Top Player Prop Pick of the Weekend
AC Monza vs. Inter Milan: Lautaro Martinez Anytime Goalscorer (+140) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Picks Summary
- Real Valladolid vs. Villarreal: Javier Sanchez (Real Valladolid) to Be Booked (+160)
- Leicester City vs. Manchester City: Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City) Over 0.5 Assists (-120)
- AC Monza vs. Inter Milan: Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan) Anytime Goalscorer (+140)
It’s almost that time of the week again when we delve into the European soccer player props market.
Choosing three solid value matchups across the Spanish La Liga, Italian Serie A, and English Premier League, here are our three soccer picks this weekend.
Villarreal C.F. vs. Real Valladolid
Saturday, April 15, 2023 – 08:00 AM EDT at Estadio de la Ceramica
Javier Sanchez (Real Valladolid)
To Be Booked
- Total Yellow Cards: 10
- Total Red Cards: 0
- Fouls Per Game: 1.3
We head to the Spanish La Liga for our first selection this weekend, targeting Real Valladolid’s Javier Sanchez to be booked at +160 according to U.S. betting sites.
Javier Sanchez leads the entire Valladolid team with 10 cards (three more than the second and third highest). On top of this, he has seen 6 of those 10 cards handed out on home soil.
The 26-year-old center-back has seen a yellow card in 5 of his previous 7 outings, and we like the fact he failed to pick up a card last time out as he has rarely gone back-to-back games without a booking this season.
Valladolid is fighting to survive relegation and is now winless in four games, piling on the pressure to pick up a result this weekend against a strong Villarreal team who are currently sitting 5th in the league table.
Soccer Pick: Javier Sanchez to Be Booked (+160) at BetOnline
Manchester City vs. Leicester City
Saturday, April 15, 2023 – 12:30 PM EDT at Etihad Stadium
Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City)
Over/Under Assists
- Total Goals: 6
- Total Assists: 19
- Shots Per Game: 2.2
It’s very rare that we look to lay juice on a player to pick up an assist but that is the approach we are taking with Manchester City’s Kevin de Bruyne. De Bruyne is the assist king having had 19 in total across all competitions and 14 in this season's Premier League.
The fact of the matter is Man City are expected to score potentially three or four goals in this home matchup against Leicester City who allow 17.3 shots per game on the road (3rd worst in the EPL) and also concede 2.1 goals per game on the road, which isn’t ideal when facing a City team who scores 3.2 goals per game on home soil.
Interestingly, De Bruyne has scored twice in his previous two games against Leicester and failed to register any assists. If you are feeling brave, the Belgium midfielder is +200 to score anytime, but we are willing to lay the juice on his assist count as he is a much more prolific playmaker.
Soccer Pick: Kevin De Bruyne Over 0.5 Assists (-120) at BetOnline
Inter Milan vs. AC Monza
Saturday, April 15, 2023 – 02:45 PM EDT at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lautaro Martinez (Inter Milan)
Anytime Goalscorer
- Total Goals: 18
- Total Assists: 5
- Shots Per Game: 3.20
Although Lautaro Martinez is Inter Milan’s top goalscorer this season with 18 goals in all competitions, he has now failed to score in his previous seven games.
With that being said, he will be glad to be back on home soil here, having scored 11 of those 18 goals at home. The Argentinean has been averaging 2.8 shots per game at home this season in the Italian Serie A with opponents Monza allowing 13 shots on the road. We suspect Martinez should get opportunities to get back on the scoreboard.
Leading the team with 1.2 shots on target per game and an xG of 0.55 goals per game, Martinez is looking like a nice set of odds at +140 to score anytime.
Martinez has not played 90 minutes in four games, but he could do so in this Serie A matchup. If he starts, we expect him to feature for 75 minutes at least.
Soccer Pick: Lautaro Martinez Anytime Goalscorer (+140) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
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