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***G-Man's College Week 6 ***

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G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
559
Season 58-36. 62%. +6,345.00

18-8 Last week.

Friday - 3 Dog Night!

Houston +16 over TCU. 4 units
ML +500. 1 unit.
Houston played 5 games and three were against ranked top #25 teams. The fact that they have held 5 teams, including three ranked teams to an average of 20 points per game is the quality of better players.
They do lack scoring - but NOW are facing a pathetic defense of TCU who played NO ranked teams and is allowing 31 points per game.
Houston returns 16 starters from a year ago with the QB . Playing this game against a very soft defense puts all the numbers in Houston's favor.

Michigan State+23.5 over Oregon. 4 units
MSU ML +1000. .50 unit/
5th ranked Oregon is giving the same points that MSU got last game vs Ohio State . IM not sold on Oregon being in the same capacity of OSU just yet.
MSU had 7 turnovers in the last 2 games which tilted the scoreboard significantly. A clean game here is important.
Oregon barely beat Boise and did it with FOUR (4) Boise turnovers. Other wise they would,have lost. Boise is the only ranked team Oregon faced. Boise out-gained Oregon by 140 yds in that game. FYI- Boise defense isn't as good as MSU.

MSU plays defense and isn't facing a power house like Ohio State . MSU won their first 3 games.
In spite of losing their last 2 games, they are still Plus in total yards/gm including a better rush avg and a better pass completion avg. including a big advantage in yards per play. Remove the 7 turnovers and those starts are magnified into wins.
Defensively MSU and Oregon are only 4 points apart. Both teams are under 20 points allowed.
Those numbers give MSU a good chance here.

Syracuse +6 over UNLV. 4 units.
Cuse ML +190 1 unit
Wrong team favored.
UNLV buried Fresno State and Fresno had Four (4) Turnovers.Final game score would have much closer.
Cuse returns 16 starters including the starting QB who has a QB rating of 153.25 while holding down oppents QB's to a low rating of 116.91 .

More Saturday
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
559
G-Man! said:
Season 58-36. 62%. +6,345.00

18-8 Last week.

Friday - 3 Dog Night!

Houston +16 over TCU. 4 units............W+400.00
ML +500. 1 unit...................................................................W+500.00


Michigan State+23.5 over Oregon. 4 units.........W+400.00
MSU ML +1000. .50 unit/.........................................L-50.00


Syracuse +6 over UNLV. 4 units......................W+400.00
Cuse ML +190 1 unit..........................................W+190.00
Wrong team favored.
UNLV buried Fresno State and Fresno had Four (4) Turnovers.Final game score would have much closer.
Cuse returns 16 starters including the starting QB who has a QB rating of 153.25 while holding down oppents QB's to a low rating of 116.91 .

More Saturday
Friday 5-1. +1,840.00
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
559
Friday 5-1.

Saturday
Noon.
UCLA +28.5 over Penn State. 2 units
Not sure how UCLA will do here but they played 3 top ranked teams and lost 3 by an avg of 25pts.
Ironically their best game was against top ranked #6 Oregon.
UCLA defensive numbers are poor but considering who they faced they could be better today.

UCLA returns 12 starters w/QB and was a Plus scoring team a year ago.
Facing PSU could be disastrous - but PSU faced one(1) ranked team - illinois, winning 21-7, , who is no way as good as Indiana that UCLA played this year.


Noon
North Carolina+2.5 over Pitt 2 units
NC played well last game away vs Duke, losing 21-20 who is better than Pitt.
Wrong team favored.

Wisconsin -12 over Purdue.
Purdue has worst offense and worst defense of all Big 10 teams.

3:30PM
OHIO STATE -18 OVER IOWA. 3 units

Don't see Iowa scoring here. They were beat by Iowa state. They are a one-dimension offense with the run. The Buckeyes wont allow another 280yd game like Minnesota allowed for Iowa last week.
Once behind they will never catch up running the ball..
Buckeyes are the #5 run defense in the country allowing only 68 yds per game. Also #7 defensively overall.

3:30
Auburn +21.5 over Georgia.
3 units
Public expecting huge rebound by Georgia after losing to 'Bama last week.
Definitely a better defense getting points with Auburn Tigers who only allowed 19 pts per game.
Also - Georgia was held to only 13 points by KY, just 2 games ago.
After seeing how many points Georgia allowed vs 'Bama, this game is wide open.


3:30PM
South Carolina +9.5 over Ole Miss. 4 units

Common Opponent was Kentucky. The Wildcats shut down Ole Miss and beat them 20-17.
SC beat KY 31-6.

3:30PM
Northwestern +13.5 over Indiana. 3 units
Northwestern ML+400. 1 unit.


7:30PM
Arkansas +14 over Tennessee. 3 units
ML +390. 1 unit.

Ranked #4 tennessee won most of their games on Turnovers while Arkanas lost their game by turnovers. Ark has coughed up 15 this year but have out yarded their opponents by 150 yds per game. Tennessee only beat Oklahoma by 10 points and That was off turnovers (3) by the sooners.
Vols have allowed the lowest points this year (only 7 per game average) but that will change drastically today in Arkansas.

Well add more at 4 pm
 

G-Man!

G-Man!

Joined
Oct 27, 2023
Messages
559
4PM
Vanderbilt + 22.5 over Alabama.

Not counting on another turnover game like last week when 'Bama got 4 turnovers from Georgia. Bama wins this but wont dominate because the defense was beat up by Georgia last week.


Arkansas over Tenn. see above^^^

7PM games.
USC -9 over Minnesota 5 units.
No way for Minny defense to stop So. Cal QB and offense..

Iowa State-14 over Baylor. 5 units
ISU defense is tops in Nation at #1.
Baylor faced 2 ranked opponents but got behind large vs BYU and lost as a favorite.
battler has allowed 37 points average last 2 games and the defense is exposed now. They score 29 lys per game but are in a different class way from hime now against ISU.

ISU is +10 in turnovers as they have none this season while causing 10 from opponents. Just one TO in this game will set Baylor back. Baylor is minus 6 in To's with 8 while only getting 2 from opponents.

Washington +2 over Michigan. 4 units

Superior defense here for Huskies. Ranked 7th in clountry and 12 points per game.

8PM
Duke +10 over GT. 5 units
Duke ml + 275. 1 unit

GT was beat by L'Ville and Duke should do the same. Blue Devils are a Plus 14 team in scoring and pulled off a win against North Carolina.
GT is 0-2 SU vs winning teams.
Duke is 5-0.

More later.
 
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