Vice Presidential Debate Betting Odds: Walz vs. Vance Prop Bets
- Jason Lake
- October 1, 2024
Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are set to meet for their first and only Vice Presidential debate this evening on CBS News. Election betting sites have released dozens of prop bets on tonight’s debate.
Before we dig into the prop bets on offer, here’s a quick breakdown of the debate format and how sportsbooks will grade debate prop bets.
Vice Presidential Debate Format
- The debate will run for 90-minutes and begin at 9PM ET.
- Microphones will remain on, though CBS moderators reserve the right to mute either microphone at their discretion.
- No pre-written notes allowed
- No audience
- No opening statements
Walz vs Vance: How Sportsbooks Will Grade the Debate
According to the rules for this wager at BetOnline, the winner must be decided by a CBS-affiliated poll; should one not be provided, BetOnline will turn to YouGov and/or Ipsos for an answer.
This is fairly standard operating procedure at the online politics betting sites. It was much the same for the Harris-Trump debate on ABC; most books wanted either ABC themselves or their FiveThirtyEight affiliate to declare the winner – which they eventually did after a few days.
Vice Presidential Debate Props at BetOnline
The following Vice Presidential debate prop bets are currently available at BetOnline.
Debate Winner
Tim Walz | -225 | |
J.D. Vance | +165 |
Walz has seen his VP debate odds improve from –200 at the open; if Vance follows Trump’s playbook and talking points from the September 10 presidential debate, he’s just as likely to lose – a price the GOP is more than willing to pay if it gets them back into the White House.
Total Mentions
Biden | Over 9.5 -120 | Under 9.5 -120 | |
Kamala/Harris | Over 17.5 -200 | Under 17.5 +140 | |
Putin | Over 5.5 -120 | Under 5.5 -120 | |
Trump | Over 17.5 -120 | Under 12.5 -120 |
Vance will no doubt spend much of his time trying to yoke the Harris-Walz ticket to Biden, just like he did back in 2022 when he debated Tim Ryan (D) as they fought to replace retiring Ohio Senator Rob Portman.
Walz could also try to link Vance and Trump (and Putin), but the Democrats have taken a somewhat sunnier stance in their public speaking since Harris replaced Biden at the top of the ticket, running their campaign on what some refer to as “vibes”.
False/Misleading Claims as per CBS
Over 7.5 Claims | -200 | |
Under 7.5 Claims | -150 |
Most Speaking Time
Tim Walz | -120 |
J.D. Vance | -120 |
It’s the added chatter that will presumably determine the winner of this debate prop.
Most Mentions
China | +150 | |
Ukraine | +250 | |
Russia | +375 | |
Israel | +500 | |
Mexico | +1000 |
Timing is everything; Ukraine is a hot topic right now with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in New York to visit the U.N. General Assembly, but that ends September 30, so Ukraine might be less of a target for Vance the following night.
China was also a more frequent buzzword when the Republicans were focussing more on the economy; the People’s Republic will probably take some flak during this debate, but maybe not as much now that the GOP has leaned into immigration and crime.
First Candidate to Say:
Cat/Cats | Walz -400 | Vance +250 | |
Gun/Guns | Walz -150 | Vance +110 | |
Artificial Intelligence/AI | Walz +110 | Vance -150 |
I’d personally be surprised if Walz didn’t mention the “Haitians eating cats” thing, or if Vance brought it up willingly to get ahead of Walz.
As for guns, part of Walz’ Midwestern appeal is that he’s a gun owner, and he likes to bring it up to assuage any fears about gun control legislation.
Artificial intelligence is a much drier topic that I doubt Vance cares to discuss much, aside from de-regulation of AI companies as a sop to Elon Musk.
Candidates to Shake Hands?
Yes | -900 | |
No | +500 |
If Harris was willing to march over and shake Trump’s hand, I expect Walz to do the same – and while it’s possible, I doubt Vance would refuse the handshake.
Color of Candidates’ Suits
Color of J.D. Vance’s Suit | Color of Tim Walz’s Suit | |
---|---|---|
Blue -125 | Blue +100 | |
Black +200 | Black +200 | |
Grey +475 | Grey +450 | |
Any other +950 | Any other +600 |
It’s the first rule of men’s wear: Always wear a blue suit if you want to command respect. Dark grey is a fine choice when you need to mix things up, but the most important election race in the world isn’t the time or place to go off-script.
Walz wore blue during his debates in Minnesota versus Jeff Johnson and Dr. Scott Jensen; two years ago, Vance wore blue in Ohio while debating Ryan. Bet accordingly.
Vice Presidential Debate Props at Bovada
The following Vance vs. Walz prop bets are available at popular offshore sportsbook Bovada.
Who Will Win the Debate According to Polls?
Tim Waltz | -250 | |
J.D Vance | +185 |
JD Vance Tie Color
Blue | -1800 | |
Red | +1000 | |
Brown | +1500 | |
Green | +1500 | |
Purple/Pink | +1500 | |
Silver/Grey | +1500 | |
Yellow | +2500 | |
Orange/Peach | +3000 | |
Black | +4000 | |
White/Cream | +4000 | |
No Tie | +4000 |
Tim Walz Tie Color
Blue | -1800 | |
Red | +1000 | |
Brown | +1500 | |
Green | +1500 | |
Purple/Pink | +1500 | |
Silver/Grey | +1500 | |
Yellow | +2500 | |
Orange/Peach | +3000 | |
Black | +4000 | |
White/Cream | +4000 | |
No Tie | +4000 |
1st State Mentioned
Minnesota | +165 | |
California | +400 | |
Pennsylvania | +400 | |
Kentucky | +600 | |
New York | +600 | |
Florida | +1200 | |
Georgia | +1200 | |
Michigan | +1200 | |
Nevada | +1200 | |
North Carolina | +1200 | |
Wisconsin | +1200 | |
Arizona | +1500 |
Ohio To Be First State Mentioned
Yes | +400 | |
No | -650 |
To Be Said By JD Vance
Fentanyl | -1000 | |
Illegal alien | -850 | |
Trump 20+ times | -550 | |
MAGA/Make America great again | -200 | |
Radical left | -200 | |
Weird | -200 | |
Kamal Harris 30+ times | -185 | |
IVF | -170 | |
Trump 30+ times | -170 | |
Institutions of our society | +100 | |
White working class | +100 | |
Trans | +105 | |
Childless left | +150 | |
Tampon | +160 | |
Haitian | +190 | |
Cat | +220 | |
Catholic | +250 | |
Childless cat ladies | +250 | |
The vice president doesn’t/does not matter | +250 | |
Hillbily | +300 | |
Political prisoners | +300 | |
Stolen Valor | +300 | |
De-woke-ification | +400 | |
Rig/Rigged | +400 | |
Stolen election | +400 | |
Diet Mountain Dew | +800 | |
Never Trump | +1000 | |
Repent | +2000 | |
The devil is real | +2000 |
To Be Said By Tim Walz
Opportunity economy | -5000 | |
Project 2025 | -2500 | |
Tax breaks | -2000 | |
Small businesses | -1500 | |
Kamala Harris 15+ times | -600 | |
Concept | -400 | |
Trump 20+ times | -300 | |
Moral values | -250 | |
Neighbors | -200 | |
Yale | -195 | |
Just weird | -150 | |
Take care of our troops | -150 | |
Prosperous future | -125 | |
Trust women | -125 | |
Venture Capitalist | -120 | |
Kamala Harris 30+ times | +100 | |
Trump 30+ times | +100 | |
Marines | +125 | |
Dog | +140 | |
High school coach | +175 | |
Abortion 5+ times | +185 | |
Haitian | +185 | |
Abortion is health care | +200 | |
When unions are strong, America is strong | +250 | |
Eating pets | +300 | |
Racist | +300 | |
Tampon | +300 | |
Get off the couch | +950 |
To Be Said by Tim Walz – Parlay
“Cat” & “Couch” | +1200 |
Debate Specials – Propositions
An insect to land on either candidate’s head | +4000 | |
Either candidate to trip and fall on the debate stage | +3000 |
Vice Presidential Debate Props at BookMaker
The following Vance vs. Walz prop bets are available at popular offshore sportsbook BookMaker.
Will Vance and Walz Shake Hands?
Yes | -1850 | |
No | +841 |
Which Candidate Will Say Their Home State First?
Tim Walz (Minnesota) | -110 | |
J.D. Vance (Ohio) | -120 |
Will Tim Walz Say “Threat to Democracy”?
Yes | +345 |
No | -490 |
Amount of Times J.D. Vance Says “Border”
Over 6.5 | -237 | |
Under 6.5 | +185 |
Amount of Times Either Candidate Says “Weird”
Over 1.5 | +154 | |
Under 1.5 | -204 |
Will J.D. Vance Say…?
“Rigged” | Yes +634 | No -1132 |
“Tampon” | Yes +278 | No -377 |
Will Either Candidate Say…?
“Cats” | Yes +263 | No -353 | |
“Geese” | Yes +815 | No -1742 | |
“Ducks” | Yes +625 | No -1105 | |
“Hillbilly” | Yes +524 | No -849 |
Which Candidate Will Say… First?
“China” | Tim Walz +228 | J.D. Vance -300 | |
“Kamala” | Tim Walz +194 | J.D. Vance -250 | |
“Trump” | Tim Walz -130 | J.D. Vance +100 |
Will There Be Another Debate?
Maybe. At press time, Bovada (visit our Bovada Review) has odds of +295 that Harris and Trump will debate a total of two times, +1200 for exactly three debates, and +4500 for four or more. Odds for a second VP debate are off the board.
What About a Musk-Cuban Debate?
But there’s more where that came from. On Monday, investor and Dallas Mavericks minority owner Mark Cuban extended an invitation to fellow billionaire Elon Musk to engage in a “direct discussion” about Kamala Harris and her tax policies. This was after Musk shared a post on his X platform (formerly Twitter) that was critical of Cuban, who advocates for higher taxes on American’s top earners.
Back in January, Cuban challenged Musk and any other bigwig CEO who wanted to touch verbal gloves over DEI (Diversity, Equity, Inclusion) hires. They’ve traded jabs online like this multiple times, but will this blossom into a full-grown TV debate?
Probably not – but if it does, Cuban is expected to win in a cakewalk. BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) has Cuban as the -800 favorite in this hypothetical matchup, well ahead of Musk at +425; however, “No” is priced at -2500 for whether they’ll debate on television by the end of 2024. “Yes” is a distant +800.
While we wait for these titans of industry to throw down, Walz and Vance are preparing for what might be the last significant battle of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Keep it locked in with us at Bookmakers Review for more politics odds and analysis as the countdown to November 5 continues.
U.S. Election Odds - Next President
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