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Friday Aug16-23 MLB Dingers, Taters, & Gophers

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piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
Congrats! Too busy today didn’t get in on the action

thanks, it was a good day. NFL was great, nailed the 3 top plays. Hit 3-1 umpire overs.

MLB Sat=17-16 (Cash 9-7 Top plays/3-1 Umpire Over) Umpire Overs=45-23 last 10 days

NFL=7-7 (Cash top 3 plays)

MLB =1604-1444 YTD/ (789-717 Top plays) Umpire Overs=180-123 Umpire Under=17-17

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Bodymore Oreos-127
⭐️Arizona-108
⭐️Dodgers-110
⭐️Cubs-1-117
⭐️Royals+100
⭐️Mets-1-130
⭐️Astros-1.5-115 (F5)
⭐️AZ/Tampa Over 7.5-110 (Umpire Over-Dan Bellino-+10 Runs per/13-10 Over/63% strikes)
⭐️Twins-106
⭐️Braves-150
⭐️Cleveland+110
⭐️Padres-1.5-120
⭐️Boston/Baltimore Over 8.5-125
⭐️Detroit-114
Astros/White Sox Over 7.5-125 (Umpire Over-Erich Bacchus/9.14 Runs/63% strikes/12-9 Over)
Pirates+1.5-120
Orioles Team Total Over 4.5-110
Oakland+1.5-118
Astros Team Total Over 5
Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5
Nationals+1.5-128
Arizona-116 (F5)
Dodgers/Cards Over 7.5-115
Royals/Reds Over 9.5-112
Nats/Phils Over 9-125
Baltimore-130 (F5)
Braves Team Total Over 4.5
Cubs/Jays Over 6.5-130
Miami/NY MetsOver 8-120
Tigers/Yanks Over 7.5-115

NFL Preason
⭐️Broncos-7
49ers ML-110
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
A good Sunday tnx to winning #1 play and POD Baltimore and Dodgers in MLB and cashed the 2 NFL sides and top play. Hit the big Umpire over with Zona/Tampa over and finished it off with Top play Detroit against my beloved Yanks. Always better to lose the smaller plays.

MLB =1617-1464 YTD/ (796-725 Top plays) Umpire Overs=181-124 Umpire Under=17-17

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Houston Asstros-119
⭐️Mets-120
⭐️Dodgers-135
⭐️Toronto-1-110
⭐️Arizona-0.5-125 (F5)
⭐️Padres-142
⭐️Mets/Orioles Over 8.5-112
⭐️Oakland+120
⭐️Royals/Angels Over 8.5-120
Giants-0.5-126 (F5)
Mets-125 (F5)
Royals-1-135
Pittsburgh+112
Boston/Houston Over 7.5-126
Pirates Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Tampa Over 7.5-110
Toronto/Cincy Over 7.5-125
Dodgers/Mariners UNDER 9-128

Kids 1st day of school, High school for my older kids in NC, Middle school for one here and 2 in Elementary starting 1st and 3rd grades today, 2 doctor appts later for the baby and Mom, busy day. Will be around later today after umpire announcements come out to see if there other plays. GL .
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
thanks man! good luck to you today as well. I bet you're getting ready for the snow to start coming in the next few weeks...

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️Mets/Orioles Over 8.5 with Marvin Hudson who avg 9.6 runs and is 13-6 Over. Both teams have been scoring well since the ASB with the Orioles averaging 5.38 runs per game and the Mets 4.41 runs. The starter for the O's should give up at least his avg to the mets tonight as he is 0-2, 8.16 ERA in 3 Starts. The over is 3-0 in his start, and is on a 21-9 tear for Balty, while the mets are 6-2 over last 8. Both bullpens have struggled lately with the Mets at 18th with a 4.14 ERA and O's at 14th with a near 4 ERA, so runs should be scored throughout.


added:
Dbags/Marlin Over 8-120
 

inzane

inzane

Joined
Jun 29, 2024
Messages
90
thanks man! good luck to you today as well. I bet you're getting ready for the snow to start coming in the next few weeks...

***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️Mets/Orioles Over 8.5 with Marvin Hudson who avg 9.6 runs and is 13-6 Over. Both teams have been scoring well since the ASB with the Orioles averaging 5.38 runs per game and the Mets 4.41 runs. The starter for the O's should give up at least his avg to the mets tonight as he is 0-2, 8.16 ERA in 3 Starts. The over is 3-0 in his start, and is on a 21-9 tear for Balty, while the mets are 6-2 over last 8. Both bullpens have struggled lately with the Mets at 18th with a 4.14 ERA and O's at 14th with a near 4 ERA, so runs should be scored throughout.


added:
Dbags/Marlin Over 8-120
Not yet, we've had snow every month of the year before, but Sept. is one on my favorites. Warm days, cool nights, and the aspen will start changing colors soon...
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
***2nd Umpire Over is ⭐️Pittsburgh/Texas Over 8.5-115 with Adrian Johnson who is 15-7 Over on a very high 11 runs per with a very low 2.06 SO/BB W/63% strikes. Both teams avg over 4 runs in August with Rangers at 4.44 runs and Pirates at 4 runs in their last 15 games. Ortiz carries a 6.33 ERA his last 4 while Dunning just got shelled for 5 runs in 4 IP vs Boston. The Over is 14-6 for Pitt and 17-7 for Texas so runs will be scored especially with a very helpful umpire. I was on the fence before having this game right at 9 runs but could see an added 1-2 runs thanks to AJ. It is a top play.

Texas also changed from Urena to Dunning so I had to go back and do this again...

Added:
Pittsburgh+140
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
***3rd Umpire Over is Chicago/SF Over 7.5-120 with Andy "Rainmaker" Fletcher. 21-3 Over, 13 runs a game. I had this game getting to the total but Andy fletcher is working. Nuff said, he is the master of squeezing out 1, 2, or 8 more runs.
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
While I am big on Astros tonight, I think Boston has the opportunity to easily hit their average of 5 runs per game which is 4th in MLB. Interestingly, Kikuchi has given up 5 to these red sox in each of his last 3 starts against Boston, and carries a bad 6.75 in six starts vs Boston. He has been great for Houston in 3 starts with a 2.7 ERA but he's due for some regression and this is a team familiar with his pitches. This feels like a 8-6 type Astros win, or if Boston wins, its a bit of insurance if its a high scoring game as most indications point to.

Boston Team Total Over 3.5-115
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
Mlb pulled a fast one on us this time, all 3 umps changed, 2 still qualified, but texas over with switch to John Bacon, a big unders ump wouldnt qualify. Cant remember 3 last minute ump changes like this in the same night..
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
May I ask how 2 winners qualify and the loser doesnt? I bet all 3 and it goes 2-1 then you say the losing one dont qualify after the fact, Please explain.

Yes, I'm talking about from the umpire standpoint, as the new guy in Texas game was not a hitter ump. It still counts as an L in my bets and the overall W-L. Unfortunately, they switched from Johnson to John Bacon right before the first pitch, who is a notorious pitchers ump, so he would not have qualified for the umpire criteria. The other 2 games also switched but the ump situation was similar from the switch to the new ump as it stayed with a hitter-friendly ump (both over 9 runs, good metrics, etc), only the texas game switched to a pitcher ump. There was a situation a few weeks ago which was similar switched from hitter ump to pitcher and it cashed but didnt qualify for the over based on the umpire after the switch so i didnt count that W. The Texas over still counts and marked as an L in the 15-7 today, and a loss in the top plays. GL

MLB Monday =15-7 (Cash top 3 plays...6-4 Top plays) Umpire Overs=47-25 last 10 days

MLB =1632-1471 YTD/ (802-729 Top plays) Umpire Overs=182-125 Umpire Under=17-17

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Houston Asstros-119-W
⭐️Mets-120-W
⭐️Dodgers-135-W
⭐️Toronto-1-110-L
⭐️Arizona-0.5-125 (F5)-W
⭐️Padres-142-W
⭐️Mets/Orioles Over 8.5-112-L (Umpire over-Changed Hudson to Trumpane-still qualified+9 runs)
⭐️Oakland+120-W
⭐️Royals/Angels Over 8.5-120-L
⭐️Pittsburgh/Texas Over 8.5-115 (Ump Over-Changed to Bacon-Pitcher ump/didnt qualify/No AJ)-L

Giants-0.5-126 (F5)-W
Mets-125 (F5)-W
Royals-1-135-W
Pittsburgh+140-L
Boston/Houston Over 7.5-126-W
Pirates Team Total Over 4-L
Oakland/Tampa Over 7.5-110-L
Toronto/Cincy Over 7.5-125-W
Dbags/Marlin Over 8-120-W
Boston Team Total Over 3.5-115-W
Chicago/SF Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over)-W (Changed Fletcher to Visconti-still qualifies=+9 runs)
Dodgers/Mariners UNDER 9-128-W
 

piratealew

piratealew

Joined
Feb 20, 2024
Messages
2,597
MLB Monday =15-7 (Cash top 3 plays...6-4 Top plays) Umpire Overs=47-25 last 10 days

MLB =1632-1471 YTD/ (802-729 Top plays) Umpire Overs=182-125 Umpire Under=17-17

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Phillies-125
⭐️Houston-115
⭐️Brewers+112
⭐️Royals-1-129
⭐️Texas-130
⭐️Yankees-142
⭐️Orioles+108
⭐️Oakland+108
⭐️Twins-107
⭐️Reds+131
⭐️Nationals-138
⭐️Dodgers-140
⭐️Arizona-139
⭐️Giants/White Sox Over 7.5-112 (Umpire Over 7.5-112-Mike Much-+10 Runs L2 Yrs/+0/U L2)
Cubs-139
Baltimore/NY Mets Over 8-120 (Umpire Over-Nick Mahrley-13-8 Over/9.4 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)
Royals-0.5-128 (F5)
Nationals-139 (F5)
Royals Team Total Over 4
Milwaukee/STL Over 7.5-110
Giants-1.5-105
Nationals Team Total Over 4
Yankees/Guardians Over 8-115
Arizona/Miami Over 7.5-112
Pirates/Texas Over 7.5-115
Cincinnati/Toronto Over 7.5-125
Nationals/Rockies Over 7.5-125
Seattle/LA UNDER 8.5-112

Had most of my card finished and put in by 8am as usual but had to deal with a minor emergency last few hours. GL
 
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