🗣️📢Sunday 5/14 All-Sports *Plays and Chat Thread*🗣️📢

[JDS]

The Total in this game is pretty low today.

Compare that to earlier in the series.

Seems like a bit ov an overreaction to the last game...

Date	Tot Line	Result	Tot Score
1-May	215	OVER	234
3-May	215.5	UNDER	208
5-May	214	OVER	216
7-May	214	OVER	231
9-May	214	OVER	218
11-May	210.5	UNDER	181

From my experience elimination games are always favorable toward the under. No I do not have any data to support that, that’s just the eye test from a seasoned sports handicapper.

 

[KVB]

At least the wasn't a "1." before every cell in that chart.

 

[JDS]

In fact it just happened in the last game against the Heat versus the Knicks bookmakers couldn’t make that total low enough, that cashed very easily. I picked up the under live @ 210 I bet that after the first quarter. I knew that game would slow down eventually.

 

[KVB]

From my experience elimination games are always favorable toward the under. No I do not have any data to support that, that’s just the eye test from a sports handicapper.

Agreed, and it's low for a reason. The UNDER might pay, but the reaction is a little much.

Even conservative estimates can put this game at 203.

Stacking percentages Forecast shows a 216 point game and the public gauge shows a 220 point game.

Something a little funny here. Both teams will lower team totals in the market than could be expected.

I think 6.5 and 6 might be too high and that 201 is too low. I expect both lines to move accordingly.

 

[Tanko]

At least the wasn't a "1." before every cell in that chart.

Did you do something to fix that issue?
I've been converting tables to text to post them to avoid it.

Wonder if BMR fixed the problem.

 

[KVB]

Did you do something to fix that issue?
I've been converting tables to text to post them to avoid it.

Wonder if BMR fixed the problem.

I used the "remove formatting" button after I posted the chart.

I think you told me to try that.

 

[JDS]

Agreed, and it's low for a reason. The UNDER might pay, but the reaction is a little much.

Even conservative estimates can put this game at 203.

Stacking percentages Forecast shows a 216 point game and the public gauge shows a 220 point game.

Something a little funny here. Both teams will lower team totals in the market than could be expected.

I think 6.5 and 6 might be too high and that 201 is too low. I expect both lines to move accordingly.

This will be fun to watch and see how the game transpires maybe we can learn something as bettors, let’s see buddy

 

[Tanko]

Agreed, and it's low for a reason. The UNDER might pay, but the reaction is a little much.

Even conservative estimates can put this game at 203.

Stacking percentages Forecast shows a 216 point game and the public gauge shows a 220 point game.

Something a little funny here. Both teams will lower team totals in the market than could be expected.

I think 6.5 and 6 might be too high and that 201 is too low. I expect both lines to move accordingly.

I've been reading all the posts and I'm on 76ers +6.5.
Road teams have been stout and last 10 game 7 road teams are 7-3 SU.

 

[matician]

Threw more fire.

 

[JDS]

Threw more fire.

View attachment 12928

Good luck brother

 

[JDS]

Refs holding their whistle so far as expected for a elimination game.

 

[Archie]

who has some NBA player props?

I might take some overs on tatum and unders on harden and embid.

I think harden will have a 2 of 14 kind of day behind arc

Tatum 12
harden 2
embiid 5

I'm liking the texture of my plays

 

[KVB]

Refs holding their whistle so far as expected for a elimination game.

Embiid block props a place to start for sure.

 

[KVB]

Tatum 12
harden 2
embiid 5

I'm liking the texture of my plays

You could get OVER 1.5 and UNDER 2.5 threes for Harden out there, at least you could not long ago.

 

[Archie]

You could get OVER 1.5 and UNDER 2.5 threes for Harden out there, at least you could not long ago.

nah I would have bet a total 3s taken or total missed but no way I'd bet made 3s for him.

took the under 20.5 points

 

[KVB]

I knew you would be on this side of the line because you often like to trade back and guarantee yourself a profit. Let’s see if those opportunities unfold for you.

The market did overreact early, if the first.

Ifyou have +200 76ers you may not have gotten Boston plus money, but they trade is still in the money as Boston trades LIVE here below -200.

For example we did see Bos -125 LIVE, among others.

Do we see it again?

I smell an OT here, so it's possible Bos does trun to a dog this game, but if not, it could be kept out of reach.

 

[JDS]

The market did overreact early, if the first.

Ifyou have +200 76ers you may not have gotten Boston plus money, but they trade is still in the money as Boston trades LIVE here below -200.

For example we did see Bos -125 LIVE, among others.

Do we see it again?

Yes I saw -120’s live as well for Boston. I don’t think we get that again no.

 

[JDS]

Take the points in the first half line with Philly, and then lay the points with Boston in the 2nd should be a sharp double play.

Forecast going relatively accurate thus far here & under looks promising as well.

 

[JDS]

Embiid getting doubled & sometimes getting triple teamed smart move by Celtics to keep the MVP at bay.

 

[KVB]

It's a Boston Three Party