10/14 College Football/ All Sports Saturday Chat & In-Game Thread 🏈

[JDS]

Props on K-St. Gets home in style.

Thank you Chucky

 

[Wagerallsports]

I got a Heisman bet on Penix at +375 and Wazzou to win PAC 12 at +300 from a couple of weeks ago!

Very nice Mike

 

[Wagerallsports]

FYI LSU overs are now 7-0 on the year gents

 

[JDS]

FYI LSU overs are now 7-0 on the year gents

Yes they are noticed the streak 3 weeks ago & still have not pulled the trigger lol.

 

[chuckythegoat2]

Yes they are noticed the streak 3 weeks ago & still have not pulled the trigger lol.

Jerky, have an observation for you. As a keen observer of the betting markets, you might find value in these two points. And file this away under the way information flows:

1) It's very important to get the PEAK # on your ticket.
...So many of these games wobble +/- 2.5 pts.
...The injury information is updated on a daily basis.
...The injury reports are so fluid. IMHO, people OVER-react to the injury news. As if a key absence means they now have to play 10-on-11.

I'll give an example of the L3 Green Bay games:
...In all 3, GB had four key starters who were in doubt.
...In the most recent game, the Vegas QB was un-certain.
...If you timed your bet well, you could have gotten EITHER side as a Dog on any of the six sides (3x2).
...If the Packers had one more FG last game, you could have cashed the Dog at a 6-0 ATS clip. 5-1 ATS in practice, and all just by betting the fat number.
...A lot of Fantasy FB players cross-over to sports-betting b/c of the State-run books.

2) Similar observation for Weather impact on Totals.
...It's like a Totals bettor needs to have a degree in meteorology now.
...Call them the Al Roker plays.
...I think it's a confirmed fact that Wind/Rain impact the projected points on a game.
...As it ties to point #1 (getting a value # on your ticket), I think it's VERY HARD to find a fat Under # after the gloomy Weather report has been released.

Take the Thur Den/KC total as an example:
*Total opens 51.5.
...Al Roker says "20mph winds in KC on Thurs."
...Total dips to 47. Game goes well under.
...But Good Luck getting down on that opening #.

Just my two cents. Squeezing out profits in these markets is akin to getting blood out of a turnip.

 

[JDS]

Jerky, have an observation for you. As a keen observer of the betting markets, you might find value in these two points. And file this away under the way information flows:

1) It's very important to get the PEAK # on your ticket.
...So many of these games wobble +/- 2.5 pts.
...The injury information is updated on a daily basis.
...The injury reports are so fluid. IMHO, people OVER-react to the injury news. As if a key absence means they now have to play 10-on-11.

I'll give an example of the L3 Green Bay games:
...In all 3, GB had four key starters who were in doubt.
...In the most recent game, the Vegas QB was un-certain.
...If you timed your bet well, you could have gotten EITHER side as a Dog on any of the six sides (3x2).
...If the Packers had one more FG last game, you could have cashed the Dog at a 6-0 ATS clip. 5-1 ATS in practice, and all just by betting the fat number.
...A lot of Fantasy FB players cross-over to sports-betting b/c of the State-run books.

2) Similar observation for Weather impact on Totals.
...It's like a Totals bettor needs to have a degree in meteorology now.
...Call them the Al Roker plays.
...I think it's a confirmed fact that Wind/Rain impact the projected points on a game.
...As it ties to point #1 (getting a value # on your ticket), I think it's VERY HARD to find a fat Under # after the gloomy Weather report has been released.

Take the Thur Den/KC total as an example:
*Total opens 51.5.
...Al Roker says "20mph winds in KC on Thurs."
...Total dips to 47. Game goes well under.
...But Good Luck getting down on that opening #.

Just my two cents. Squeezing out profits in these markets is akin to getting blood out of a turnip.

Yes Chucky very good examples of timing your markets & taking full advantage of your bottom line. I am always trying to get the best number each & every wager. I will say I feel like the MLB market is a lot more predictable than the NFL market as far as movement to determine went to bet.