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Bettors âin loveâ with Washington; books need Michigan âpretty bigâ
LV Review Journal SubscriptionThe betting public is all-in on Washington over Michigan in Mondayâs College Football Playoff national championship game.
âThey love Washington,â Westgate SuperBook vice president of risk Ed Salmons said. âThe public, at certain times, falls in love with a team when it gets rewarded week after week. Washington is definitely their team now.â
The Wolverines are consensus 4½-point favorites over the Huskies, who have the nationâs longest winning streak at 21 games and are coming off back-to-back upsets of Texas in the College Football Playoff semifinals and Oregon in the Pac-12 title game.
âWashington is going to be a trendy âdog in this game,â SuperBook director John Murray said. âEverybody bet Washington against Texas. We couldnât write a bet on Texas. Weâre going to need Michigan pretty big in this game.â
Itâs the same situation at Station Casinos and BetMGM, where the ticket counts are in favor of Washington by a 2-1 margin. The Huskies are even more popular on the money line, where they pay +165 to win the game outright (Michigan is -185).
âAlways in these big games, we root for the middle â for the favorite to win but not cover,â Caesars Sportsbook assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. âBettors will usually flock to the underdog in a big game and take that money line.â
Caesars took a $50,000 wager on Michigan -4, but more money has been bet on Washington.
The Wolverines covered their last three games against Alabama in the CFP semifinal, Iowa in the Big Ten championship game and Ohio State.
âWe definitely had more Alabama money than Michigan money,â Salmons said. âThe public doesnât really think a lot about Michigan, for whatever reason.â
Sportsbooks also need Michigan to win to avoid a seven-figure loss in futures bets on Washington, which opened at 100-1 last year at the SuperBook to win it all.
The book is on the hook for six figures on the Huskies, Station also has some liability on them, and BetMGM has a high six-figure liability on Washington.
âWith Washington coming in at a higher price at the beginning of the year, a lot of people jumped in early on them,â MGM Resorts director of trading Lamarr Mitchell said. âWe definitely need Michigan to win this game.â
BetMGM also took a substantial five-figure bet on Washington +4½.
The SuperBook took some sharp money on Michigan when it intentionally opened the line on the lower side at 3½ to draw some Washington action. It climbed as high as 5½ before dropping to 4 and settling at 4½. The line was still at 4 at Circa Sports on Saturday afternoon.
The total is 56½.
Both teams went over in the CFP semifinals. Michigan is on an 8-2 over run despite leading the nation in scoring defense, allowing 10.2 points per game. Washington is on a 3-1 under run despite being ninth in the nation in scoring with 37.6 ppg.
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Texas-based handicapper Paul Stone likes Mondayâs game to stay under the total.
âOne would expect Michigan to churn clock with its running game to keep the ball away from (Washington QB Michael) Penix and the Huskies,â said Stone (@PaulStoneSports). âPlus the Wolverinesâ defense will be the toughest faced by Washington all season.â
Michigan only allows an average of 5.8 yards per pass attempt to rank fifth nationally.
Stone also likes Washington tight end Jack Westover to go over 24½ receiving yards.
While the Huskiesâ wide receiving trio of Rome Odunze, JaâLynn Polk and Jalen McMillan garners most of the attention, Stone believes Westover (six catches for 59 yards against Texas) will get some opportunities.
âI think Michigan is going to take away some of Washingtonâs downfield, vertical passing game,â Stone said, âand Westover will be the beneficiary on some of the underneath routes.â
Salmons likes Michigan.
âThe line is definitely lighter than what the power ratings come to,â he said. âIâm looking to play Michigan at some point. Iâm just waiting to see how low it goes.â