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Election Betting Odds Flip Again Before Presidential Debate

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Wagerallsports

Wagerallsports

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Mar 6, 2018
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Election betting odds flip again before 1st presidential debate​

LV REVIEW JOURNAL SUBSCRIPTION

On the eve of Tuesday’s presidential debate, former President Donald Trump is the election betting favorite again over Vice President Kamala Harris.

Trump is a -130 favorite at BetOnline to win the election over Harris, the +110 underdog.

Harris was a slight +100 favorite over Trump after the Democratic National Convention ended Aug. 22. But Trump has since surpassed her.

“General sentiment is that Harris’ honeymoon period is over, no convention bounce,” BetOnline.ag political oddsmaker Paul Krishnamurty told the Review-Journal. “The New York Times/Siena poll is a clear good signal for Trump.”

The results of the respected poll showed Sunday that Trump now leads Harris nationally among likely voters, 48-47.

Trump has a 50.8 percent chance, which equates to the -103 favorite, to win back the White House, according to electionbettingodds.com, which averages live odds from FTX.com, Betfair.com, PredictIt.org, Smarkets.com and Polymarket.com.

Harris has a 47.1 percent chance, which equates to the +112 underdog, according to the site.

The first presidential debate had a major impact on the odds. President Joe Biden’s chances plummeted after a widely panned performance that led him to withdraw from the race.

Harris is a heavy -300 favorite at BetOnline to win the debate over Trump, a 2-1 underdog.

"Judgements are formed once people see the head-to-head framing. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if we see sharp market moves on the night,” Krishnamurty said. “That was the case historically, and especially during the June debate. At BetOnline, we saw big action on Trump as Biden imploded, but afterwards a lot came back for Biden as they thought it could be an overreaction.

“Harris is the hot favorite, so that might be a clue that her (election) odds will shorten up.”
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
3,261
I took an Uber to airport in Vegas and had a CA transplant driver going on & on about Trump being a felon.

I asked her what he did, and she replied "he forged his taxes."

I said, ok, assume you're right. You're not, but let's assume your right.

"34 times she said, w emphasis"

"OK, should he go to jail for his accounting department classifying something incorrectly?"

"No, but that's a lot of offenses", she said.

I said, ok...dud you know 34,000 illegal immigrants have committed gross misdemeanors or felonies under Biden & Harris border policy alone, and more than 34 people have lost their lives. Should they be held accountable? Are those not offenses in the sense of negligence or dereliction of duty?

"There are no borders in a free world" was her reply.

"No borders huh, just taxes?" And I hopped out as she started yelling so early blather.

Just a disease of the mind.
 

MinnesotaFats

MinnesotaFats

Joined
Nov 1, 2021
Messages
3,261
It's not going to matter. There is absolutely no money left for any Federal spending.

International dollar demand is at all time low. SS already in the red, relying solely on reimbursement from loans made in 80s. That program, btw, dies immediately upon negative inflow....most suggest 2031 now. Medicare is finished & there isn't a single public union w a fully funded pension.
 
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