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BMR BEST BET THREAD - August 12th, 2024 ⭐⭐⭐

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lekidecincinnati

lekidecincinnati

Joined
Oct 26, 2021
Messages
4,182
Opener
08/11 03:58 pm
OVER
o7 +105
UNDER
u7 -125
Time
OVER
UNDER
08/12 09:30 pm
o6 -114 posted here.
u6 -105
08/12 12:28 pm
o6½ -104
u6½ -115
08/12 09:08 am
o6½ -120
u6½ +100
08/12 08:47 am
o7 +100
u7 -120
08/12 07:55 am
o6½ -119
u6½ -101
08/12 07:45 am
o7 -105
u7 -114
08/11 07:16 pm
o6½ -120
u6½ +100
08/11 06:55 pm
o6½ -114
u6½ -105
08/11 03:58 pm
o7 +105
u7 -125
let's have a little common sense here if the line was 7.5 snell vs sale u think the line is going to be 6 with morton and whoever giants are throwing unless a typhoon is coming to san fran with 60 mph winds blowing in hello

bet365 has alt total over 6.5 at -250 so over 6 would be past the -300 cut off
 

Tanko

Tanko

Joined
Oct 27, 2021
Messages
42,299
8/13
2.Sunshine 73-35-0 +22.50 Units
OVER 6 -114 SF / Atl
nitrobetting. That’s what it says.
This line does look "off".

I know the line history shows O6 -114 at Nitrobetting at the time of your post but, none of the other books show a line better than O8 -110 anywhere for the last 24 hours.

The difference between O6 and O8 at these odds is roughly a shift of 20%+ favorability (53% --> 75%). That kind of looks like a bad line to me. A book couldn't stay in business offering lines that different from the others.

Sorry for the hassle but, this line does meet the criteria for rule #8 "If the odds posted with a play appear to be in error (i.e. significantly differs from the line found on BMR odds)..."

Please select another play for today.
Thanks and GL.
 

healthnjoy

healthnjoy

Joined
Dec 20, 2023
Messages
676
This line does look "off".

I know the line history shows O6 -114 at Nitrobetting at the time of your post but, none of the other books show a line better than O8 -110 anywhere for the last 24 hours.

The difference between O6 and O8 at these odds is roughly a shift of 20%+ favorability (53% --> 75%). That kind of looks like a bad line to me. A book couldn't stay in business offering lines that different from the others.

Sorry for the hassle but, this line does meet the criteria for rule #8 "If the odds posted with a play appear to be in error (i.e. significantly differs from the line found on BMR odds)..."

Please select another play for today.
Thanks and GL.
The game ended 4-3, by the way. If only we could get max bets down on imaginary fake lines, we would all live in Malibu and ride a Ferrari to $1000/person brunches with caviar and 5 brands of French century-old champagne brut.
 
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