and sentencing looming. View all election odds compiled by Bookmakers Review ahead of the November election.
