Friday Aug 9-Friday Aug 16 MLB

[piratealew]

thank you reds, Tigers and Orioles/nats over ...shaping up to be a good night

 

[piratealew]

Late adds and bumps didnt work out as planned but cashed #1 and 2 top plays for some profit. Sides were alright, totals not as much. Back in a few hours for Wednesday's games and make more profit.

MLB=13-17 (Cash #1 &2 Top plays...) Umpire Overs=40-17 This week

MLB =1546-1385 YTD/ (760-692) Top plays) Umpire Overs=173-117 Umpire Under=17-16

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

⭐️Reds-125-W
⭐️Asstros-125-W
⭐️Cubs+120-L
⭐️Arizona/Colorado Over 8.5-115 (UMPIRE Over-Bruce Drekman-19-3 Over/12 runs)-L
⭐️Mets-144-Void Oakland Pitcher change
⭐️KC Royals+103-L
⭐️Padres-1-125-W
⭐️Brewers+115-L
⭐️Tigers-106-W
⭐️Baltimore/Washington Over 9-112-W
⭐️Toronto-125-W
⭐️Arizona-1-144-Push
⭐️Red Sox/Rangers Over 9.5-115-W
⭐️Giants TT Over 3.5-L (3 runs...)
⭐️Pirates/Padres Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-James Hoye)-L
⭐️Angels/Toronto Over 8.5-120-L
⭐️Yanks/White Sux over 9-115-L
Marlins/Phils Over 8.5-120-L
Giants+101-L
Baltimore-1-118-L
Detroit-115 (F5)-W
Royals-105 (F5)-L
Boston-135-W
Cubs+115 (F5)-Push
Brewers/Dodgers Over 8.5-115-W
Marlins+1.5-134-W
White Sux+3-130-Push
Houston Asstros TT Over 4-L
Brewers TT Over 3.5-L
Boston TT Over 5-W
Cubs/Guardians Over 8-120-L
Giants/Braves Over 7.5-130-L
Seattle/Detroit Over 7-115-W
Oakland/NYM UNDER 8.5-115-L

 

[piratealew]

Looks like SD game last night changed umps last minute from Hoye to Drake (a pitchers ump), so tech didnt qualify but MLB did it last minute. Today they announced Hoye as the Ump for today's game which makes no sense....but watching the results, it makes sense Drake and not Hoye were in there..

 

[piratealew]

Looks like SD game last night changed umps last minute from Hoye to Drake (a pitchers ump), so tech didnt qualify but MLB did it last minute. Today they announced Hoye as the Ump for today's game which makes no sense....but watching the results, it makes sense Drake and not Hoye were in there..

MLB Gameday: Pirates 0, Padres 3 Final Score (08/13/2024)

Follow MLB results with FREE box scores, pitch-by-pitch strikezone info, and Statcast data for Pirates vs. Padres at Petco Park

www.mlb.com

Confirmed, it was drake, a very pitcher friendly ump. MLB pulled the fast one, no wonder the game was dead.

 

[piratealew]

MLB=13-17 (Cash #1 &2 Top plays...) Umpire Overs=40-16 This week

MLB =1546-1385 YTD/ (760-692) Top plays) Umpire Overs=173-116 Umpire Under=17-16

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. **Top plays are listed in order of strength.*

⭐️Seattle-136
⭐️Dbacks/Rockies Over 9-115 (Umpire Over-Mark Wegner/11-6 Over/+10R Runs/2.2 SO/BB)
⭐️Padres-128
⭐️Cardinals+100
⭐️Royals+105 (F5)
⭐️Giants-105
⭐️Baltimore-1-115
⭐️Boston-150
⭐️Arizona-1-143
⭐️Phillies-1-128
⭐️Houston-110
⭐️Cubs+115 (F5)
⭐️Mets-1-121
⭐️Brewers+117
Pirates/Padres Over 8-120 (Umpire Over-James Hoye-12-9 Over/9.32 runs)
Angels-110
KC Royals+100 (Full game)
Seattle/Detroit Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Adam Hamari/13-10 Over/9.5 runs)
Mets-0.5-120 (F5)
Phils/Marlins Over 8.5-115
Arizona-0.5-130 (F5)
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5
Cubs+124 (Full-game)
Phillies-0.5-120 (F5)
White Sox+2.5-126
Batimore Team Total Over 4.5
Dodgers/Brewers Over 8.5-120
Boston/Tejas Over 9-120
Cubs/Guardians Over 8-115

Hope everyone has a good Wednesday. GL

 

[jjgold]

Let’s have a good day

 

[piratealew]

thanks JJ, lets have a good one again today!

forgot a team total....Yanks pitcher should give up a few here, and the pen which has been worked. I may be a yankees fan, but I'm a realist, hence why I often bet against the yanks...this yankees pitcher sucks bad. 8 runs in 4 to the Angels tells a lot but his prior game against the slumping phils wasnt much better, 4 runs in 5 IP. His confidence is gone, and one would think he could get a boost against the bad white sox...but he's on the road, where rookies often struggle even worse. He also carries a 6.11 ERA (and a bad 1.40 WHIP) in Minor leagues this year, with minor league hitters pounding a whopping 2.60 Batting avg on the kid....White sox are still MLB hitters...if they cant hit this kid, they should all be sent down. If he pitches a gem and shuts them out, tip your cap to him but I dont see that going down...

⭐️White Sox Team Total Over 3.5-105

 

[piratealew]

Couple unders...

STL/Cincy UNDER 10-125
Toronto/LAA UNDER 9-120

 

[inzane]

Thanks for the post and bol today Pirate...

 

[piratealew]

Thanks for the post and bol today Pirate...

thanks Brother. Hope the weather is great out there in Colorado. Good luck today!

 

[piratealew]

was on the fence with this over but with Bellino it's a play.

***4th Umpire Over is Baltimore/Washington Over 8-128 with Dan Bellino who is in the top 3% of umpires in terms of runs at 10.30 runs per game. He's been at 10 or over the last several years due to his low 63% strike call. The over is on a 20-5 tear for the orioles and 8 of their last 9 game, combined with the bad pitching makes the over attractive as Kremer carries a 7 ERA his last 4, while Herz struggles on the road. Wash is 25th in MLB in runs allowed at 4.8, while O's are 3rd in runs scored at 5. I had this just getting to the over before but with Bellino behind home I am more confident.

 

[piratealew]

Great 7-0 Afternoon session, cashed 2 umpire overs and the #2/3 picks of the day. Seattle would really make this awesome.

 

[phantom888]

Overs have been weak this week, not hitting 70% on my dart board.

2-0 on umpire overs so far

Congrats

 

[piratealew]

thanks man, hope it keeps up. baltimore game started out hot....

added:
Oakland/NY Mets Over 7.5-130

 

[JDS]

Overs have been weak this week, not hitting 70% on my dart board.

2-0 on umpire overs so far

Congrats

Took the over 9 in the Colorado vs Arizona game, thanks to Pirates reasons and write up. The numbers definitely supported what just happen this afternoon plus the Umpire over advantage to boot. Solid play to post and bet on thanks again Pirate.

 

[phantom888]

Took the over 9 in the Colorado vs Arizona game, thanks to Pirates reasons and write up. The numbers definitely supported what just happen this afternoon plus the Umpire over advantage to boot. Solid play to post and bet on thanks again Pirate.

Sometimes you just need a reason to make it a play. Looking deeper into the numbers and metrics is all you need sometimes, not saying all the time, but most of the time is good enough for me

 

[phantom888]

Sometimes you just need a reason to make it a play. Looking deeper into the numbers and metrics is all you need sometimes, not saying all the time, but most of the time is good enough for me

Plus in gambling you always have to look for the edge otherwise it’s called donating lol

 

[piratealew]

Still big on Brewers to win but think this is a high scoring affair, Montas has a 11 ERA against the Dodgers and a 6 ERA in his 2 starts with Milwaukee. This feels like a 8-6 Milwaukee type win.

Dodgers Team Total Over 4

 

[phantom888]

Still big on Brewers to win but think this is a high scoring affair, Montas has a 11 ERA against the Dodgers and a 6 ERA in his 2 starts with Milwaukee. This feels like a 8-6 Milwaukee type win.

Dodgers Team Total Over 4

Dodgers will score more than 4

Haha… easy

 

[piratealew]

Dodgers will score more than 4

Haha… easy

Almost did 1st inning....would be nice for a 10-6 brewers win, make up for that seattle debacle.